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(Personal opinion here - not stats.) The other issue I see is that most burglaries are intended to steal shit, not to kill people. While some burglars may carry a weapon in case they end up having to confront people, their primary intent is to steal things of value. Even when confronted, most aren't going to immediately want to kill someone if they don't have to. They'll make threats, they'll point a gun at you, but they're not going to pull a trigger unless they're really feeling threatened. And a homeowner pointing a gun at someone is decidedly threatening.
Will you get to them first? Maybe. But there's a good chance shots wouldn't have been fired in the first place had the homeowner not gone in guns blazing.
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