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Old 05-22-2012, 10:09 PM   #697
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Quote:
Originally Posted by frazod View Post
Well, this is a bit more pessimistic than I'd like, but I agree, it will be nice to see this outing against a team that doesn't suck. Sure would have been nice to see it against Atlanta last weekend.
The velocity thing worries me a ton.

A pitchers velocity generally stabilizes around his 6th start. If it hasn't come back by that point in the season, it isn't going to. And frankly, you rarely ever see a pitcher just gain velocity a season later, even coming off TJ surgery (most of them will gain command and consistency, but not velocity).

If Waino's cap is 90 MPH, you have to lower his ceiling. He's no longer a legitimate CY contender at that point; he's just a very good #2 starter.

So yeah, it's a little pessimistic, but it worries the hell out of me.
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