[Hootie]

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut

4K is too high, IMO.

3300-3500 seems reasonable for him. With a passer rating in the high 80s/low 90s and a 2.5-1 TD/INT ratio.

He's not Geno so folks are losing their shit. At the same time, he's probably the best non-Geno option out there. Again, all you need to do is assume that 2 years of learning under Harbaugh as well as an extra 20 games as a starter (1/3 of his career) is enough to make him 10% better than he was as a 25 yr old under one of the 5 worst coaching staffs in the NFL.

If you can accept that reasonable premise, then he's essentially exactly the QB I've described.

Some folks are going to be disappointed in him (the ignorant true fans that are expecting the 100 rated passer he was in SF), some folks are going to be pleasantly surprised by him (90% of this board), but in the end he's going to make a team exactly what it is. No better. No worse.

Like I said, in a vacuum he's a nice addition. He'd damn well better come with Geno as his caddy, though.

I was saying this all earlier and I agree. I really think his ceiling is Trent Green.

If they want to ship a 4th for Smith and draft Smith #1 then I think it's a great move.

If they want to take a QB in the 2nd round or move back into the 1st and take whatever QB they like then I think it's a move that I can at least give a chance.

If Alex Smith is backed up by Matt Cassel, Ricky Stanzi or some scrub 5th round "project" I think it's a terrible shit move.