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Old 10-25-2013, 10:05 AM  
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Report: Iran may be month from a bomb

http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/w...-away/3181373/

Iran could produce enough weapons-grade uranium to build a nuclear bomb in as little as a month, according to a new estimate by one of the USA's top nuclear experts.

The new assessment comes as the White House invited Senate staffers to a briefing on negotiations with Iran as it is trying to persuade Congress not to go ahead with a bill to stiffen sanctions against Iran.

"Shortening breakout times have implications for any negotiation with Iran," stated the report by the Institute for Science and International Security. "An essential finding is that they are currently too short and shortening further."

David Albright, president of the institute and a former inspector for the U.N. International Atomic Energy Agency, said the estimate means that Iran would have to eliminate more than half of its 19,000 centrifuges to extend the time it would take to build a bomb to six months.

The Obama administration has said Iran is probably a year away from having enough enriched uranium to make a bomb.

Bernadette Meehan, an NSC spokeswoman for President Obama's National Security Council, said the intelligence community maintains "a number of assessments" regarding potential time frames for Iran to produce enough weapons-grade uranium for one weapon or a testable nuclear device.hi

"We continue to closely monitor the Iranian nuclear program and its stockpile of enriched uranium," Meehan said.

World powers are seeking an agreement "that ultimately resolves all of the international community's concerns about Iran's nuclear program," she said. "The ultimate goal is a comprehensive agreement that is credible, transparent, and verifiable."

In the report, Albright said negotiations with Iran should focus on so-called "breakout" times, or the time required to convert low-enriched uranium to weapons-grade.

Albright, who has testified before Congress, said the negotiators should try to find ways to lengthen the breakout times and shorten the time that inspectors could detect breakout. ISIS' analysis is based on the latest Iranian and United Nations reports on Iran's centrifuge equipment for producing nuclear fuel and its nuclear fuel stockpiles.

Iran's stockpile of medium-enriched uranium has nearly doubled in a year's time and its number of centrifuges has expanded from 12,000 in 2012 to 19,000 today.

Sen. Mark Kirk, an Illinois Republican whose Senate Banking Committee is considering legislation to tighten Iran sanctions, said the report shows that Iran is expanding its nuclear capabilities under the cover of negotiations.

"The Senate should move forward immediately with a new round of sanctions to prevent Iran from acquiring an undetectable breakout capability," he said.

The White House has said new sanctions legislation should wait while current negotiations scheduled to resume officially in Geneva next month are moving forward.

The White House said Thursday it will continue consulting with Congress "so that any congressional action is aligned with our negotiating strategy as we move forward," said Caitlin Hayden, a spokeswoman for President Obama's National Security Council.

Iranian President Hassan Rouhani has said his country has no interest in nuclear weapons but that producing nuclear fuel is Iran's right. His foreign minister, Javad Zarif, has said Iran will not ship its nuclear stockpile to a third country.

However, Iran has blocked international inspectors from some suspected nuclear facilities to verify they are being used for peaceful purposes, access required under international agreements it has signed.

United Nations inspectors have found evidence of a weapons program in violation of Iran's commitment under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. The USA and the U.N. Security Council have implemented crippling economic sanctions on Iran to sway it to take steps to assure the world it is not developing a bomb.

Israel, which sees an Iranian nuclear bomb as a threat to its very existence, has said it will take military action to prevent Iran from getting a bomb.

ISIS estimated in October 2012 that Iran could produce enough highly-enriched uranium for a bomb within two to four months. The new estimate is based on an analysis of the latest reports by Iran and the the IAEA.

ISIS considered various scenarios, including if Iran decided to build a covert enrichment plant like it has under a mountain in Fordow, near the city of Qom, that was designed for optimal efficiency and minimal time to enrich enough uranium for bomb making. Such a facility built with current Iranian technology could produce enough material for a bomb in a week, according to the ISIS report.

"If they did that and they were caught it would be a smoking gun of a nuclear weapons program," Albright said.

If Iran moves ahead with installation of its more efficient, second generation centrifuges, it would be able to produce enough nuclear fuel for a bomb with so few of them, between 2,000 and 3,300 centrifuges, that they could fit in a small warehouse, Albright said.
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Old 10-25-2013, 03:44 PM   #46
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And there was evening and there was morning ergo A double edged sword.
I'm glad that He'll take a break for lunch, but then back to the hilt.
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Old 10-25-2013, 03:46 PM   #47
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Of all the government's I don't want to see with the bomb, they are right near the top.

Let slip the Jews.
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Old 10-25-2013, 03:46 PM   #48
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I welcome Jesus Christ returning on a white horse and cutting down every god forsaken sumbitch that stands in his way . That I welcome with open arms , but I look forward to the Wedding of the Lamb more so for the Love and Joy it will bring to God's children. .
Holy shit man. Thanks for sharing. I'm going to get baptized this afternoon.
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I believe Hitler hated Jews and had a lot of them killed. I dont believe it was anywhere close to 6 million though. I'm not an anti-semite; I just think that number has been severely inflated and there is a lot of evidence that supports this belief.
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Old 10-25-2013, 03:48 PM   #49
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Somehow I dont think those on the recieving end who's spirit is being separated from the bone will think its funny. And see ? I didnt have to take up so dam much space to post a pic of drunk idiot to say as much.
How many years did it take you to pull yourself out of your depression when it became obvious that the apocalypse really wasn't happening on January 1, 2000?
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Old 10-25-2013, 04:05 PM   #50
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Well, they did stop enrichment after Bush's Axis of Evil speech.

Anyway, I think what most people don't understand is that the more HEU they get, the easier and faster it is toward having WG. In other words, they are a LOT closer to having the ability to produce WG now than they were in 2008. All it really takes is the desire and time.
dude, it's been over a decade since that speech -- if indeed Iran were in the mood, I'm pretty ****ing sure it's because of some other stupidity committed by our gov't.
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Old 10-25-2013, 04:08 PM   #51
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Originally Posted by Ace Gunner View Post
dude, it's been over a decade since that speech -- if indeed Iran were in the mood, I'm pretty ****ing sure it's because of some other stupidity committed by our gov't.
I'm not at all sure what you are trying to say with this post.
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Old 10-25-2013, 04:19 PM   #52
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Hes saying that Iran is minimally at least less of a murdering bunch of thugs than the people who have invaded the middle east. If the US or Israel dares to do something really stupid witch they probably will Iran knows this ...... The US and the West cannot go further into War in the middle east without leaving themselves vulnerable to their own internal enemies which are in fact the sensible folks who want to work for an honest living without having blood on their hands.
I see.

So, you are willing to accept a nuclear-armed Iran?
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Old 10-25-2013, 04:39 PM   #53
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Nice try , but no cigar , what makes you think they dont already have a nuke ? I dont like the idea of anyone having Nukes , but I know Iran poses an economic threat to the US not a nuclear one. Iran isnt stupid , you see how they get other people to kill by proxy just like the US does ? And Russia for that matter . Iran if they had a nuke and used it once , that would be it . And it would have to detonate and that is easier said than done. What are you really afraid of ? Plenty of folks could have had a suitcase bomb by now and were stopped and we would never know about it . This is all theater for the masses , the reality is the West and East are fighting over the resources in Iran , Afghanistan , Iraq ..... What do average Americans get in return ? Debt , cheap clothes and crap made overseas , the freedom to be gay and get a sex change but not the freedom to live in peace and work for an honest days wages. There will be a showdown one way or another .
Well, that's the longest non-answer ever, I think... You are either willing to accept a nuclear-armed Iran or you are not. If you are not, the question is what you would support to prevent them from becoming so?

I don't know that Iran doesn't already have a physics package, but I think it's highly unlikely they do already (for a number of reasons).

As to not being a nuclear threat, you don't know that. The fact is that they aren't a nuclear threat if they are preventing from acquiring them in the first place. I think an even greater worry is that if Iran becomes a nuclear power, the Kingdom won't be far behind. I'd prefer to not see a nuclear arms race in the ME.
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Old 10-25-2013, 04:41 PM   #54
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And it would have to detonate and that is easier said than done.
I missed this. No, actually, a working physics package is actually relatively simple to fabricate, once you have the fissionable material.
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Old 10-25-2013, 04:45 PM   #55
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Surely Chris616 is like a demonpenz mult made to troll DC. At least, that's the impression I get when I stop reading his posts a quarter the way through.
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Old 10-25-2013, 04:47 PM   #56
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What you mean to say is perhaps you and those who might be inclined to start WW3 otherwise known as Armageddon havent done as much yet . I am not part of the " We " you are referring to . More and more Americans are starting to speak for themselves and not the Interests that are now running the nation.
Nowhere have I advocated military action against Iran. I did advocate that we attempt to stop them from becoming a nuclear power, however.
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Old 10-25-2013, 04:48 PM   #57
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We've enacted sanctions. There's not much we can do to prevent them from acquiring it when Russia and Pakistan are helping them.

No matter who is the president that's what would have happened.
Seems to me when the last guy was president they stopped enriching.

What was his name anyway, President Stuxnet? Something like that?
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Old 10-25-2013, 04:50 PM   #58
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Its not a non answer , I am telling you a war is brewing to settle who owns the middle east and as it stands the US has been setting up bases surrounding Iran for quite awhile . You act like the US hasnt had the plans to take over the region ...news flash that was decided before WW2 care to dispute that ?


Anyway, we're definitely going to have to put the plans to annex the people of the mideast on hold until they can get the Obamacare website running.
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Old 10-25-2013, 04:50 PM   #59
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Its not a non answer , I am telling you a war is brewing to settle who owns the middle east and as it stands the US has been setting up bases surrounding Iran for quite awhile . You act like the US hasnt had the plans to take over the region ...news flash that was decided before WW2 care to dispute that ? This is a plan long in the making and you are trying to tell me I should be afraid of the country that is surrounded by US bases and not the other way around ? Please , stop pretending there are going to be powers in the Middle East as we see them now much longer. This is going to be settled sooner than later. Get over it . Worry about the militarized police force in the US and the thugs and crazy gun owners who aim to go down in a blaze of glory. Not that all gun owners are crazy .
Do I care to dispute that we've had plans to take over the region since before WWII?

Why, yes. Yes I do dispute it.
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Old 10-25-2013, 04:55 PM   #60
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Do I care to dispute that we've had plans to take over the region since before WWII?

Why, yes. Yes I do dispute it.
Those are some slow-developing plans, aren't they.

You'd think the time to conquer these states would have been, you know, during WW2 or some other time when they were colonized or less populous and well armed than they are today.
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