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Old 04-30-2014, 02:28 PM   #428
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chiefscafan View Post
ok since we are allowed to trade once i'm taking that option and trading the number 23 to Houston or Washington for at least a second and third and whatever else is fair value whichever team has the better deal
You can use the draft chart in the original post to calculate the trade value of the #23 pick. Since we're working with perfect information, we have to discount the trade value significantly, so if you're going to trade down, multiply the point value of the #23 pick by 0.65. You can then pick up that many points' worth of picks from the team you're trading to.

As an example, the #23 pick is normally worth 760 points. You multiply that by .65 and you can trade it to Houston in return for picks worth 494 points.

Houston holds the following tradable picks (compensatory picks cannot be traded):

1-1 (1st pick) = 3000 points
2-1 (33rd) = 580 points
3-1 (65th) = 265 points
4-1 (101st) = 96 points
5-1 (141st) = 35.5 points
6-1 (177th) = 21.6 points
6-5 (181st) = 20 points
7-1 (216th) = 6 points

So your 494 points can buy you Houston's 3rd, 4th, 5th, both 6ths, and a 7th since they add up to less than that amount. However, you can't get their 2nd since it costs 580 points.

If you want their 2nd, you'd have to come up with more points, but that would make no sense. You could do that, but's not going to be worth it. Trade downs in this game have to be at a significant penalty, because otherwise we'd always trade down a few spots to get our guy and keep picking up extra picks.
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