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Old 11-02-2012, 07:30 PM   Topic Starter
petegz28 petegz28 is offline
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I'll call it now..Ohio goes Romney

As of last night:

165k less early votes for Obama compared to 2008

98k more votes for Romney compared to 2008 for McCain

Obama won Ohio in 08 in early voting and actualy lost on election day but early vote carried him.


That's a huge ****ing swing. It will be close but I'll call it for Romney
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Old 11-02-2012, 07:32 PM   #2
dirk digler dirk digler is offline
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Thanks Karl.

As I posted in the 538 thread..

Rasmussen Ohio: It is over (my words)

Quote:
Forty percent (40%) of Ohio voters say they have already cast their ballots, and among these voters, the president has a comfortable 56% to 41% lead.

Both candidates earn better than 90% support from voters in their respective parties. The president is ahead 50% to 41% among voters not affiliated with either major political party.
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Old 11-02-2012, 07:37 PM   #3
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dirk digler View Post
Thanks Karl.

As I posted in the 538 thread..

Rasmussen Ohio: It is over (my words)
We shall see...
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Old 11-02-2012, 07:40 PM   #4
dirk digler dirk digler is offline
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Originally Posted by petegz28 View Post
We shall see...
We shall but I don't see any way if he is losing that bad with the early vote and independents.
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Old 11-02-2012, 07:42 PM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dirk digler View Post
We shall but I don't see any way if he losing that bad with the early vote and independents.
As I said, Obama won Ohio purely on early in 2008. The actually votes cast on election day carried for McCain but wasn't enough to overcome the early vote.

The early vote turnout is significantly down for Obama this year. If pattern holds true then election day votes could very well carry the state for Romney.
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Old 11-02-2012, 07:44 PM   #6
dirk digler dirk digler is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by petegz28 View Post
As I said, Obama won Ohio purely on early in 2008. The actually votes cast on election day carried for McCain but wasn't enough to overcome the early vote.

The early vote turnout is significantly down for Obama this year. If pattern holds true then election day votes could very well carry the state for Romney.
What % did McCain beat Obama by on election day votes?
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Old 11-02-2012, 07:44 PM   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by petegz28 View Post
As I said, Obama won Ohio purely on early in 2008. The actually votes cast on election day carried for McCain but wasn't enough to overcome the early vote.

The early vote turnout is significantly down for Obama this year. If pattern holds true then election day votes could very well carry the state for Romney.
Where are you getting that?
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Old 11-02-2012, 07:47 PM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by petegz28 View Post
As I said, Obama won Ohio purely on early in 2008. The actually votes cast on election day carried for McCain but wasn't enough to overcome the early vote.

The early vote turnout is significantly down for Obama this year. If pattern holds true then election day votes could very well carry the state for Romney.
False premise. 1 in 8 jobs in Ohio are auto related. Obama saved the industry. Romeny's plan would have permanently killed the auto history.
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Old 11-02-2012, 07:47 PM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dirk digler View Post
We shall but I don't see any way if he is losing that bad with the early vote and independents.
You say that and yet reference Rassmussen who still has the state at 49-49.
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Old 11-02-2012, 07:35 PM   #10
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Pete, wanna bet some real money?
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Old 11-02-2012, 07:38 PM   #11
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Pete, wanna bet some real money?
I'll never bet money on politics
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Old 11-02-2012, 07:36 PM   #12
Aries Walker Aries Walker is offline
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All I ask is if (when) Obama wins, you come back in and admit that you were wrong; no qualifiers, no excuses, just that you, and all of the Republican prognosticators, were wrong. If Romney somehow wins, I will do the same, without blaming voter suppression or any of that jazz.

That's all I ask.
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Old 11-02-2012, 07:38 PM   #13
petegz28 petegz28 is offline
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Originally Posted by Aries Walker View Post
All I ask is if (when) Obama wins, you come back in and admit that you were wrong; no qualifiers, no excuses, just that you, and all of the Republican prognosticators, were wrong. If Romney somehow wins, I will do the same, without blaming voter suppression or any of that jazz.

That's all I ask.
If I'm wrong I'll say I was wrong. I have never had any problems with doing such.
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Old 11-02-2012, 07:38 PM   #14
cosmo20002 cosmo20002 is offline
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Originally Posted by petegz28 View Post
I'll call it now..Ohio goes Romney
First Dick Morris, and now you, are calling Ohio for Romney. That is excellent news for Obama.
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Old 11-02-2012, 07:42 PM   #15
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First Dick Morris, and now you, are calling Ohio for Romney. That is excellent news for Obama.
I'm still waiting on that UN treaty to take everyone's guns
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