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Old 05-23-2012, 06:17 PM   #703
BigRedChief BigRedChief is offline
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Originally Posted by DJ's left nut View Post
The velocity thing worries me a ton.

A pitchers velocity generally stabilizes around his 6th start. If it hasn't come back by that point in the season, it isn't going to. And frankly, you rarely ever see a pitcher just gain velocity a season later, even coming off TJ surgery (most of them will gain command and consistency, but not velocity).

If Waino's cap is 90 MPH, you have to lower his ceiling. He's no longer a legitimate CY contender at that point; he's just a very good #2 starter.

So yeah, it's a little pessimistic, but it worries the hell out of me.
Greg Maddox is scoffing at your assumption.
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