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Old 06-10-2013, 01:29 PM   #5615
duncan_idaho duncan_idaho is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ChiefsandO'sfan View Post
Call me when your boy has a 50 plus save season. Jim Johnson on pace for another 50 save season 1 bad week of Johnson in 2013 doesn't make Holland better.
Lance Lynn had more Ws last year than Justin Verlander. Does that make him a better pitcher?

Ws, Ss, Rs, RBI.... all stats that are dependent on teammates.

It's nice Jim Johnson saved 50+ last year... but he still doesn't stack up well in advanced value measurements (23rd overall in 2012). He's saving a ton of games because he's getting a ton of opportunities. You can put a lot of other closers in that spot and get the same (or better) results.

Holland is better at every aspect of pitching except for limiting walks (he walks about 2x as many guys as Johnson but strikes out 2.5x as many guys). He crushes Johnson in a lot of the key metrics for relievers (K:9, K:rate, xFIP). And I mean crushes. As in "not close."

But still, it's not what was really funny about your statement. It was including ALL of those guys with the likes of Rivera and Papelbon and Kimbrel. Most of them are at least having seasons that put them in elite territory. Johnson is not.

Lots of guys have had seasons where they were brilliant before falling off. Time will tell if guys like Grilli, Mujica, Reed, etc. can sustain it. That's what separates guys like Papelbon, Kimbrel and Rivera.

Greg Holland is an excellent reliever. Only Jon Papelbon and Kimbrel have contributed more WAR since 2011, when both Johnson and Holland seem to have found their stride. Mariano Rivera is likely above him as well, without the injury last season.
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