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Old 09-04-2012, 07:07 PM   Topic Starter
Direckshun Direckshun is offline
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How pessimistic has this place become?

I've gotta be the guy who posts WF's prediction that the Chiefs win.

http://www.walterfootball.com/nflpicks2012_01early.php

Atlanta Falcons (0-0) at Kansas City Chiefs (0-0)
Line: Falcons by 2.5. Total: 42.
Walt's Projected Line (Before Preseason): Chiefs -1.

ATLANTA OFFENSE: This was supposed to be a great matchup. An improved Matt Ryan and a dominant Julio Jones versus a Kansas City defense that shut down Aaron Rodgers last December? Sign me up. Several weeks ago, this seemed like THE battle to watch on opening Sunday.

That's not the case anymore, unfortunately. Elite pass-rusher Tamba Hali has been suspended because of a marijuana arrest. Top cornerback Brandon Flowers will be a game-time decision because of an ankle injury. Stud inside linebacker Derrick Johnson should be able to play, but won't be 100 percent because of his own ankle malady.

With all of that in mind, it's difficult to envision the Chiefs having much luck against Atlanta's dynamic passing attack. Matt Ryan figures to have tons of time to throw without having to worry about Hali, and he'll easily connect with Jones on multiple occasions, thanks to the presumed absence of Flowers. Running the ball won't be much of an option because Michael Turner is completely finished, but the Falcons won't need to do that because their offense is now primarily aerially based.

KANSAS CITY OFFENSE: The Chiefs will have some issues defensively this week, but they should be able to move the chains pretty efficiently. They're going to run the ball as good as anyone this season, thanks to the dynamic tandem of the currently healthy Jamaal Charles and Peyton Hillis, as well as a bolstered offensive line with Eric Winston as a massive upgrade over the inept Barry Richardson at right tackle.

The Falcons were 12th in the NFL against the run last year, but that ranking will likely drop, thanks to Curtis Lofton's departure. Replacement Akeem Dent struggled a bit in the preseason, so I'm expecting the Chiefs to rip off big gains on the ground.

This will open up play-action opportunities for Matt Cassel, who will need them because he's not a good quarterback. He should at least be protected well, making the daunting task of battling cornerbacks Brent Grimes and Asante Samuel a bit easier. It also helps that starting receivers Dwayne Bowe and Jonathan Baldwin have a very healthy size advantage over Atlanta's two corners. And not to be forgotten, Dexter McCluster is finally being utilized correctly out of the slot. I think he could be a PPR monster this year.

RECAP: This is a tough spot for the Falcons, who aren't nearly as good in outdoor games. Following this matchup against the "crappy" Chiefs, they have to deal with Peyton Manning's Broncos, Philip Rivers' Chargers and Cam Newton's Panthers. They won't be completely focused, especially now that Hali is out. And yes, teams do look past Week 1 games.

Despite missing Hali and possibly Flowers, I feel like the Chiefs are underrated. They run the ball extremely well, while Romeo Crennel is still a defensive mastermind who will have something up his sleeve for Ryan. I'd like Kansas City as my September NFL Pick of the Month if they were completely healthy, but this is still a multi-unit play for me.

The Psychology. Edge: Chiefs.
The Falcons have the Broncos, Chargers and Panthers after this battle against the Chiefs, who weren't any good last year. They may not be 100-percent focused.

Opening Line: Falcons -1.
Opening Total: 41.

Week 1 NFL Pick: Chiefs 20, Falcons 17
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Old 09-04-2012, 07:09 PM   #2
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Old 09-04-2012, 07:11 PM   #3
Mr_Tomahawk Mr_Tomahawk is offline
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Old 09-04-2012, 09:48 PM   #4
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Old 09-04-2012, 07:10 PM   #5
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Old 09-04-2012, 07:12 PM   #6
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Old 09-04-2012, 07:12 PM   #7
Hammock Parties Hammock Parties is offline
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Old 09-04-2012, 07:13 PM   #8
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Old 09-04-2012, 07:16 PM   #9
Black Bob Black Bob is offline
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This read is right on.

23-20 Chiefs win
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Old 09-04-2012, 07:16 PM   #10
Hammock Parties Hammock Parties is offline
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We *should* be pessimistic.

The "optimistic" logic for this team is based on a 5-game stretch from 2010 against bottom feeders.

That and some kind of baseless, blind hope that Romeo Crennel is a good head coach and Cassel can actually beat good teams.

We should be crossing our arms and furrowing our brows this year until the team proves it's worthy of any kind of hope.
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Old 09-04-2012, 07:23 PM   #11
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I'm trying keep a ballancing act between being optomistic and pessimistic. I don't have expectations to win with Matt Cassel at least I figure the team will play tough and be respectful. Knock some heads off people *snap* peyton Mannings neck. Beat the ****ing raiders. That's my expectations but not optomistic about the post season with Matt Cassel. I hate to go 8 & 8 but that seems to be what this team is headed.
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Old 09-04-2012, 07:32 PM   #12
BigMeatballDave BigMeatballDave is offline
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Originally Posted by Cassel's Reckoning View Post
We *should* be pessimistic.

The "optimistic" logic for this team is based on a 5-game stretch from 2010 against bottom feeders.

That and some kind of baseless, blind hope that Romeo Crennel is a good head coach and Cassel can actually beat good teams.

We should be crossing our arms and furrowing our brows this year until the team proves it's worthy of any kind of hope.
Or, we can just be a fan and not take this stuff so serious.

Your new persona isn't going to change Pioli's ways or get him fired any sooner.

All we can do is hope for the best, or ignore the team entirely.
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Old 09-05-2012, 02:44 AM   #13
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Or, we can just be a fan and not take this stuff so serious.

Your new persona isn't going to change Pioli's ways or get him fired any sooner.

All we can do is hope for the best, or ignore the team entirely.
yep, I've pretty much gone all the way down to "expect the worst and hope for the best" anymore.
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Old 09-04-2012, 07:25 PM   #14
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The last time the Chiefs won a playoff game, I was 11. The longer the streak continues, the more pessimistic we'll be.

It doesn't help that there's our QB to consider and that our defense is banged up. I think our offense will probably do better than we expect with Charles and Hillis, but I have trouble thinking we're doing to stop the Falcons offense with half of our backfield injured.
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Old 09-04-2012, 07:28 PM   #15
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