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View Poll Results: What is your expected win total for the Royals to be this year.
72 6 6.25%
73 2 2.08%
74 1 1.04%
75 4 4.17%
76 3 3.13%
77 4 4.17%
78 9 9.38%
79 5 5.21%
80 7 7.29%
81 8 8.33%
82 7 7.29%
83 3 3.13%
84 7 7.29%
85 5 5.21%
86 6 6.25%
87 2 2.08%
88 6 6.25%
89 2 2.08%
90 1 1.04%
91 8 8.33%
Voters: 96. You may not vote on this poll

 
 
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Old 04-06-2022, 11:02 PM   #34
Vladimir_Kyrilytch Vladimir_Kyrilytch is offline
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Originally Posted by OKchiefs View Post
So lazy. I’m as pessimistic on the Royals as anyone but there’s zero rational explanation for them winning fewer games than they did last year.
Those projections are based on ZIPS, a projection system developed by Dan Symborski, who also just so happens to work for fangraphs. So these are computer-derived projections.

The odd thing is, Fangraphs does projected standings with playoff odds, and those are also based on ZIPS, so the projected records should be the same. They are not. According to the website itself, they project the Royals at 75-87, with 8.3% playoff odds. The graphic shows the Angels at 81-81 but per fangraphs website, the projection is 83-79. The graphic is inaccurate, in other words, and might come from some other season.

https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds

Last edited by Vladimir_Kyrilytch; 04-06-2022 at 11:10 PM..
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