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Old 01-04-2011, 10:46 AM   #4
Rain Man Rain Man is offline
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I'd forgotten about this.

I think they're missing the most obvious scenario plan. If I win the coin toss in overtime now, I might elect to kick off (or take the wind - whatever). The reason? All I have to do is stop a touchdown now, because a field goal isn't fatal. So the outcomes if I kick off are:

- they get a touchdown, which means I'm screwed but it probably doesn't happen.
- they get a field goal, which then means I get the ball and know exactly what I need to do to tie or win.
- my defense stops them (or even gets a turnover), which likely means I have much better field position, and now my field goal wins the game, whereas if I got the ball first it didn't necessarily mean that.

I think Point #3 is huge, which means I want the other team to get the ball first.
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