Quote:
Originally Posted by BigCatDaddy
Was he used in high level situations in TB or like we have to use Hoch now?
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Looking at some advanced stats, a few things pop out....
1) According to Fangraphs, Davis threw his slider 10.9 percent of the time last year, and it was a positive value pitch - about 5 runs above average. He has thrown it zero percent of the time this year.
2) Instead, Davis has picked up a cutter that he didn't throw at ALL in Tampa. that has been a completely dogshit pitch. He is nearly 7 runs below average with that pitch this season while throwing it 22 percent of the time. His fastball is also 8 runs below average. Would suspect those two things are related.
What's terrifying? Neither one is as bad as LUke Hochevar's fastball last year, which was 17.5 runs below average.
3) Davis had slightly negative value in high leverage situations (-0.42) according to Fangraphs, which means he was 0.42 percent worse in those spots than if he had been in a non-clutch situation.
4) Looking at Baseball Ref's advanced reliever stats... Davis appeared 54 times in 2012 for Tampa, and 13 of those were "High Leverage" situations. 10 were "Medium." The rest were "Low" or clean innings.
5) Davis blew just one "save" in 2012 and picked up 6 holds. He entered in 9 save situations. Not sure what happened the other two times.
6) Only 5 of 20 inherited runners scored for Davis, so he did a pretty good job there. 25 percent is a strong score.
7) To show, once again, how stupid fWAR for pitchers is... Davis has a 1.1 fWAR score, which is flat-out stupid. bWAR has him at -2.0, which seems about right for the worst starter in major league baseball this year.