Thread: Elections 538
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Old 10-31-2012, 07:41 PM   #703
whoman69 whoman69 is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
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New numbers are up. The confidence in Obama winning has crept up to a 78.4% rate, close to the numbers he was hitting in the month following the Democratic convention before the first debate. I think its mainly higher because Romney is either not eating into the leads on the state level, or is running out of time to improve his numbers enough to make a difference.

Popular vote is now 50.5-48.6 so there is not much movement on that front.

Battleground states in order of closeness:
Florida 59.5% Romney
Virginia 60.1% Obama
Colorado 62.1% Obama
Iowa 75.8% Obama
New Hampshire 76% Obama
Ohio 79.3% Obama
North Carolina 81.4% Romney
Nevada 84.9% Obama
Wisconsin 88.9% Obama
Pennsylvania 95.3% Obama
Michigan 98.1% Obama
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