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Old 03-06-2011, 04:21 PM  
Buck Buck is offline
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****OFFICIAL NCAA BASKETBALL CHAMPIONSHIP WEEK / BUBBLE WATCH THREAD****


Last edited by Buck; 03-13-2011 at 06:44 PM..
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Old 03-13-2011, 07:14 PM   #511
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Quote:
Originally Posted by banyon View Post
I appreciate you're trying to make a case for what happened, but I'm not sure they should've chucked out the quality wins and record in last 10 games with the bathwater.

Plus, what if you are a strong mid-major like Missouri St. and no one will schedule you in the noncon?
Well, I did the best I could. I'm playing high school debate here.

RESOLVED: The 2011 NCAA Basketball Selection Committee is a drooling pack of retards.

I was randomly assigned to the negative, and you were randomly assigned to the affirmative. You'll probably win the argument.
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Old 03-13-2011, 07:14 PM   #512
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Statistically it looks like tOSU has one of the harder regions, but I don't really believe in stats and just by looking at it I think they have the easiest, and I think they are miles better than UK.
Ohio State has 8 potential opponents in the top 30 in KenPom, the rest of the #1's have 5 or 6. Statistically, that's pretty tough.
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Old 03-13-2011, 07:15 PM   #513
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Holy shit this year is hard to pick. The bracket is such a crap shoot.
I think it's all the Big East teams. There are 11 of them mucking up the bracket. It's gonna be brutal figuring out who is going to make it far and who isn't. There are several you could see doing well, but not one where you go "there, that's the best team."
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Old 03-13-2011, 07:16 PM   #514
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Originally Posted by KC_Connection View Post
Ohio State has 8 potential opponents in the top 30 in KenPom, the rest of the #1's have 5 or 6. Statistically, that's pretty tough.
Yeah but no matter who you are the most you can play are 3 anyways, so its not that big a deal IMO.
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Old 03-13-2011, 07:23 PM   #515
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Duke's potential opponents by KenPom:

Two teams in the top 10 (Texas, San Diego St), three in the top 20 (+UConn), five in the top 30 (+Cinci and Arizona).

Pittsburgh's potential opponents by KenPom:

One team in the top 10 (Wisconsin), Five teams in the top 20 (+BYU, Florida, Utah St, Belmont), Seven teams in the top 30 (+Gonzaga and KSU)


Ohio State's potential opponents by KenPom:

One team in the top 10 (Kentucky), Four teams in the top 20 (+Cuse, UNC, Wash), eight teams in the top 30 (+WVU, GMU, Villanova, Clemson).

KU's potential opponents by KenPom:

Two teams in the top 10 (Purdue, Notre Dame), Four teams in the top 20 (+Louisville, Illinois), Five teams in the top 30 (+UNLV)


Ohio State may not have a lot of elite teams in their bracket, but they have a ton of good ones. Duke doesn't have a lot of threats, but two elite teams that could knock them out (Texas, SDSU).
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Old 03-13-2011, 07:27 PM   #516
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What are you talking about?
Stick to the DC section you booger eating tard. You couldn't find your ass using both hands.
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Old 03-13-2011, 07:53 PM   #517
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http://ncaabracket.nytimes.com/2011/...eight-forecast

Odds for the bracket.
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Old 03-13-2011, 08:09 PM   #518
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51% Cincinnati. Interesting. Doesn't say much for the committee's seeding.
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Old 03-13-2011, 08:21 PM   #519
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interesting. Odds of winning the championship: 20% for Ohio State, about 17% for Kansas, skip down to the #2's, its 5% for SD State.
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Old 03-13-2011, 08:29 PM   #520
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http://mattsarzsports.com/basketball...ournament.aspx

I'm ripping this off from the KU thread... but here's the TV schedule. Both MU and K-State got the late game on Thursday... TNT/Tru-TV respectively.
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Old 03-13-2011, 08:32 PM   #521
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interesting. Odds of winning the championship: 20% for Ohio State, about 17% for Kansas, skip down to the #2's, its 5% for SD State.
I'm trying to find how Nate Silver is judging the quality of each team, but I haven't figured it out yet.
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Old 03-13-2011, 08:43 PM   #522
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San Diego State had over 4000 fans sitting behind the team for the announcement on Selection Sunday and they didn't show it on CBS, but they showed N. Colorado who were all in their coaches house sitting on the couch or something.

I didn't see the whole show but I guarantee you that SDSU had one of, if not the best crowd showing today. Too bad CBS didn't cut into Viejas Arena.
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Old 03-13-2011, 09:31 PM   #523
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Just finished my bracket. I went hog-wild with upsets this year, but I feel fine with that because I think there's a lot more parity in college basketball than ever before. The southeast region was a smoking ruin of dead favorites when I was done with it.

Final four: OSU, Kansas, SDSU, K-State

Championship game: Kansas 85, SDSU 70
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Old 03-13-2011, 09:55 PM   #524
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Also, Gus Johnson appears on Friday. George Mason/Nova and the Ohio State game on TNT in the afternoon. Xavier/Marquette and Syracuse/Indiana St. on Tru TV at night. Plan your upsets accordingly.
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Old 03-13-2011, 10:17 PM   #525
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Ken Pomeroy's odds:
http://www.basketballprospectus.com/unfiltered/?p=673

Rd3 Sweet16 Elite8 Final4 Final Champ 1 in...
1. 1E Ohio St. 98.9 83.2 62.0 47.7 31.0 21.6 5
2. 1W Duke 98.3 84.5 56.5 40.1 23.3 15.2 7
3. 1SW Kansas 96.9 72.6 52.4 35.0 23.6 12.4 8
4. 1SE Pittsburgh 95.1 76.5 47.4 31.8 16.8 7.5 13
5. 4W Texas 86.8 67.9 32.0 20.3 10.1 5.8 17
6. 3SW Purdue 91.8 68.0 41.8 20.9 12.0 5.1 20
7. 2W San Diego St. 92.7 61.5 41.3 18.2 8.4 4.4 23
8. 2SW Notre Dame 91.3 66.6 36.2 16.8 9.1 3.5 28
9. 4E Kentucky 88.7 61.0 23.1 13.9 6.5 3.4 30
10. 3SE Brigham Young 85.4 55.7 35.4 17.0 7.5 2.7 37
11. 4SW Louisville 87.6 60.8 25.2 13.0 6.8 2.5 39
12. 3E Syracuse 90.1 62.2 35.2 12.9 5.4 2.5 40
13. 4SE Wisconsin 61.0 38.5 20.4 12.8 6.2 2.5 40
14. 2E North Carolina 89.7 52.4 28.6 9.7 3.8 1.6 61
15. 2SE Florida 87.8 57.8 29.4 12.2 4.6 1.4 73
16. 7E Washington 72.7 37.7 19.7 6.3 2.3 1.0 104
17. 3W Connecticut 83.3 48.3 21.0 6.8 2.3 0.9 106
18. 12SE Utah St. 60.1 26.9 11.9 6.4 2.5 0.8 125
19. 7W Washington 66.5 28.1 15.8 5.3 1.9 0.8 126
20. 13SE Belmont 39.0 20.5 8.7 4.6 1.7 0.5 189
21. 9SW Illinois 51.7 14.4 7.0 2.9 1.3 0.4 275
22. 6W Cincinnati 56.6 28.7 11.1 3.1 0.9 0.3 298
23. 11SE Gonzaga 53.0 22.2 11.1 3.9 1.2 0.3 337
24. 8SW UNLV 48.3 12.8 6.0 2.4 1.0 0.3 362
25. 5E West Virginia 57.6 22.3 5.5 2.4 0.8 0.3 373
26. 5W Arizona 76.8 24.1 6.1 2.3 0.6 0.2 492
27. 6SW Georgetown 60.9 20.0 8.0 2.4 0.8 0.2 504
28. 6SE St. John's 47.0 18.5 8.7 2.8 0.8 0.2 548
29. 5SW Vanderbilt 55.7 21.3 5.6 2.0 0.7 0.2 618
30. 5SE Kansas St. 39.9 14.0 5.0 2.2 0.7 0.2 625
31. 11E Marquette 52.5 19.4 7.5 1.7 0.4 0.1 762
32. 10SE Michigan St. 55.0 22.9 8.6 2.5 0.6 0.1 763
33. 8E George Mason 50.5 8.5 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1 890
34. 11W Missouri 43.4 19.3 6.3 1.5 0.4 0.1 893
35. 12E Clemson 30.9 11.3 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1 947
36. 9E Villanova 49.5 8.2 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1 962
37. 6E Xavier 47.5 16.5 6.0 1.3 0.3 0.09 1167
38. 10SW Florida St. 50.8 16.2 5.2 1.4 0.4 0.09 1169
39. 7SW Texas A&M 49.2 15.4 4.9 1.2 0.4 0.07 1334
40. 12SW Richmond 44.3 14.9 3.4 1.0 0.3 0.06 1653
41. 8W Michigan 56.8 9.5 2.9 0.9 0.2 0.06 1806
42. 7SE UCLA 45.0 16.8 5.6 1.4 0.3 0.05 1836
43. 11SW USC 31.6 9.1 3.2 0.8 0.3 0.05 1923
44. 9SE Old Dominion 51.1 11.8 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.05 2029
45. 10W Penn St. 33.5 9.4 3.8 0.8 0.2 0.05 2057
46. 8SE Butler 48.9 10.9 3.1 1.0 0.2 0.04 2499
47. 10E Georgia 27.3 8.4 2.5 0.4 0.08 0.02 6118
48. 9W Tennessee 43.2 5.9 1.5 0.4 0.07 0.02 6339
49. 12E UAB 11.5 2.9 0.4 0.1 0.02 0.005 21302
50. 13W Oakland 13.2 4.9 0.7 0.2 0.02 0.004 25547
51. 14SE Wofford 14.6 3.6 0.9 0.1 0.02 0.0015 67793
52. 12W Memphis 23.2 3.1 0.3 0.05 0.006 0.0007 137175
53. 14W Bucknell 16.7 3.6 0.5 0.05 0.005 0.0006 159809
54. 13SW Morehead St. 12.4 3.0 0.3 0.04 0.006 0.0005 192240
55. 13E Princeton 11.3 2.5 0.2 0.04 0.004 0.0005 195928
56. 11SW VCU 7.5 1.2 0.2 0.03 0.005 0.0005 202681
57. 14SW St. Peter's 8.2 1.7 0.2 0.02 0.003 0.0002 559513
58. 15SE UC Santa Barbara 12.2 2.6 0.3 0.03 0.003 0.0002 623057
59. 14E Indiana St. 9.9 1.9 0.3 0.02 0.001 0.0001 755887
60. 15SW Akron 8.7 1.8 0.2 0.02 0.002 0.0001 852991
61. 15E Long Island 10.3 1.5 0.2 0.01 0.0009 <0.0001 1224019
62. 15W N. Colorado 7.3 1.0 0.1 0.01 0.0007 <0.0001 1640192
63. 16SE UNC Asheville 4.0 0.8 0.08 0.009 0.0007 <0.0001 2876909
64. 16SW Boston U. 3.1 0.3 0.02 0.002 0.0001 <0.0001 24652802
65. 16W Hampton 1.7 0.2 0.008 0.0004 <0.0001 <0.0001 276506790
66. 16SE Ark. Little Rock 0.9 0.09 0.004 0.0003 <0.0001 <0.0001 453303735
67. 16E Texas San Antonio 0.9 0.06 0.002 0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 1037297982
68. 16E Alabama St. 0.1 0.003 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 1101632343869

SOUTHWEST Rd3 Sweet16 Elite8 Final4 Final Champ
1 Kansas 96.9 72.6 52.4 35.0 23.6 12.4
3 Purdue 91.8 68.0 41.8 20.9 12.0 5.1
2 Notre Dame 91.3 66.6 36.2 16.8 9.1 3.5
4 Louisville 87.6 60.8 25.2 13.0 6.8 2.5
9 Illinois 51.7 14.4 7.0 2.9 1.3 0.4
8 UNLV 48.3 12.8 6.0 2.4 1.0 0.3
6 Georgetown 60.9 20.0 8.0 2.4 0.8 0.2
5 Vanderbilt 55.7 21.3 5.6 2.0 0.7 0.2
10 Florida St. 50.8 16.2 5.2 1.4 0.4 0.09
7 Texas A&M 49.2 15.4 4.9 1.2 0.4 0.07
12 Richmond 44.3 14.9 3.4 1.0 0.3 0.06
11 USC 31.6 9.1 3.2 0.8 0.3 0.05
13 Morehead St. 12.4 3.0 0.3 0.04 0.006 0.0005
11 VCU 7.5 1.2 0.2 0.03 0.005 0.0005
14 St. Peter's 8.2 1.7 0.2 0.02 0.003 0.0002
15 Akron 8.7 1.8 0.2 0.02 0.002 0.0001
16 Boston U. 3.1 0.3 0.02 0.002 0.0001 0.000004

SOUTHEAST Rd3 Sweet16 Elite8 Final4 Final Champ
1 Pittsburgh 95.1 76.5 47.4 31.8 16.8 7.5
3 Brigham Young 85.4 55.7 35.4 17.0 7.5 2.7
4 Wisconsin 61.0 38.5 20.4 12.8 6.2 2.5
2 Florida 87.8 57.8 29.4 12.2 4.6 1.4
12 Utah St. 60.1 26.9 11.9 6.4 2.5 0.8
13 Belmont 39.0 20.5 8.7 4.6 1.7 0.5
11 Gonzaga 53.0 22.2 11.1 3.9 1.2 0.3
6 St. John's 47.0 18.5 8.7 2.8 0.8 0.2
5 Kansas St. 39.9 14.0 5.0 2.2 0.7 0.2
10 Michigan St. 55.0 22.9 8.6 2.5 0.6 0.1
7 UCLA 45.0 16.8 5.6 1.4 0.3 0.05
9 Old Dominion 51.1 11.8 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.05
8 Butler 48.9 10.9 3.1 1.0 0.2 0.04
14 Wofford 14.6 3.6 0.9 0.1 0.02 0.001
15 UC Santa Barbara 12.2 2.6 0.3 0.03 0.003 0.0002
16 UNC Asheville 4.0 0.8 0.08 0.009 0.0007 0.00003
16 Ark. Little Rock 0.9 0.09 0.004 0.0003 0.000009 .0000002

WEST Rd3 Sweet16 Elite8 Final4 Final Champ
1 Duke 98.3 84.5 56.5 40.1 23.3 15.2
4 Texas 86.8 67.9 32.0 20.3 10.1 5.8
2 San Diego St. 92.7 61.5 41.3 18.2 8.4 4.4
3 Connecticut 83.3 48.3 21.0 6.8 2.3 0.9
7 Washington 66.5 28.1 15.8 5.3 1.9 0.8
6 Cincinnati 56.6 28.7 11.1 3.1 0.9 0.3
5 Arizona 76.8 24.1 6.1 2.3 0.6 0.2
11 Missouri 43.4 19.3 6.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
8 Michigan 56.8 9.5 2.9 0.9 0.2 0.06
10 Penn St. 33.5 9.4 3.8 0.8 0.2 0.05
9 Tennessee 43.2 5.9 1.5 0.4 0.07 0.02
13 Oakland 13.2 4.9 0.7 0.2 0.02 0.004
12 Memphis 23.2 3.1 0.3 0.05 0.006 0.0007
14 Bucknell 16.7 3.6 0.5 0.05 0.005 0.0006
15 Northern Colorado 7.3 1.0 0.1 0.01 0.0007 0.00006
16 Hampton 1.7 0.2 0.008 0.0004 0.00001 0.0000004

EAST Rd3 Sweet16 Elite8 Final4 Final Champ
1 Ohio St. 98.9 83.2 62.0 47.7 31.0 21.6
4 Kentucky 88.7 61.0 23.1 13.9 6.5 3.4
3 Syracuse 90.1 62.2 35.2 12.9 5.4 2.5
2 North Carolina 89.7 52.4 28.6 9.7 3.8 1.6
7 Washington 72.7 37.7 19.7 6.3 2.3 1.0
5 West Virginia 57.6 22.3 5.5 2.4 0.8 0.3
11 Marquette 52.5 19.4 7.5 1.7 0.4 0.1
8 George Mason 50.5 8.5 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
12 Clemson 30.9 11.3 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
9 Villanova 49.5 8.2 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
6 Xavier 47.5 16.5 6.0 1.3 0.3 0.09
10 Georgia 27.3 8.4 2.5 0.4 0.08 0.02
12 UAB 11.5 2.9 0.4 0.1 0.02 0.005
13 Princeton 11.3 2.5 0.2 0.04 0.004 0.0005
14 Indiana St. 9.9 1.9 0.3 0.02 0.001 0.0001
15 Long Island 10.3 1.5 0.2 0.01 0.001 0.00008
16 Tex. San Antonio 0.9 0.06 0.002 0.0001 0.000003 0.0000001
16 Alabama St. 0.1 0.003 0.00004 0.0000007 0.000000007 0.00000000009
Posts: 21,244
KC_Connection Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.KC_Connection Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.KC_Connection Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.KC_Connection Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.KC_Connection Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.KC_Connection Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.KC_Connection Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.KC_Connection Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.KC_Connection Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.KC_Connection Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.KC_Connection Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.
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