Originally Posted by Pawnmower
Youre not being truthful, you are skirting the issue..You ALREADY admitted your opinion might change in 20 years.
THAT is the very definition of short sighted...
You think you are a LOT smarter than you are, and I hope you remember this in 20 years.
Or I might get hit by a bus instead. What you are trying to do is apply actuarial science to an individual, temporal question asked of a single individual. It doesn't work. Let me dumb it down for you. Way down.. wait.. WAY WAY down... See when you talk about statistics there are these things called outliers... wait never mind. I failed. I can't dumb it down enough, sorry.