Quote:
Originally Posted by Messier
Where did you hear it was 2 #2 picks?
Well Reid must feel and I agree that Geno Smith isn't a franchise QB. He'll probably be someone you have to nurture along, and hope. I guess Reid didn't want to do that, so he went with a QB that can win now.
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Reid doesn't KNOW.
Theres a certain % chance that he is.....lets call it X. You can pick whatever you want for X.
Theres also a certain % chance Alex smith will turn the chiefs into a superbowl contender.....lets call that Y.
Theres also a chance that Geno smith will totally bust, we'll call it A
Theres a chance Alex Smith will Bust....................................................B
Theres a chance Alex smith will be average, lets call that C
Theres a chance Geno smith will be average........Z
The only thing Reid knows is he will be fired if he whiffs.
So, Reid might even think that X>Y, but because A>B, and C is a very large number (C > A > B), C is the safest bet.
If Geno smith busts , it might look worse to the bosses, where if Alex Smith busts or just goes 8-8 meh, its like "well, it was just stop gap anyway"
Its just a safe move to keep your job longer......
What do people think Alex Smith's potential is?