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Old 11-18-2013, 09:53 AM  
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AFC West race

So we are now tied with the Donks at 9-1. The loss yesterday sucks but it isn't season defining by any means. We still control our own destiny for the division and a first round bye which is all that any team can ask for coming down the stretch.

So how much chance do you give the Chiefs to win the division? Here is the remaining schedule for each team.

Dungver:
@ NE
@ KC
vs Tenn
vs SD
@ HOU
@ OAK

Chiefs:
vs SD
vs DEN
@ WAS
@ OAK
vs IND
@ SD

Looking at the remaining schedules it is pretty clear that the next two weeks will in all likelihood decide the division. I think we win this week and the Donks lose at the Patriots. Then at home against Denver we would have a good chance to put a two game difference between us. After that, I am assuming that Denver will win out. However, one game that could be interesting is at Houston. They have the offensive horses to keep up, and some playmakers on defense, so that game could be very interesting.

I don't see Washington or Oakland as a threat. Then after that, Indy is clearly not the same without Wayne. They really have not looked too good as of late. Luck has done his thing but I don't see how they score against our defense in Arrowhead.

The the last game at San Diego, will in my estimation, be a throw away game for San Diego. Sure they will want to beat us, but if they have recently been eliminated from the playoffs they won't be 100% invested. Also if the next two weeks and subsequent games after that go as I think they will, that game won't matter to us either as we will already have the division and first round bye locked up.

I really think that after these next two weeks we will be 11-1 and the Donks will be 9-3. That gives us a one game cushion to lose a game we shouldn't or to not have any real importance to the last game at San Diego. I think we end up at 14-2 and Denver at 13-3.

How does everyone see this thing playing out? We weren't going 16-0, so although yesterday's loss is annoying and I would have rather lost at Buffalo than at Denver, we are still in a pretty good spot. These next two games are huge, and though it is possible I am being a too much of a homer, I really think we will be back in first placem, and quite possibly up by two games, after our Denver game in Arrowhead.
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Old 11-18-2013, 09:56 AM   #2
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We should not expect any of our games to be automatic wins.
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Old 11-18-2013, 09:58 AM   #3
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If we have to score 24 to win you can pretty well mark that one as a loss
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Old 11-18-2013, 10:03 AM   #4
Iowanian Iowanian is offline
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This is a big week.

The Chiefs have to roll the Eggos at home, which should be doable if they play well.

Donks playing sunday night AT NE is good for the Chiefs too. A night game, longer travel and what should be a physical game prior to coming to Arrowhead. If the Donks win the next 2 weeks they'll deserve the division. I don't see it happening that way.
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Old 11-18-2013, 10:04 AM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by notorious View Post
We should not expect any of our games to be automatic wins.
Definitely not for the most part. But I do expect the next two to be victories. After that there is probably a loss in there somewhere but if we do get this two game lead in the next two weeks, that wouldn't hurt us too bad. We really need to fix our red zone offense though. That seems like something that can be fixed with better and more imaginative play calling.
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Old 11-18-2013, 10:04 AM   #6
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This baseball stat guy was on the radio the other day and he said that based on stats, this match up was one of the biggest in NFL history. You literally had the number 1 offense and defense across the board matching up against each other.
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Old 11-18-2013, 10:07 AM   #7
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Denver will be 13-3 and we will be 12-4 w/ one playoff game win.
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Old 11-18-2013, 10:08 AM   #8
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Denver will be 13-3 and we will be 12-4 w/ one playoff game win.
What are the three losses you see us getting?
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Old 11-18-2013, 10:09 AM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Iowanian View Post
This is a big week.

The Chiefs have to roll the Eggos at home, which should be doable if they play well.

Donks playing sunday night AT NE is good for the Chiefs too. A night game, longer travel and what should be a physical game prior to coming to Arrowhead. If the Donks win the next 2 weeks they'll deserve the division. I don't see it happening that way.




This is how I see the next two weeks folding out too.
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Old 11-18-2013, 10:13 AM   #10
ChiefRocka ChiefRocka is offline
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IND
@SD
DEN


Teams with elite QB's.
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Old 11-18-2013, 10:14 AM   #11
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At Oakland a gimme? I don't think so. At Wash? At SD? Denver? Not a lot of fluff in there when you factor location
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Old 11-18-2013, 10:18 AM   #12
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IND
@SD
DEN


Teams with elite QB's.
But Rivers is reerun / Elite so...
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Old 11-18-2013, 10:19 AM   #13
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IND
@SD
DEN


Teams with elite QB's.
So how is Denver getting three losses if one of them isn't to us? They could lose at Houston but I am not counting on it. For us I can see a loss to SD but it could be that it doesn't matter if we are 11-1 and Denver is 9-3. Indy can't beat us here. They have been getting smacked around the last three games. I realize they won at Houston and at Tennessee but Houston clearly lost focus after what happened and Tennessee's butt fumble cost them the game.
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Old 11-18-2013, 10:19 AM   #14
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Old 11-18-2013, 10:23 AM   #15
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What are the three losses you see us getting?
Chiefs will lose to Indy IMO. In fact I think you can get beat by SD, Den, Wash, and Indy. These are teams that can put up a points quickly.
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