NYT Playoff Simulator is up for 2016

[DaFace]

If I'm reading everything correctly, the Chiefs will clinch if:

The Chiefs win ANY game (vs Broncos or @ Chargers)
The Ravens lose ANY game (@ Steelers or @ Bengals)
The Steelers lose to the Browns (ha!)
The Dolphins lose BOTH games (@ Bills and vs. Patriots)

[DaFace]

It's pretty simple for the division. Now that the Raiders have won, we need to have a BETTER record than them through the final two games. If they lose one, we need to win both. If they lose both (unlikely), we have to win one.

[DenverChief]

Oakland still has two tough games left vs Indy and @ Denver.

[Chief Northman]

Originally Posted by DaFace

It's pretty simple for the division. Now that the Raiders have won, we need to have a BETTER record than them through the final two games. If they lose one, we need to win both. If they lose both (unlikely), we have to win one.

Yup

[-King-]

Originally Posted by DaFace

It's pretty simple for the division. Now that the Raiders have won, we need to have a BETTER record than them through the final two games. If they lose one, we need to win both. If they lose both (unlikely), we have to win one.

We don't need a better record than them. We get the second seed if we have the same record.

Oh misread, you were just talking the record of the 2 games not season overall.
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[DaFace]

Originally Posted by -King-

We don't need a better record than them. We get the second seed if we have the same record.
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"In the final two games" is important (though I concede that my "through" may have been confusing).

[-King-]

Originally Posted by DaFace

"In the final two games" is important.

Yeah I edited my post.
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[carcosa]

Originally Posted by -King-

We don't need a better record than them. We get the second seed if we have the same record.
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Better record in just the last 2 games.

[ThaVirus]

Originally Posted by -King-

We don't need a better record than them. We get the second seed if we have the same record.
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They're 11-3 right now.

We're 10-4.

They'll have to lose one.

[-King-]

Originally Posted by ThaVirus

They're 11-3 right now.

We're 10-4.

They'll have to lose one.

I know. I thought he was talking about better season record overall which we don't need.

[DaFace]

Oh, and in terms of raw percentages, it gives us a 98% chance of making the playoffs, but only a 27% chance of getting a bye at this point.

[carcosa]

Originally Posted by DaFace

Oh, and in terms of raw percentages, it gives us a 98% chance of making the playoffs, but only a 25% chance of getting a bye at this point.

God dammit Andy

[kcpasco]

Playing at Arrowhead doesn't seem to be an advantage for this team. You can argue they are a better road team. The bye week to get healthy is what's most important.

[Rain Man]

Originally Posted by kcpasco

Playing at Arrowhead doesn't seem to be an advantage for this team. You can argue they are a better road team. The bye week to get healthy is what's most important.

The bye week also gives you one less chance to lose.

It seems to me like the damage done by losing the 2 seed is...

1. 2 chances now to get eliminated instead of one.
2. Converted one home game into two road games.
3. Losing a bye week for injury purposes (which I think is notably less important than the first two things).

I'm not sure the level of competition changes that much moving from 2 to 5, but there's now twice as much of it.

[kcpasco]

Get the 5 seed. Both us and the 6 seed win the WC game then we go smash the Faid again.

Would probably get destroyed in NE but beating Oakland 3 times would be worth it.