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Old 10-25-2013, 10:05 AM  
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Report: Iran may be month from a bomb

http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/w...-away/3181373/

Iran could produce enough weapons-grade uranium to build a nuclear bomb in as little as a month, according to a new estimate by one of the USA's top nuclear experts.

The new assessment comes as the White House invited Senate staffers to a briefing on negotiations with Iran as it is trying to persuade Congress not to go ahead with a bill to stiffen sanctions against Iran.

"Shortening breakout times have implications for any negotiation with Iran," stated the report by the Institute for Science and International Security. "An essential finding is that they are currently too short and shortening further."

David Albright, president of the institute and a former inspector for the U.N. International Atomic Energy Agency, said the estimate means that Iran would have to eliminate more than half of its 19,000 centrifuges to extend the time it would take to build a bomb to six months.

The Obama administration has said Iran is probably a year away from having enough enriched uranium to make a bomb.

Bernadette Meehan, an NSC spokeswoman for President Obama's National Security Council, said the intelligence community maintains "a number of assessments" regarding potential time frames for Iran to produce enough weapons-grade uranium for one weapon or a testable nuclear device.hi

"We continue to closely monitor the Iranian nuclear program and its stockpile of enriched uranium," Meehan said.

World powers are seeking an agreement "that ultimately resolves all of the international community's concerns about Iran's nuclear program," she said. "The ultimate goal is a comprehensive agreement that is credible, transparent, and verifiable."

In the report, Albright said negotiations with Iran should focus on so-called "breakout" times, or the time required to convert low-enriched uranium to weapons-grade.

Albright, who has testified before Congress, said the negotiators should try to find ways to lengthen the breakout times and shorten the time that inspectors could detect breakout. ISIS' analysis is based on the latest Iranian and United Nations reports on Iran's centrifuge equipment for producing nuclear fuel and its nuclear fuel stockpiles.

Iran's stockpile of medium-enriched uranium has nearly doubled in a year's time and its number of centrifuges has expanded from 12,000 in 2012 to 19,000 today.

Sen. Mark Kirk, an Illinois Republican whose Senate Banking Committee is considering legislation to tighten Iran sanctions, said the report shows that Iran is expanding its nuclear capabilities under the cover of negotiations.

"The Senate should move forward immediately with a new round of sanctions to prevent Iran from acquiring an undetectable breakout capability," he said.

The White House has said new sanctions legislation should wait while current negotiations scheduled to resume officially in Geneva next month are moving forward.

The White House said Thursday it will continue consulting with Congress "so that any congressional action is aligned with our negotiating strategy as we move forward," said Caitlin Hayden, a spokeswoman for President Obama's National Security Council.

Iranian President Hassan Rouhani has said his country has no interest in nuclear weapons but that producing nuclear fuel is Iran's right. His foreign minister, Javad Zarif, has said Iran will not ship its nuclear stockpile to a third country.

However, Iran has blocked international inspectors from some suspected nuclear facilities to verify they are being used for peaceful purposes, access required under international agreements it has signed.

United Nations inspectors have found evidence of a weapons program in violation of Iran's commitment under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. The USA and the U.N. Security Council have implemented crippling economic sanctions on Iran to sway it to take steps to assure the world it is not developing a bomb.

Israel, which sees an Iranian nuclear bomb as a threat to its very existence, has said it will take military action to prevent Iran from getting a bomb.

ISIS estimated in October 2012 that Iran could produce enough highly-enriched uranium for a bomb within two to four months. The new estimate is based on an analysis of the latest reports by Iran and the the IAEA.

ISIS considered various scenarios, including if Iran decided to build a covert enrichment plant like it has under a mountain in Fordow, near the city of Qom, that was designed for optimal efficiency and minimal time to enrich enough uranium for bomb making. Such a facility built with current Iranian technology could produce enough material for a bomb in a week, according to the ISIS report.

"If they did that and they were caught it would be a smoking gun of a nuclear weapons program," Albright said.

If Iran moves ahead with installation of its more efficient, second generation centrifuges, it would be able to produce enough nuclear fuel for a bomb with so few of them, between 2,000 and 3,300 centrifuges, that they could fit in a small warehouse, Albright said.
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Old 10-25-2013, 02:20 PM   #31
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All we have left is the Chiefs , God Bless the Chiefs.
... Armageddon has arrived, the US won't have another president. Everything has went to shit. But hey, that Chiefs defense is alright this year.
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Old 10-25-2013, 02:40 PM   #32
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What you mean to say is perhaps you and those who might be inclined to start WW3 otherwise known as Armageddon havent done as much yet . I am not part of the " We " you are referring to . More and more Americans are starting to speak for themselves and not the Interests that are now running the nation.
Perhaps I'm wrong, but I get the impression that you'll welcome Armageddon, no?
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Old 10-25-2013, 02:41 PM   #33
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It would be fitting to see the Chiefs at the top when the crapper goes.
It wouldn't happen that way. Armageddon would come just before the Chiefs were about to kick the Superbowl-winning field goal.
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Old 10-25-2013, 02:43 PM   #34
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Well, they did stop enrichment after Bush's Axis of Evil speech.

Anyway, I think what most people don't understand is that the more HEU they get, the easier and faster it is toward having WG. In other words, they are a LOT closer to having the ability to produce WG now than they were in 2008. All it really takes is the desire and time.
I agree on them being closer. It's been clear for years that they have the desire for the bomb and are working towards it. With Russia and Pakistan helping them, unfortunately I see it as inevitable that they get it.

And how long did they stop enriching it? A few months right?
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Old 10-25-2013, 02:44 PM   #35
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How do we know? We didn't even attempt to stop them.
We've enacted sanctions. There's not much we can do to prevent them from acquiring it when Russia and Pakistan are helping them.

No matter who is the president that's what would have happened.
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Old 10-25-2013, 02:48 PM   #36
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It seems like they have been a month or two away from a bomb for about 7 years. Be scared American people.
Well to be fair they've always been a few minutes away from a bomb. All someone has to do is push a button and they'll have one!
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Old 10-25-2013, 02:49 PM   #37
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I welcome Jesus Christ returning on a white horse and cutting down every god forsaken sumbitch that stands in his way . That I welcome with open arms , but I look forward to the Wedding of the Lamb more so for the Love and Joy it will bring to God's children. .
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Old 10-25-2013, 03:01 PM   #38
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I agree on them being closer. It's been clear for years that they have the desire for the bomb and are working towards it. With Russia and Pakistan helping them, unfortunately I see it as inevitable that they get it.

And how long did they stop enriching it? A few months right?
Two years, I believe, until Imanutjob came to power.
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Old 10-25-2013, 03:03 PM   #39
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I welcome Jesus Christ returning on a white horse and cutting down every god forsaken sumbitch that stands in his way . That I welcome with open arms , but I look forward to the Wedding of the Lamb more so for the Love and Joy it will bring to God's children. .
Okay.
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Old 10-25-2013, 03:05 PM   #40
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I welcome Jesus Christ returning on a white horse and cutting down every god forsaken sumbitch that stands in his way . That I welcome with open arms
...

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Old 10-25-2013, 03:22 PM   #41
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And **** you for finding that image before me....
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Old 10-25-2013, 03:27 PM   #42
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Most people who think in conventional modes really dont grasp what is going to happen. Alot of this is going to be manifesting from the inside out . Jesus and his Saints more than likeley wont be flying into the mideast on magic horsies. None the less when the double edged sword that is The Word Of God is let loose those who are cut down will in fact drop dead on the spot .
Why would it be a double-edged sword? Is Jesus a bad swordsman or something?
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Old 10-25-2013, 03:29 PM   #43
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Old 10-25-2013, 03:29 PM   #44
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Why would it be a double-edged sword? Is Jesus a bad swordsman or something?
Twice the Jesus carnage. Forward swing and back swing. What's not to like?
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Old 10-25-2013, 03:36 PM   #45
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