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Originally Posted by KCWolfman
I don't find either to be unlikely. While Michigan has home court they have more flaws than any other top ten team at this time. This is Crean's motivational moment. Indiana is the superior team.
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Of course they're the superior team. But superior teams lose on the road all the time to teams that are nowhere near as good as Michigan. It's college basketball, home court advantage is immense. Considering Michigan hasn't lost at home all year, it's exactly what I'd call unlikely.
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Even more likely will be that Duke creams a North Carolina team that has fallen hard this year.
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It sounds like you haven't watched UNC over the last month. They've been playing great basketball since Roy decided to go small. They haven't lost since they nearly beat Duke at Cameron in early February. When you consider that (+ the fact that Duke hasn't played a good road game all year against any kind of decent opposition), UNC is the favorite.