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I don't think it was Walt. He'd have to be some kind of super-stealthy ninja to pull that off. This is Walt we're talking about here. Master of subtlety and subterfuge he is not. He's more of a toss a bomb down in the middle Tuco's hideout/car bomb Gus kind of guy. (Yes, I realize he created the ricin, and why, but when has he ever successfully pulled anything off....)
Although I'm not convinced it's Gus, either. That could just be paranoia on Walt's part being translated to Jesse and by extension the viewer.
It it possible it was just an accident? Maybe we'll start the next episode with a flashback to the kid digging through Jesse's cigarettes, finding the cigarette in question, and then somehow ricin ensues.
The whole concept of the kid being deliberately poisoned seems somewhat far-fetched to me. Culprit would have to know Jesse has the cigarette, would have to know what that cigarette contains, would have to somehow successfully poison only the kid. Seems like a lot of moving parts. Easier to just shoot him.
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