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Let's play some math games.
Vegas odds for Mahomes season touchdowns was 21.5. I should have bet the over, I didn't make it to Vegas and California hadn't implemented a way for me to bet yet. I'm killing myself over it.
I predicted a conservative 28. That's what Rodgers threw his first full year of starting.
Mahomes would have to throw 1.2 TDs per game to get 28. That's a 76% dropoff from his production so far. Do you think that's likely based on what we've seen?
By the way 28 would be the third best season in Chiefs history.
He's breaking the Chiefs season TD record his first year. That's a stone cold lock.
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