Quote:
Originally Posted by Prison Bitch
Strahm straight up is FV but then, I really like Strahm.
The Cards aren't selling despite your protestations. Their FG playoff odds are actually better than the Royals (24% - 22%) so who exactly would be the seller there? The NL is hot dogshit outside 2 excellent teams.
What's Lynn's current value anyway? Pitch FX says his velocity is down 1-2mph and his FB value has gone from elite to good. Given his secondary stuff has always had slightly negative value, it may be fair to ask: did Lynns injury sap his FB veto or location or movement? If so he's JAG at the back of a rotation, Edinson Volquez redux
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I agree. Lynn is a JAG at the back of a rotation. But the question isn't necessarily what I'd pay for him as much as what the market will bear for him.
That's why I say his value should start at roughly the compensation pick - I think he'll decline the QO and get the money he needs to break that $50 million threshold. As such, that's where any offer the Cardinals should consider needs to start. And if I'm the Royals, I wouldn't give up that much to get him.
As for the 'why', to me it's simple TJ rust. Everybody that comes back from TJ is 'getting to know' their arm again in that 1st year back. It doesn't mean much in the grand scheme of things unless they're just hot garbage. Lynn isn't so that's a good sign going forward. I suspect he'll be back to where he was prior to the injury by next season.
But 'where he was' is still prone as hell to getting wrecked by lefties because he refuses to challenge them with fastballs at their hands and doesn't have the breaking pitch to beat them away. So he just nibbles till he walks them or feeds them a cockshot.
I was a huge Lynn fan about 3 years ago but he just never got over this LHH problem. That limits him to being a 3rd starter (4th on a very good squad). I'm not sure what value that truly has. Then again, Mike Leake got $80 million so one needn't be good to be expensive anymore.
And the Cards aren't selling because they're delusional. They aren't getting past the Dodgers or the Nats. And that's if they could even survive the D-Backs, Brewers, Rockies or this weird watered down version of the Cubs.
They have no business staying in this. The team isn't good enough.