Quote:
Originally Posted by duncan_idaho
So... I'm bored and procrastinating before a conference call. Which means... it's time for best case/worst case projections courtesy of yours truly.
Note: I'm not going to project things like Ws or Ss or Ls for a pitcher, or RBIs/Rs for a hitter. Too much chance/variance. Best-case listed on line 1. Worst-case on line 2.
SP1 - James Shields: 3.45 ERA/1.20 WHIP/8.5 K/9/220 IP/
4.50 ERA/1.30 WHIP/8.5 K/9/220 IP
SP2 - Jeremy Guthrie: 3.90 ERA/1.22 WHIP/6.0 K/9/205 IP
5.00 ERA/1.35 WHIP/5 K/9/175 IP/
SP3 - Ervin Santana: 3.50 ERA/1.25 WHIP/7.2 K/9/200 IP
5.50 ERA/1.30 WHIP/ 6 K/9/165 IP
SP 4 - Wade Davis: 3.50 ERA/1.20 WHIP/8.0 K/9/200 IP
4.50 ERA/1.30 WHIP/6 K/9/175 IP/
SP5 - Luke Ho... FOR SOME REASON MY KEYBOARD STOPPED WORKING
LF - Alex Gordon: .320/.390 OBP/.515 SLG/25 HR/45 2B/15 SB
.275/.335/.425 SLG/15 HR/45 2B/10 SB
SS - Alcides Escobar: .300/.340 OBP/.425 SLG/8 HR/40 2B/40 SB
.265/.300 OBP/.375 SLG/5 HR/30 2B/25 SB
1B - Eric Hosmer: .300/.350/.525 SLG/35 HR/35 2B/15 SB
.250/.300/.425/15 HR/30 2B/5 SB
DH - Billy Butler: .330/.390 OBP/.525 SLG/35 HR/45 2B/0 SB
.300/.360/.475 SLG/15 HR/45 2B/0 SB
3B - Mike Moustakas: 280/.320/.475 SLG/30 HR/40 2B/5 SB
.250/.280/.425/20 HR/30 2B/0 SB
C - Sal Perez: .320/.350 OBP/.500 SLG/25 HR/35 2B/2 SB
.260/.290/.425/15 HR/30 2B
CF - Lorenzo Cain: .290/.330 OBP/.450 SLG/20 HR/35 2B/25 SB
.260/.300 OBP/.400 SLG/15 HR/25 2B/15 SB
RF - JefF Francoeur: .280/.310 OBP/.450 SLG/25 HR/40 2B/15 SB
THE WORST EVER ... AGAIN
2B - Chris Getz: .275/.325 OBP/.350 SLG/1 HR/30 2B/30 SB
.250/.280 OBP/.325 SLG/0 HR/25 2B/10 SB
Overall, I think the offense performs better and the pitching performs better. They max out around 85 wins unless something really astonishing happens. Good enough to get them into wild card contention but not enough to make it.
This really should have been a team that was 3-6 wins better than its record in 2012. I'm figuring that in as well as 6-8 wins from young players progressing/getting better and better starting pitching.
If the Royals luck swings 3-6 wins in the positive direction in 2013 (which is much less luck than, say, Baltimore had in 2012), they could sneak into a playoff spot/wildcard spot.
|
Hoch, Frenchy, and ideally Getz would be replaced- But on paper that looks like a pretty decent team.