Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud
I'm sorry, I disagree.
Not only does it matter where guys were chosen because of their contracts, it also matters because of expectations.
Teams expect first round players to perform like first round players. They don't expect sixth round players to perform like first round players.
There are built-in expectations for each and every player drafted. Whether they fail to meet those expectations or exceed them remains to be seen.
And what I'm saying is that failing to meet those expectations, or exceeding them, is ultimately what defines the value of a draft pick.
It's pretty simple, you're taking the fact that Geno Smith was drafted 39th (a whopping 7 picks later than Drew Brees...) as a justification for writing him off as a player. Which you are clearly doing when you posit he might at best become an "average to above average player". You're defining him by the position in which he was drafted.
Whereas I'm saying there's little to no point in quantifying a player now
If, in say 5 years, Smith's bagging groceries at Kroger, then I will certainly agree with the "whew we dodged a bullet there!" sentiment. Similarly, if he's one of, say, the top 10 QBs in the league, I'll probably think something along the lines of "man, I wish we had that guy".
In any event, all I can really think right now is "man, I wish we hadn't traded those picks for Alex Smith, because I don't think he's proven himself to be anything more than a complementary player reliant upon those around him, rather than a leader capable of elevating the play of his team mates" on one hand and "I wonder how Tyler Bray will turn out, probably nothing" on the other, with the occasional distant wonder at how Geno Smith is doing with the Jets.
(And I hate the Jets, so I have definite mixed feelings there. Part of me hopes he continues the Sanchez bomb trend so that team can stay in the sewers.)