Draft tendencies of the Parcells tree.

Ralphy Boy · 01-11-2010, 11:30 PM

Indulge me for a minute if you will. I was bored and trying to get some insight into the staff’s draft thoughts; NOT just for this draft but also for future drafts. I would really like to see us draft Eric Berry, if he's there, but didn't know how likely it was that we'd actually take him if we had the chance.

I pulled some of the data of the draft history of our staff to see if I could get any better of an idea. Given that Haley & Pioli are from the Parcells tree, I looked at his drafts as well going back to his days with the Patriots. Every staff has their tendencies so I figured it was worth a shot and if not Berry, what position do they place enough value on to go after.

I looked at Pioli's Patriots, Crennel's Browns, Haley & Pendergast's Cardinals as well as Parcells' Patriots, Jets, Cowboys & Dolphins.
I only considered Crennel’s & Pendergast’s defensive draft picks during their tenure except during Haley & CP's tenure in AZ, when I considered all of the picks.
Since we all know that Pioli & Haley already took one 1st round d-linemen in, I didn't consider our 2009 draft in the numbers.

I don’t care to get into a philosophical debate about why they draft whomever they draft, these are just the facts based on the above criteria.

1st Round Facts: Only 1 RB & 1 WR have been selected in the first round. Only Parcells has ever drafted a QB in the first (Pennington & Bledsoe). Parcells & Haley each took 1 OT. Pioli & Clancy each took a S, though Rolle's intended role was CB.

The most frequent picks: 7 LB’s were taken. Parcells took 5 of them but has yet to in Miami. The only others that did not take one were Haley & Clancy in AZ. Pioli & RC each took one.
5 d-linemen were taken. Pioli took 3 in NE and Parcells took 2 (Jets & Cowboys).
5 CB’s were taken with Parcells taking 3 & Haley/Clancy taking Rodgers Cromartie & Rolle.
3 TE’s were taken, 2 by Pioli and both during Weis tenure there.

Given that there were 28 first rounders between them with 18 of them being spent on defense, so there is a 64% chance we'll draft a defensive player.

The odds of taking a position are as follows:

LB = 7 = 25%. DL = 5 = 17.8%, CB = 5 = 17.8%, TE = 3 = 10.7%, QB, OT, S, RB, G, WR = 1 = 3.5%

There is a 42.8% chance that we'll draft someone for our front 7 and a 21% chance they will be in the secondary.

What I take from this is that the odds are we likely won't be drafting a WR, S, RB or G in the first round of any draft.

Eric Berry fans on the Planet probably already know that Pioli took Merriweather in the first, though he was the 24th pick. Antrel Rolle went 8, but he was originally a CB. Romeo, Clancy & Parcells have never drafted a safety in the first round. I’m hoping we get Berry and I do think his talent is probably too good for Pioli to pass up.

Basically I just wanted to post those percentages so that I/we can look back on them later and see how they hold up after the draft.

01-11-2010, 11:30 PM	Topic Starter
Ralphy Boy MVP Join Date: Aug 2001 Casino cash: $10004900	Draft tendencies of the Parcells tree. Indulge me for a minute if you will. I was bored and trying to get some insight into the staff’s draft thoughts; NOT just for this draft but also for future drafts. I would really like to see us draft Eric Berry, if he's there, but didn't know how likely it was that we'd actually take him if we had the chance. I pulled some of the data of the draft history of our staff to see if I could get any better of an idea. Given that Haley & Pioli are from the Parcells tree, I looked at his drafts as well going back to his days with the Patriots. Every staff has their tendencies so I figured it was worth a shot and if not Berry, what position do they place enough value on to go after. I looked at Pioli's Patriots, Crennel's Browns, Haley & Pendergast's Cardinals as well as Parcells' Patriots, Jets, Cowboys & Dolphins. I only considered Crennel’s & Pendergast’s defensive draft picks during their tenure except during Haley & CP's tenure in AZ, when I considered all of the picks. Since we all know that Pioli & Haley already took one 1st round d-linemen in, I didn't consider our 2009 draft in the numbers. I don’t care to get into a philosophical debate about why they draft whomever they draft, these are just the facts based on the above criteria. 1st Round Facts: Only 1 RB & 1 WR have been selected in the first round. Only Parcells has ever drafted a QB in the first (Pennington & Bledsoe). Parcells & Haley each took 1 OT. Pioli & Clancy each took a S, though Rolle's intended role was CB. The most frequent picks: 7 LB’s were taken. Parcells took 5 of them but has yet to in Miami. The only others that did not take one were Haley & Clancy in AZ. Pioli & RC each took one. 5 d-linemen were taken. Pioli took 3 in NE and Parcells took 2 (Jets & Cowboys). 5 CB’s were taken with Parcells taking 3 & Haley/Clancy taking Rodgers Cromartie & Rolle. 3 TE’s were taken, 2 by Pioli and both during Weis tenure there. Given that there were 28 first rounders between them with 18 of them being spent on defense, so there is a 64% chance we'll draft a defensive player. The odds of taking a position are as follows: LB = 7 = 25%. DL = 5 = 17.8%, CB = 5 = 17.8%, TE = 3 = 10.7%, QB, OT, S, RB, G, WR = 1 = 3.5% There is a 42.8% chance that we'll draft someone for our front 7 and a 21% chance they will be in the secondary. What I take from this is that the odds are we likely won't be drafting a WR, S, RB or G in the first round of any draft. Eric Berry fans on the Planet probably already know that Pioli took Merriweather in the first, though he was the 24th pick. Antrel Rolle went 8, but he was originally a CB. Romeo, Clancy & Parcells have never drafted a safety in the first round. I’m hoping we get Berry and I do think his talent is probably too good for Pioli to pass up. Basically I just wanted to post those percentages so that I/we can look back on them later and see how they hold up after the draft.
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