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Old 12-29-2007, 01:33 PM   #1
shaneo69 shaneo69 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mecca
That's a rather ridiculous statement, I guess no QB is ever worth a high pick unless he's Peyton Manning in your world.
Go back to 1990 for Super Bowl winning QB's. Unless they were 1st overall picks, they usually haven't been 1st rounders.

1990 - Hostetler - 3rd round
1991 - Rypien - 6th round
1992, 1993 - Aikman - 1st overall
1994 - Steve Young - 1st pick overall from USFL supp draft
1995 - Aikman - 1st overall
1996 - Favre - 2nd round
1997, 1998 - Elway - 1st overall
1999 - Warner - undrafted
2000 - Dilfer - 1st round
2001 - Brady - 6th round
2002 - Brad Johnson - 9th round
2003, 2004 - Brady - 6th round
2005 - Roethlisberger - 1st round
2006 - Manning - 1st overall

Dilfer was a bust. No way he was worth a 1st rounder. So in the last 17 years, you either draft your Super Bowl QB first overall, or get him later.

Except for Roethlisberger. If you think Matt Ryan is as good as Roethlisberger, take him. But I don't see it.
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Old 12-29-2007, 02:21 PM   #2
DaneMcCloud DaneMcCloud is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by shaneo69
Go back to 1990 for Super Bowl winning QB's. Unless they were 1st overall picks, they usually haven't been 1st rounders.

1990 - Hostetler - 3rd round
1991 - Rypien - 6th round
1992, 1993 - Aikman - 1st overall
1994 - Steve Young - 1st pick overall from USFL supp draft
1995 - Aikman - 1st overall
1996 - Favre - 2nd round
1997, 1998 - Elway - 1st overall
1999 - Warner - undrafted
2000 - Dilfer - 1st round
2001 - Brady - 6th round
2002 - Brad Johnson - 9th round
2003, 2004 - Brady - 6th round
2005 - Roethlisberger - 1st round
2006 - Manning - 1st overall
Then look at the losing QB's since 1990:

1991 - Jim Kelly (1st round - HOF)
1992 - Jim Kelly (1st round - HOF)
1993 - Jim Kelly (1st round - HOF)
1994 - Jim Kelly (1st round - HOF)
1995 - Stan Humphries (6th round - traded to SD)
1996 - Neil O'Donnell (3rd round)
1997 - Drew Bledsoe (1st overall)
1998 - Brett Favre (2nd round - traded for a 1st)
1999 - Chris Chandler (3rd round)
2000 - Steve McNair (1st round)
2001 - Kerry Collings (1st round)
2002 - Kurt Warner (undrafted)
2003 - Rich Gannon (9th round)
2004 - Jake Delhomme (undrafted)
2005 - Donovan McNabb (1st round)
2006 - Matt Hasellbeck (traded for a 1st round)
2007 - Rex Grossman (1st round)

So again, it looks like the best bet is to have a first round QB, just to get to the Super Bowl.
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