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Indy seems to be the only outlier here. 11-5 with a QB who frankly wasn't very good this year. Luck led the NFL in INT until the end of the season, losing the lead to Tony Romo and Brees. He took every snap and won 11 games but with a weak schedule. He really didn't play very well at all this year. It's hard to imagine KC doing much better with Geno Smith, who isn't nearly the polished product Luck was entering the League.
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