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Old 07-09-2013, 06:57 PM   #786
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Originally Posted by tambaberry View Post
Isn't the only reason its better to not punt is because you get 4 chances at a first down instead of just three?
Yeah. The theory is that the expected value of making it exceeds the opponent's expected value of failing. It didn't work well in last year's experiment, but that's only 16 sample points.
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