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Old 08-02-2012, 10:56 AM   #4661
Bambi Bambi is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2008
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Quote:
Originally Posted by duncan_idaho View Post
Places a TON of emphasis on these stats:

Returning starters
Returning stats

I'll use Missouri's receivers, for example. In Phil Steele's methodology, losing Wes Kemp and Jerrell Jackson is a huge negative factor, because they were returning starters who accounted for 20 percent of Missouri's receiving yards. Never mind that the two guys who replace them as "starters" (Marcus Lucas and LD Washington) actually accounted for 26 percent of Missouri's receiving yards.

Returning starters isn't necessarily a great thing. For another example, Tennessee returns 21/22 starters from a team that went 1-7 in SEC play. Is that really something that should be considered a team strength? Getting Bray back from injury is big for them, but their defense and offensive line were not good. Returning all the pieces there is not a positive in my opinion (but it is in Steele's).
"Returning Starters" is something that handicappers have used for years in telling you someone is going to be good. I kind of agree, if the guys sucked from last year won't it just be older sucky guys?

What do you think about DGB's contribution? Are we talking A.J. Green/Julio Jones here? Or more of an off-the-bench guy?
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