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Old 10-29-2010, 09:02 AM   Topic Starter
WebGem WebGem is offline
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AFC West

If you had to tag each team with a percentage chance of winning the division, what would they be? Or you can just say the Chiefs, since that's all I really care about.

KC - 70%
SD - 15%
OAK - 11%
DEN - 4%

Does this seem biased at all? KC has 2 of their toughest games behind them, SD has those same two exact games in front of them. Oakland has a couple tough games including @PIT. Denver just seems done. I really think SD is still the only team with a chance and they just keep proving they aren't gonna go on that huge run they need to in order to win the division.

Here's to hoping Tennessee can go into SD this week and basically clinch it for KC!
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Old 10-29-2010, 09:05 AM   #2
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I think Oakland is a better team and has a better chance than your numbers show.

Chiefs 50%
Raiders 30%
Chargers 15%
Tards 5%
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Old 10-29-2010, 09:35 AM   #3
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Originally Posted by Zeke View Post
I think Oakland is a better team and has a better chance than your numbers show.

Chiefs 50%
Raiders 30%
Chargers 15%
Tards 5%
This. Oakland is only a game and a half back and showing signs of life, although our remaining schedule is much more favorable. If we falter, they could catch us. Our games against them will be huge.

The other two? Stick a fork in 'em.
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Old 10-29-2010, 10:05 AM   #4
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Originally Posted by Zeke View Post
I think Oakland is a better team and has a better chance than your numbers show.

Chiefs 50%
Raiders 30%
Chargers 15%
Tards 5%
It's not that I don't think Oakland is better than SD, because they very well may be. But it's that I think Oakland has showed just about how good they are, and it's really unlikely for them to go on a huge run and end up 11-5 or 10-6. The Chargers are probably not gonna go on a huge run, but I'd say it's more possible for them to end the season on a 8-1 run than it is for Oakland to end up 10-6 themselves. Basically, I think there's a lot more variance in how the Chargers could end their season where the Raiders should be more defined at this point. I can't see how you can possibly think the Chiefs only have a 50% chance of winning the division though.
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Old 10-29-2010, 10:05 AM   #5
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Originally Posted by Zeke View Post
I think Oakland is a better team and has a better chance than your numbers show.

Chiefs 50%
Raiders 30%
Chargers 15%
Tards 5%
But yeah, Tards 5%.
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Old 10-29-2010, 12:24 PM   #6
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Originally Posted by Zeke View Post
I think Oakland is a better team and has a better chance than your numbers show.

Chiefs 50%
Raiders 30%
Chargers 15%
Tards 5%
By the numbers the Raiders should be predicted to LEAD the AFCW.

They have not only beaten two AFCW teams but have CLOBBERED them.
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Old 10-29-2010, 01:32 PM   #7
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By the numbers the Raiders should be predicted to LEAD the AFCW.

They have not only beaten two AFCW teams but have CLOBBERED them.
Exactly why I think they will finish 2nd or push KC for 1st in the AFC West. They've already played the Donks and Chargers, one being on the road. KC has only played 1 divisional game and it was at home. There is still a Lot of food to be eaten on this table.
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Old 10-29-2010, 02:02 PM   #8
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KC has only played 1 divisional game and it was at home. There is still a Lot of food to be eaten on this table.
In a frickin' monsoon as well. I agree with your last comment.
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Old 10-29-2010, 09:27 AM   #9
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I'd go with

Chiefs: 62%
Raiders: 27%
Chargers: 8%
Broncos: 3%
All other teams: 0%
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Old 10-29-2010, 09:38 AM   #10
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http://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/news?slu...forecast102710

AFC Projections Playoff Perc.

Kansas City Chiefs 65.6%
Oakland Raiders 3.1%
Denver Broncos 3.9%
San Diego Chargers 35.0%
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Old 10-29-2010, 10:08 AM   #11
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AccuScore

http://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/news?slu...forecast102710

AFC Projections Playoff Perc.

Kansas City Chiefs 65.6%
Oakland Raiders 3.1%
Denver Broncos 3.9%
San Diego Chargers 35.0%
If you can't add up to 100 percent, you shouldn't be allowed to call yourself Accuscore.
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Old 10-29-2010, 09:47 AM   #12
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Kansas City 85.4
San Diego 14.1
Denver 0.4
Oakland 0.1

DaFace

Kansas City 65%
San Diego 15%
Oakland 15%
Denver 5%
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Old 10-29-2010, 10:06 AM   #13
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http://www.nfl-forecast.com

Kansas City 85.4
San Diego 14.1
Denver 0.4
Oakland 0.1

DaFace

Kansas City 65%
San Diego 15%
Oakland 15%
Denver 5%
Oakland 0.1%? Umm, lol? I mean, I there's just zero credibility when you see that.
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Old 10-29-2010, 10:08 AM   #14
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http://www.nfl-forecast.com

Kansas City 85.4
San Diego 14.1
Denver 0.4
Oakland 0.1

DaFace

Kansas City 65%
San Diego 15%
Oakland 15%
Denver 5%
What's the deal with the 0.1, cdcox? Do they have a really hard schedule coming up or something, or do you still have Jamarcus in your equations?
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Old 10-29-2010, 10:06 AM   #15
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The Chargers' remaining schedule is too tough. There will be no season-ending winning streak this year.
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