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Old 09-12-2011, 09:03 PM  
Saul Good Saul Good is online now
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Tomorrow is (special) Election Day

NY-9 is up, but Republicans haven't won that seat in 88 years. Also, Obama won 55% of the votes in that district. It's historically VERY solidly D.

But wait...Turner's winning in a heavily Democratic district for two reasons: a huge lead with independents and a large amount of crossover support. He's ahead by 32 points at 58-26 with voters unaffiliated with either major party. And he's winning 29% of the Democratic vote, holding Weprin under 60% with voters of his own party, while losing just 10% of Republican partisans.

If Turner wins on Tuesday it will be largely due to the incredible unpopularity of Barack Obama dragging his party down in the district. Obama won 55% there in 2008 but now has a staggeringly bad 31% approval rating, with 56% of voters disapproving of him. It's a given that Republicans don't like him but more shocking are his 16% approval rating with independents and the fact that he's below 50% even with Democrats at 46% approving and 38% disapproving. Obama trails Mitt Romney 46-42 in a hypothetical match up in the district and leads Rick Perry only 44-43.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/m...new-yorks.html

(That's a wildly Democratic polling firm, BTW. They have a quote from the Daily Kos at the top of their page.)
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Old 09-15-2011, 01:18 PM   #31
HonestChieffan HonestChieffan is offline
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Old 09-16-2011, 12:13 PM   #32
Chief Henry Chief Henry is offline
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Old 09-16-2011, 05:39 PM   #33
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Old 09-16-2011, 10:17 PM   #34
Bewbies Bewbies is offline
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