Originally Posted by tambaberry
Isn't the only reason its better to not punt is because you get 4 chances at a first down instead of just three?
Yeah. The theory is that the expected value of making it exceeds the opponent's expected value of failing. It didn't work well in last year's experiment, but that's only 16 sample points.
In the final seven games of the 2013 season, the Chiefs averaged 34.6 points per game, scored 38 points or more 4 times, and went 2-5. The NFL has ruined the sport.