Thread: Elections 538
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Old 09-21-2012, 07:42 PM   #190
whoman69 whoman69 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tiptap View Post
If you divide the electoral votes by the number of states for Mitt it averages about 9 for 22 states. And if they are overwhelmingly in favor of Mitt then the national average could be close but the nearly average 15 for 22 states electoral average for Obama outdistances Mitt with a large number in Electoral College.
If its like Bush's loss in the popular vote, that was built entirely on huge differences in New York and California. Gore won those state by more than 2 million votes, but the difference in the popular vote was around 500K.

Today's update extends the Obama lead to a 76.9% chance of victory. Romney's gaffes are catching up to him. He better not start sweating or the spray tan will start running.
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