Chiefs Top-Ten QBs: What to Expect.

**Rain Man** · 12-17-2012, 07:02 PM

Okay, let's assume that we're #1 and we draft Geno. What does Geno end up doing for us?

Recognizing that there's some controversy about whether he's a "normal #1 pick", let's look at the quarterbacks taken in the top 10 in the draft over the past 20 years. I'm not sure whether to include the last class or two since we don't know what we've got yet, but I'll throw them in.

I'm putting them in my own order of value, but feel free to rearrange. With some of the new guys, it's hard to place them right now.

Having said that, we've got the following gentlemen in our group.

90th percentile
Peyton Manning
Donovan McNabb
Steve McNair

80th percentile
Eli Manning
Drew Bledsoe
Robert Griffin III

70th percentile
Philip Rivers
Matthew Stafford
Matt Ryan
Cam Newton

60th percentile
Andrew Luck
Michael Vick
Carson Palmer

50th percentile
Kerry Collins
Trent Dilfer
Alex Smith

40th percentile
Sam Bradford
Jake Locker
Byron Leftwich

30th percentile
David Carr
Vince Young
Tim Couch
Ryan Tannehill

20th percentile
Mark Sanchez
Blaine Gabbert
Rick Mirer

10th percentile
Joey Harrington
Heath Shuler
Matt Leinert

0th percentile
Akili Smith
Jamarcus Russell
Ryan Leaf

So there's about a 30 percent chance that we'll get a total bust out of the deal, and another 30 percent that we'll get a game manager who is not a toad, but he's not going to carry the team. The other 40 percent looks pretty darn good, and since Geno will go #1, you hope that his odds are a little better than this.

What say you, rank and file members?

12-17-2012, 07:02 PM	Topic Starter
Rain Man Seize life. Be an ermine. Join Date: Jul 2001 Location: My house Casino cash: $-482449 VARSITY	Top-Ten QBs: What to Expect. Okay, let's assume that we're #1 and we draft Geno. What does Geno end up doing for us? Recognizing that there's some controversy about whether he's a "normal #1 pick", let's look at the quarterbacks taken in the top 10 in the draft over the past 20 years. I'm not sure whether to include the last class or two since we don't know what we've got yet, but I'll throw them in. I'm putting them in my own order of value, but feel free to rearrange. With some of the new guys, it's hard to place them right now. Having said that, we've got the following gentlemen in our group. 90th percentile Peyton Manning Donovan McNabb Steve McNair 80th percentile Eli Manning Drew Bledsoe Robert Griffin III 70th percentile Philip Rivers Matthew Stafford Matt Ryan Cam Newton 60th percentile Andrew Luck Michael Vick Carson Palmer 50th percentile Kerry Collins Trent Dilfer Alex Smith 40th percentile Sam Bradford Jake Locker Byron Leftwich 30th percentile David Carr Vince Young Tim Couch Ryan Tannehill 20th percentile Mark Sanchez Blaine Gabbert Rick Mirer 10th percentile Joey Harrington Heath Shuler Matt Leinert 0th percentile Akili Smith Jamarcus Russell Ryan Leaf So there's about a 30 percent chance that we'll get a total bust out of the deal, and another 30 percent that we'll get a game manager who is not a toad, but he's not going to carry the team. The other 40 percent looks pretty darn good, and since Geno will go #1, you hope that his odds are a little better than this. What say you, rank and file members?
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