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Old 01-23-2006, 08:31 PM   #11
siberian khatru siberian khatru is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by splatbass
I just brought it up because your sig implies that if a coach doesn't go to the SB within 5 years they aren't a good coach or aren't ever going to go. The fact is even good coaches like Cowher, Holmgren, and yes, even Vermiel, have a hard time getting to and winning the SB in five years. There are 32 teams and only one team wins it each year. A lot of luck goes into it too. Some coaches, like Billick, that do it aren't really very good coaches, and some coaches like Holmgren that are don't make it for years. Parcells is one of the great coaches in NFL history, but I doubt ifhe makes the SB with Dallas anytime soon.
Cowher, Holmgren and Vermeil DID get to Super Bowls within 5 years (Cowher didn't win his, though). Vermeil did it with two teams. So did Parcells. So I'm not bagging on them at all. Obviously, they can't do it with EVERY team they coach.

I get your point about luck, Barry Switzers, etc., but I still think 30 years is a compelling sample that 5 years is pretty much ample time to get a team to a Super Bowl. There will always be exceptions, but that doesn't disprove the overall point: The vast majority of coaches who reach a Super Bowl will do it within 5 years. That is indisputable.

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