Assuming 12 teams, 4 points per passing TD, and other normal standard scoring...if six teams make the playoffs:
Your receivers are the strongest part of this team and you look good at tight end as well. While no team can be expected to be above average at all three core positions (QB/RB/WR), you are in the precarious position of being a bit weak at two of them.
Although you should not be counted out yet, you may need to be active on both the waiver wire and in trades to turn this team into a legitimate contender. The best way to achieve that might be to sacrifice some of your wide receiver strength to gain multiple players than can help your roster now. It's generally easier finding quarterbacks and wide receivers on the waiver wire than quality running backs.
Keep an eye out for quarterbacks like Russell Wilson and Andrew Luck from last year, Cam Newton the year before, Michael Vick and Josh Freeman in 2010, and Matt Cassel and Kurt Warner in 2008. All were available cheap in August, and all contributed to fantasy championship teams. Likewise, running backs like Alfred Morris and Vick Ballard all could be had dirt cheap at the draft or shortly after. You are likely going to need to land some of this year's top waiver plays, so pay close attention to increased workloads, targets, injuries, etc.
With great inseason management, we think you have about a 75 percent chance of making the playoffs.
With good inseason management, we think you have about a 60 percent chance of making the playoffs.
With average inseason management, we think you have a 45 percent chance of making the playoffs.
In any event, we wish you the best of luck. Here's hoping all your weeks are like week 10 of 2012:
Jimmy Graham vs. ATL: 146 receiving yards, 2 TD
Sidney Rice vs. NYJ: 54 receiving yards, 2 TD
Andy Dalton vs. NYG: 199 passing yards, 4 TD
Jamaal Charles vs. PIT: 100 combined yards, 1 TD
We have Andy Dalton rated #13 among quarterbacks, so we're not even sold on him as a fantasy starter in your league. And we're not sure that Alex Smith (our #19-rated QB) is likely to provide much help.
Incidentally, these two have a terrific combined schedule and a nice playoff schedule too. If you simply played the one with the better matchup each week, this is the schedule you'd face:
JAX | DAL | PHI | CLE | NE | BUF | DET | CLE | BUF | BAL | CLE | SD | SD | WAS | OAK | MIN
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Some of our staffers have Andy Dalton as high as #7, which would make him a fine first quarterback. Heath Cummings's take: "Dalton has a chance to take the next step in 2013 and establish himself as one of the most productive young quarterbacks in the league. He has an elite receiver in A.J. Green and developing talent on the other side of the field. Tyler Eifert gives him an athletic playmaker over the middle and Giovanni Bernard gives him a pass-catching threat out of the backfield. Dalton rose to borderline QB1 status in 2012 and on an improving young offense I expect his upward trend to continue."
Alex Smith is ranked #15 by some of our writers, which would make him an above average second quarterback. Jason Wood reasons, "Andy Reid sent Donovan McNabb to five Pro Bowls, turned Michael Vick into an MVP candidate, and made A.J. Feeley and Koy Detmer seem like viable NFL starters. Anyone that thinks Reid can't work wonders with Alex Smith isn't a student of NFL history. Smith is accurate, in his prime, and has the athleticism and pocket awareness to flourish in Reid's West Coast offense."
We like Jamaal Charles as a top RB, but we consider your starting running backs, as a group, to be a little below par. Our projections have Charles ranked at #4 and Montee Ball ranked at #31.
We see BenJarvus Green-Ellis as an average third running back.
Because you're not particularly strong overall at the position, adding some depth here was a good idea. But we're not convinced Isaac Redman is the right player for the job. Check the end of the report for some alternative suggestions.
A quick note about the same-team Ball/Eric Decker duo you've got here. Though the effect is probably negligible, this kind of pairing is likely to make your team more (not less) consistent than a comparable-scoring different-team pair. See this article (which was written before the 2008 season) for more discussion.
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Some of our staffers have Montee Ball as high as #21, which would make him a fine second running back. Adam Harstad's take: "Willis McGahee is the second oldest RB in the league (behind Fred Jackson), and doesn't have much left in the tank. Knowshon Moreno was inherited by the current coaching staff, and they clearly are not believers of his; they've drafted two RBs in the first three rounds, and had Moreno as a game-day inactive in half of their games last season. Denver's brass has discussed their belief that Hillman is more of a change-of-pace back. Into this void steps Montee Ball, a hyper-productive college back whose stock slipped a little as some questioned his athleticism. Despite a slow 40 time, Ball is a perfect schematic fit for Denver's offense, which is loaded with talent at every position and figures to remain elite for years to come."
Some of our staffers have BenJarvus Green-Ellis as high as #24, which would make him a great third running back and even a legitimate RB2. Mark Wimer's take: "While BenJarvus Green-Ellis isn't an exciting option in PPR leagues, I believe he'll retain the first- and second-down rushing duties in Cincinnati this year (and short-yardage plunges), and probably handle 70%+ of the team's carries, regardless of rookie Giovani Bernard's presence. The enthusiasm for Bernard reminds me of prior years' fascination with Bernard Scott, which is not good news for Bernard's fantasy owners in my opinion."
Some members of our staff have Isaac Redman ranked as high as 42nd, which would make him an above average fourth running back. Anthony Borbely defends his high ranking as follows: "Redman will be part of a committee that will replace the injured LeVeon Bell. The third preseason game should tell mopre about how the Steelers will rotate the RBs. Until more is known about how the RBs will be used, I am ranking Redman as a mid-RB4, largely because I expect him to be the goal line RB. "
Your starting receiver group is a strength, particularly Dez Bryant as a top receiver. Bryant is our second ranked WR, and we have Eric Decker at #20.
Your bench doesn't look quite as strong. Michael Floyd is a little below average as a third receiver.
Since you're strong at the position, you probably don't absolutely need to roster more than three players here. Of your remaining guys, we like Tavon Austin the best, but you should keep the one you think has the best chance of putting up starter numbers. The rest might be considered expendable if you find you need roster space elsewhere.
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Eric Decker is ranked #11 by some of our writers, which would make him a great second receiver and even a legitimate WR1. Matt Waldman reasons, "Decker is likely the odd-man out with the acquisition of Wes Welker, but it depends how you define the phrase odd-man out. Out of the top-10 among fantasy receivers, yes. Out of the top-25? Not likely. Decker is a better route runner than Demaryius Thomas may ever become and he has the confidence of Peyton Manning on precision plays. Wes Welker may cut into Decker's totals, but there will be plenty of targets to Decker that result from Thomas's vertical threat and Welker driving slot defenders and linebackers to distraction. This offense has room for three fantasy starters in the receiving corps. Don't sleep on Decker. "
Michael Floyd is ranked #32 by some of our writers, which would make him a fine third receiver. Anthony Borbely reasons, "Floyd had a disappointing rookie season but I expect him to take a big step up in Bruce Arian's offense. Having Carson Palmer helps and Floyd is simply much more talented than Andre Roberts. I consider Floyd to be a mid-WR3 with huge upside depending on his development. Floyd is one of the most undervalued players at any position in drafts. "
As you are well aware, Jimmy Graham is an elite tight end. We have him ranked first overall at the position. He's about 3.2 points per game better than an average starting TE in this league. Given your league rules and the presence of Graham, your decision to roll with just one tight end is a reasonable one.
Matt Bryant, our seventh ranked kicker, won't win the league for you, but he'll do.
The Cardinals are probably not a difference-maker at defense, but they should be OK.
When you don't have an elite defense, one option is a committee approach. That is, try to get two cheap defenses whose schedules fit well together. Here are a few teams who we think may be available and whose schedules fit best with the Cardinals', along with the combined schedule that each would create:
Cardinals + Rams = ARI | DET | DAL | TB | JAX | HOU | CAR | ATL | TEN | IND | JAX | CHI | PHI | ARI | TEN | TB
Cardinals + Buccaneers = NYJ | DET | NO | ARI | CAR | PHI | ATL | CAR | SEA | MIA | JAX | IND | PHI | BUF | TEN | STL
Cardinals + Chargers = STL | PHI | TEN | DAL | OAK | IND | JAX | ATL | WAS | HOU | JAX | IND | PHI | STL | TEN | OAK
Is this a dynasty team? Click here to find out how it might look for 2014 season.
Green means GO (good matchup), red means STOP (bad matchup). Main starters highlighted
At the bottom of the table, the Relative Strength row shows you how strong we project your team to be, relative to your usual strength, in that week. This accounts for byes and matchups.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Andy Dalton CHI PIT GB CLE NE BUF DET NYJ MIA BAL CLE SD IND PIT MIN
Alex Smith JAX DAL PHI NYG TEN OAK HOU CLE BUF DEN SD DEN WAS OAK IND
Montee Ball BAL NYG OAK PHI DAL JAX IND WAS SD KC NE KC TEN SD HOU
Jamaal Charles JAX DAL PHI NYG TEN OAK HOU CLE BUF DEN SD DEN WAS OAK IND
BenJarvus Green-Ellis CHI PIT GB CLE NE BUF DET NYJ MIA BAL CLE SD IND PIT MIN
Isaac Redman TEN CIN CHI MIN NYJ BAL OAK NE BUF DET CLE BAL MIA CIN GB
Tavon Austin ARI ATL DAL SF JAX HOU CAR SEA TEN IND CHI SF ARI NO TB
Dez Bryant NYG KC STL SD DEN WAS PHI DET MIN NO NYG OAK CHI GB WAS
Eric Decker BAL NYG OAK PHI DAL JAX IND WAS SD KC NE KC TEN SD HOU
Michael Floyd STL DET NO TB CAR SF SEA ATL HOU JAX IND PHI STL TEN SEA
Sidney Rice CAR SF JAX HOU IND TEN ARI STL TB ATL MIN NO SF NYG ARI
Jimmy Graham ATL TB ARI MIA CHI NE BUF NYJ DAL SF ATL SEA CAR STL CAR
Matt Bryant NO STL MIA NE NYJ TB ARI CAR SEA TB NO BUF GB WAS SF
Arizona Cardinals STL DET NO TB CAR SF SEA ATL HOU JAX IND PHI STL TEN SEA
Relative Strength 100 100 101 101 107 105 97 109 98 100 97 101 100 101 100 100
Schedule and Matchup Notes:
Please note that the Relative strength numbers above account for both byes and matchups.
Remember that you might have starters on bye in a given week, but still have a high relative strength. This could occur because of favorable matchups, or it might be because you are projected to be missing less production than an average opponent will (your opponents have to deal with byes too).
Week 11 presents moderate bye week issues: Tavon Austin and Dez Bryant are not playing.
Week 7 presents moderate bye week issues: Jimmy Graham is not playing.
Week 9 presents moderate bye week issues: Montee Ball, Eric Decker, Michael Floyd, and Arizona Cardinals are not playing.
In weeks 4, 5, 6, 8, and 10 you'll probably be better off than your opponent, as far as byes are concerned.
POTENTIAL FREE AGENTS
Listed in order of preference. We don't know exactly who is available in your league, but here is a list of players who might be available and could be upgrades over some of your depth players, listed in order of preference. Your players are listed in red for comparison. Players who might not mesh well with the bye weeks of your key players are grayed out.
QB: we don't necessarily recommend any roster moves here.
RB: Shane Vereen (10), Mark Ingram (7), Giovani Bernard (12), BenJarvus Green-Ellis (12), Ronnie Hillman (9), Ben Tate (8), Danny Woodhead (8), Bernard Pierce (8), Pierre Thomas (7), Vick Ballard (8), Fred Jackson (12), Jacquizz Rodgers (6), Jonathan Dwyer (5), Daniel Thomas (6), Joique Bell (9), Isaiah Pead (11), Bilal Powell (10), Bryce Brown (12), Jonathan Stewart (4). We have all these players rated ahead of Isaac Redman.
WR: Mike Williams (5), Steve Johnson (12), James Jones (4), Greg Jennings (5), Anquan Boldin (9), Chris Givens (11), Michael Floyd (9), Tavon Austin (11), Emmanuel Sanders (5), Lance Moore (7), Golden Tate (12), Josh Gordon (10), Sidney Rice (12).
TE: we don't necessarily recommend any roster moves here.
PK: we don't necessarily recommend any roster moves here.
TD: Cincinnati Bengals (12), New York Giants (9), Arizona Cardinals (9), St. Louis Rams (11), Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5), Denver Broncos (9), Atlanta Falcons (6), Cleveland Browns (10), Minnesota Vikings (5), San Diego Chargers (8).
PROJECTIONS AND PLAYER SUMMARIES
Player Cmp Att YD Y/A TD INT Rsh YD TD FPT Rank
Andy Dalton 330 518 3714 7.2 27 16 45 135 2 287.2 13
Alex Smith 315 508 3485 6.9 22 13 46 161 2 264.4 19
Andy Dalton - In starting every game of his two-year NFL career, Dalton has shown signs of being a highly-productive quarterback. His statistical ceiling has been limited, though, by a well-balanced and somewhat conservative offense and a lack of playmakers not named A.J. Green. With veteran running back BenJarvus Green-Ellis getting older and the two backup running backs being rookies, more of the offensive burden may be pushed to Dalton. The team drafted multiple receives last year, including projected starter Mohamed Sanu - a very nice intermediate and red zone target. They also drafted an excellent receiving tight end in Tyler Eifert in this year's draft. Dalton and his perimeter playmakers could be the key to this offense in 2013.
Alex Smith - It's easy to forget after the performance of Colin Kaepernick, but Alex Smith was actually enjoying his best season ever before a concussion and the play of Kaepernick derailed it. Through eight weeks he was the 15th amongst quarterbacks in fantasy points, which is as close as Smith has ever come to sniffing QB1 territory. His completion percentage (70.2%) would have been tied for the fifth best of all-time had he finished the year and he raised his yards per attempt almost a full yard higher than his career best. Smith steps into a very good situation in Kansas City and it's easy to wonder if he can match his production from the first half of 2012. He arguably has better weapons in Jamaal Charles and Dwayne Bowe, but he will not enjoy the same protection behind Kansas City's revamped offensive line. That lack of protection leads to injury concerns, but a need to scramble could lead to more rushing yards for Smith if he can stay healthy. While many of Smith's struggles early in his career were attributed to a lack of stability, Head Coach Andy Reid does not believe that this change will have the same effect on Smith. At the NFL owners meetings this offseason Reid said of the change: "I think the last couple years, that will carry over. And he did, he had a ton of change. Most quarterbacks that go through that, they're ruined. They never come out on the positive side. They get crushed. But he was able to work through all that. Even the year before Jim [Harbaugh] got there, you could see him, his production starting to go up. But what he was doing there, the terminology will be very similar; scheme for the most part will be very similar. I don't think it will be a big transition."
Player Rsh YD Y/Rsh TD Rec YD TD FPT Rank
Jamaal Charles 260 1284 4.9 6 64 467 3 229.1 4
Montee Ball 165 693 4.2 7 20 152 1 132.5 31
BenJarvus Green-Ellis 190 751 4.0 6 13 83 0 119.4 35
Isaac Redman 75 300 4.0 2 18 153 1 63.3 55
Montee Ball - The Broncos added Montee Ball in the second-round of the 2013 NFL draft. He's the bigger back they've been looking for and will get an opportunity to compete for the starting job in training camp. Under new offensive coordinator Adam Gase we'll see the Broncos use an up tempo offense with more outside zone stretch plays than we saw last year. He averaged 7.1 yards per carry outside the tackles in 2012. Ball gained 36.1% of his FBS-leading 3,750 yards on rushes outside of the tackles over the last two seasons. If the team needs to pick up a critical short yardage situation then Ball may be the best option on the team. Head coach John Fox is not known to feature rookie running backs no matter where they're selected. The best rookie runner he ever had was Jonathan Stewart (Panthers) in 2008. That season Stewart finished the year as the 24th best running back in fantasy football. Ball's fantasy owners should see that as a best case scenario. The Broncos are going to use a RBBC and Ball may not see the field on passing downs until he proves effective at pass protection.
Jamaal Charles - Jamaal Charles has consistently been a fantasy RB1 when he's been healthy but that health came into concern on 8/12 when he limped off the practice field. The team has classified the injury as a sprained foot, and Head Coach Andy Reid did not seem concerned after practice. However, there are rumblings that the Chiefs are more concerned than they're letting on and foot injuries for running backs can linger. Charles is a home-run hitter whose long runs have helped support a 5.8 yard-per-carry average over his career, the best in NFL history. In 2013 he figures to have a better offense, with Andy Reid and Alex Smith replacing Romeo Crennel and Matt Cassel. Charles should get as many touches as he can handle, and with Reid's affinity for the screen game he'll likely be more involved in the passing game than he's ever been. The one negative for Charles has been his lack of success in the red zone. Last season he had just two scores inside the 20, with the closest of those being from twelve yards out. That figure probably won't hold up as Charles had six redzone scores in 2010, but he will never be a touchdown machine. Another concern is the changes to the offensive line. While the Chiefs' line in 2012 was nothing special, rookie Eric Fisher has some big shoes to fill replacing Eric Winston in the run game. If Fisher is as good a run-blocker as Winston was, Charles may be in line for a career year.
BenJarvus Green-Ellis - More of a deliberate, non-explosive runner, BenJarvus Green-Ellis is the kind of back who can keep an offense "on schedule" in regards to down-and-distance situations but is not a player who can break game-changing big plays. Both of these points are evidenced in looking at his career statistics. He has never rushed for fewer than 3.7 yards per carry but never rushed for more than 4.4. And the longest run of his career is 48 yards. Having never caught more than the 22 passes he hauled in in 2012, Green-Ellis isn't much of a third-down threat, which could explain why the team drafted two running backs in the 2013 draft who will both compete for third down snaps. Look for Green-Ellis to start the year as a two-down player, but he could be overtaken by second-round pick Giovani Bernard at some point in the season if the team feels they need a more explosive runner in the early downs.
Isaac Redman - Isaac Redman should be able to beat out Jonathan Dwyer for the backup job behind rookie Le'Veon Bell. Redman looks good as a part time player but struggled last year when he received a bigger opportunity because of an injury to then starter Rashard Mendenhall. He's got strong leg drive and can pick up tough yards in short yardage and goal line situations. Redman also has the ability to be a decent receiver out of the backfield.
Player Rsh YD TD Rec YD Y/Rec TD FPT Rank
Dez Bryant 3 20 0 89 1317 14.8 11 199.7 2
Eric Decker 2 10 0 70 924 13.2 8 141.4 20
Michael Floyd 0 0 0 66 851 12.9 6 121.1 38
Tavon Austin 15 96 1 63 743 11.8 5 119.9 39
Sidney Rice 0 0 0 52 749 14.4 6 110.9 44
Tavon Austin - Tavon Austin is a multi-dimensional weapon in a St.Louis offense seeking a new identity after the departure of Danny Amendola and Steven Jackson in this offseason. Austin has intriguing speed and agility in the open field. He will see a variety a use from rushes to slot receiver snaps to kick returns. The total volume of his use will be the biggest question mark as there have been few players his size to see full-time work on offense.
Dez Bryant - Scouts never doubted Dez Bryant had All Pro potential from the neck down; it was a question of whether he had the mental focus and maturity to ever realize his immense potential. 2012 will be remembered as the year Bryant answered those questions, and then some. In his third NFL season, Bryant was absolutely dominant to the tune of 92 receptions for 1,382 yards and 12 touchdowns. He had at least 100 yards receiving or a touchdown in 10 of 16 games, and routinely excelled in spite of physical double coverage. Bryant is a physical marvel, and his route running in 2012 took a major step forward; perhaps indicating a more refined understanding of head coach Jason Garrett's complex passing scheme. While the knucklehead factor will never be completely removed from the equation, Bryant has done enough to be considered among the best at his position entering 2013.
Eric Decker - Eric Decker had a career year in 2012 and finished the season as the 7th best wide receiver in fantasy football. He established strong chemistry with Peyton Manning quickly and was the team's leading touchdown scorer with 13 on the year. This offseason the team added veteran Wes Welker in free agency and that should impact Decker more than any other receiver on the Broncos roster. Welker will take away some of the short passes that Decker saw last year. His touchdown total will also be difficult to duplicate in 2013. With so many targets in the Broncos passing game we could see Decker become the third option behind Demaryius Thomas and Welker. Last season was the first time Decker made it through an entire season unscathed. Just like Thomas, he comes with an injury risk that other top 10 wide receivers don't have.
Michael Floyd - Michael Floyd was the Cardinals' first-round draft pick last season. He is a big, athletic receiver whose rookie year started slowly, but Floyd became the Cardinals' second-best receiver by the end of the season. He steadily gained steam, and finished very strong in week 17 with 8 catches for 166 yards and a touchdown. He's expected to start opposite Larry Fitzgerald this season, with Andre Roberts sliding inside to the slot. If opponents continue to double-team Fitzgerald, Floyd could benefit from favorable matchups and put up worthwhile fantasy stats. Still, given the questionable strength of the Cardinals' overall offense, as well as Larry Fitzgerald's role as the team's top pass-catcher more or less cemented in stone, Floyd is at best a flex option heading into the season.
Sidney Rice - Sidney Rice established himself as star in 2009 when he caught 83 passes for 1,312 yards and 8 touchdowns for the Vikings. Unfortunately, he had several injury-marred seasons after that and hasn't come close to duplicating those numbers. Last season he started for the Seahawks and proved competent, but didn't show the same luster he had in 2009. At his best, Rice can make leaping, diving, spectacular catches, but he's not much of a runner after the catch. When the Seahawks signed Percy Harvin this offseason, it appeared that Rice would see fewer (perhaps far fewer) targets than he did last season, but with Percy sidelined with a hip injury until at least November (and possibly all year), Rice may play approximately the same role in the offense as he did in 2012, when he was a competent fantasy WR3.
Player Rec YD Y/Rec TD FPT Rank
Jimmy Graham 90 1071 11.9 10 167.1 1
Jimmy Graham - Jimmy Graham is an exceptional athlete who only played one year of college football for the University of Miami, and that after he had played basketball for four years and graduated with a double major. He caught only 17 passes in his one season in college and started slowly in his rookie NFL season after being drafted in the third round. He had only 3 targets and 1 catch for 11 yards in his five games. He then closed out his rookie year well, catching 30 passes on 41 targets for 345 yards and 5 TDs, giving a hint of production to come. In his second season, he was phenomenal catching 99 passes for 1,310 yards and 11 TDs. There are only three seasons where a tight end had more receptions, Jason Witten with 110 in 2012, Tony Gonzalez with 102 in 2004, and Dallas Clark with 100 in 2009. Similarly, there have been only two seasons where tight ends had more receiving yards and that was Rob Gronkowski with 1,327 yards that same year and Dave Parks with 1,344 yards in 1965. Graham fell back somewhat last season as he missed one game and was slowed by injury in a few others. He managed only 85 receptions for 982 yards and 9 TDs. Graham remains one of the top tight ends in the league and is a definite threat to have a record breaking season in 2013.
Player FGM FGA XPM XPA FPT Rank
Matt Bryant 27 32 43 43 124.0 7
Matt Bryant - Bryant hit over 86% on field goals in each of the past three seasons - which was even more impressive in that it was not a small sample size, but came on a decent number of attempts (31, 29 & 38). The one knock on Bryant over the years has been leg strength, despite the fact he once hit a 62 yard game winner. The past three years he has made all seven of his attempts from 50+ yards. The specialist unit remains intact for 2013, as both long snapper Joe Zelenka and holder/punter/kickoff-specialist Matt Bosher are back. Completing the consistency picture is the fact that the key coaching staff members also remain with the team. After six straight years near the middle of the pack, the Falcons jumped up to 5th place in kicker scoring opportunities last year.
Player Sack FR INT TD Yd/G Pt/G FPT Rank
Arizona Cardinals 38 11 17 5 350 22.5 135.4 10
Arizona Cardinals - The biggest news here is the loss of defensive coordinator Ray Horton. Horton was fairly close to getting the head coaching gig in the offseason, but he was passed over in favor of Bruce Arians. After the snub, there was no chance the Cardinals would be able to retain Horton, and he was off to Cleveland. Left behind is a talented group led by Pro Bowl linebacker Daryl Washington. Washington, however, won't be on field for the first four games after being suspended under the NFL's substance abuse policy. He could also miss additional time after a May arrest on a domestic abuse charge. His absence will not help the Cardinals improve upon a bottom-five run defense which was often battered by opposing running backs. On the other hand, Arizona was fifth best in pass defense in 2012. That secondary has been completely retooled, however, as starting safeties Adrian Wilson and Kerry Rhodes have been replaced by Yeremiah Bell and Rashad Johnson. This is not an improvement. Bringing in Todd Bowles from Philadelphia is a bit of a head-scratcher. With the Eagles in 2012, Bowles' defense was far from impressive. Fantasy speaking, this group is not a defense you want to count on every week - even most weeks. At best, they will be a marginal fantasy starter and could easily regress a good deal in 2013.