The Declaration Of Independence, MO - The People vs. Matthew Gus Brennan Cassel
The Declaration Of Independence, MO
The People vs. Matthew Gus Brennan Cassel
When in the course of football events, it becomes necessary for one people to dissolve the fandom bands which have connected them with a Quarterback, and to assume among the Powers of the NFL, the separate and equal station to which the Laws of Football and of the NFL's Goodell entitle them, a decent respect to the opinions of mankind requires that they should declare the causes which impel them to the separation.
We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all Quarterbacks are not created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain Unalienable Talents, that among these are Arm Strength, Accuracy and the Pursuit of Championships.
That to secure these talents, Quarterbacks are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the Consent of the Fanbase, That whenever any Form of Quarterback becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Quarterbacks, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Attendance At Arrowhead and Hope For A Championship.
Prudence, indeed, will dictate that Quarterbacks Long Established should not be changed for light and transient causes; and accordingly all experience hath shewn, that mankind are more disposed to suffer, while evils are sufferable, than to right themselves by abolishing the forms to which they are accustomed. But when a long train of abuses and usurpations, pursuing invariably The Same Offense evinces a design to reduce them under absolute Despotism, it is their right, it is their duty, to Throw Off Such Quarterbacks, and to provide new Guards (however, neither left nor right) for their Future Rooting Interests.
Such has been the patient sufferance of these Chiefs Fans; and such is now the necessity which constrains them to alter their former Systems of Offense. The history of the present Quarterback is a history of repeated injuries and usurpations, all having in direct object the establishment of an Absolute Run-First Offense over the State of Missouri.
To prove this, let Facts be submitted to a candid world.
Matt Cassel is 19-30 in his 49 career games with the Chiefs.
He is 15-9 in games where we ran the ball more than we threw it.
He is 1-1 in games where rushes and passes were equal. Rivers gifted us one win with a fumbled snap. We lost one other game where Ryan made Cassel cry.
However, in an NFL that is classified as a pass first league, he is 3-20 when we put the ball in the air more than we run it.
These games are - 2009 Steelers, 2009 Raiders, 2011 Vikings. The Chiefs have averaged 19.3 points in these wins. Gus threw 3 TD total.
Playoff Teams Beat Cassel At An Alarming Rate
Gus Cassel has a career winning percentage of .158 against playoff teams (3-16), including a 30-7 home loss to the Baltimore Ravens in the 2010 playoffs, in which Gus threw for 70 yards and 3 INT
However, two of these wins came during Cassel's time as a Patriot (2-4 overall). He is 1-12 against playoff teams as a member of the KC Chiefs.
The only playoff team Cassel has defeated as a Chief was the 7-9 Seahawks, who surrendered 270 rushing yards and turned the ball over thrice.
Gus Cassel's Record Against Playoff Teams:
2012 - 0-3
2011 - 0-2 (includes home loss to Tim Tebow)
2010 - 1-2
2009 - 0-5
2008 - 2-4
IMPORTANT FACT #1: Cassel has a losing record against playoff teams for one reason: he can't lead the offense to scores. Check out his PPG against playoff teams as a Chief:
A dismal average at just 13.2 PPG overall. But the 2010 average is completely skewed due to a 42-point outburst against the Seahawks. If you remove that game, Cassel's career average PPG against playoff teams as a Chief plummets to 10.8 PPG. LOL
This proves that regardless of the quality of the team around him, Cassel is a liability. The 2009 Chiefs blessed Cassel with a horrendous supporting cast, yet scored MORE points per game against playoff teams than the 2012 Chiefs! Inconceivable!
Against playoff teams, for his Chiefs career, Cassel averages 148.1 yards passing per game. He has 13 TD and 16 INT in these games (13 games in total). His quarterback rating in these games is a hilarious 67.1.
IMPORTANT FACT #2: With better quarterback play, the Chiefs might have won some of these games. This includes:
1. A 2009 game against Dallas where Cassel failed to produce a game-winning drive in OT, given two chances. His second chance, from the 50, ended in a three and out after two incompletions.
2. A 2009 game against the Bengals where the Chiefs' running game produced 123 yards and the defense held Cincy to 274 total yards.
3. A 2010 game where Cassel threw for 153 yards in a loss to the Colts, as he watched the Chiefs run for 113 yards and hold Peyton Manning to 5.5 yards per attempt. This was against the league's 23rd ranked defense.
4. A 2010 playoff game that was scored 13-7 late in the third quarter. From this point forward Cassel committed a crucial intentional grounding penalty and threw an INT on the ensuing possession, ending the game.
5. A 2011 game where the Chiefs, even without Jamaal Charles, ran for 134 yards and held the Broncos to two completions. Cassel threw for 93 yards against the league's 24th ranked defense, and then sustained a hand injury and conveniently escaped judgment against the difficult part of our schedule.
6. A 2012 game against the Baltimore Ravens, in which Cassel threw 2 INTs while the offense scored 6 points. The Chiefs lost 9-6.
IMPORTANT FACT #3: Gus Cassel has never won a close game against a playoff team. All 3 of his wins have been blowouts, 2 of which were aided by elite performances from Randy Moss, Wes Welker, Dwayne Bowe and Jamaal Charles. In a third win, Kurt Warner was pulled before NE's defense had a chance to kill him.
Winning Teams Beat Cassel At An Alarming Rate
It is important to note the distinction of Cassel's record against winning teams (9-7 or better) and playoff teams, since the only playoff team Cassel has ever defeated as a Chief was a losing team (the 7-9 Seahawks).
This also allows us to quantify his performance against good teams who miss the playoffs. It also allows us to see how he has succeeded only vs weak schedules.
Gus Cassel has a career winning percentage of 0.238 against winning teams (5-16). This includes a playoff loss to the 2010 Ravens. It also includes three wins with the Patriots, meaning Cassel is 2-11 as Chiefs quarterback against winning teams.
Gus Cassel's Record Against Winning Teams:
IMPORTANT FACT #1: One of Cassel's two victories as Chiefs quarterback against winning teams came at the beginning of the 2010 season, against the San Diego Chargers (9-7). Cassel threw for 68 yards in this game. The Chiefs scored based primarily upon:
1. A long run by Jamaal Charles.
2. A punt return by Dexter McCluster.
3. A fumble recovery, leading to a 3-play, 12-yard drive, orchestrated completely by The Magnificent Gus Cassel.
The Chiefs had exactly one third down conversion. It was also raining in this game, which could explain why Cassel chose not to complete passes. NOTE: Philip Rivers, who is waterproof, threw for 298 yards in this game, and KC's defense preserved a win with a goal-line stand.
IMPORTANT FACT #2: In Cassel's other victory over a winning team as a member of the Chiefs (vs 2009 Steelers), he made several excellent plays during the fourth quarter and overtime.
NFL historians remain skeptical, but it is possible a quarterback who makes plays late in games is key to a championship team, and may result in more wins over teams such as the 2009 Steelers, the defending Super Bowl Champions.
Cassel Lacks Deep Passing Ability
In a league that is defined as a passing league (see above), throwing the ball down the field is important.
In 2011, the NFL's top seven teams in yards per attempt featured six playoff qualifiers (or half of the league's postseason field), including Super Bowl teams New England and New York. Of the last seven Super Bowl winners, five ranked 4th or higher in yards per attempt.
In 2012, 7 of the top 10 teams in yards per attempt qualified for the playoffs.
These are trends that cannot be ignored.
IMPORTANT FACT #1: No team "led" by Gus Cassel has ever finished higher than 16th in yards per attempt. Cassel's individual ranking in yards per attempt over the last four seasons is as follows:
IMPORTANT FACT #2: In 2008, a season wherein Cassel played with perhaps the greatest deep threat in league history (Randy Moss), he hit only six completions to Moss that traveled over 20 yards. Only two of these completions traveled over 30 yards. This was less than half the number of deep completions Moss hauled in the year prior (14).
For the entire year, Cassel completed only 8 of 38 (21%) passes that traveled over 20 yards. For comparison, consider Tyler Thigpen, who completed 15 of 56 (27%) passes over 20 yards that season. NOTE: Thigpen was traded the following year in favor of Cassel.
Cassel's deep passing woes in 2008 began a trend that has not improved much during his time in Kansas City.
Gus Cassel, Deep Passing, By Year:
2012 - 10 for 34 (29%)
2011 - 9 for 30 (30%)
2010 - 10 for 44 (23%) - BEST YEAR OF GUS CASSEL'S LIFE
2009 - 16 for 55 (29%)
2008 - 8 for 38 (21%)
For comparison, we present every 2011 playoff QB"
Deep Passing, 2011 Playoff QBs
Aaron Rodgers - 30 for 57 (53%)
Drew Brees - 31 for 61 (50.8%)
Andy Dalton - 24 for 56 (43%)
Eli Manning - 37 for 98 (38%)
Alex Smith - 13 for 36 (36%)
Matt Stafford - 22 for 63 (35%)
Matt Schaub - 11 for 32 (34%)
Tom Brady - 15 for 47 (32%)
Ben Roethlisberger - 16 for 55 (29%)
Tim Tebow - 14 for 57 (24.5%)
Joe Flacco - 18 for 78 (23%)
Matt Ryan - 11 for 47 (23%)
IMPORTANT FACT #3: During Gus Cassel's BEST SEASON (2010) he posted a lower deep completion percentage than Tim Tebow, who is now a backup for Mark Sanchez, who is not good.
IMPORTANT FACT #4: Using Tom Brady or Joe Flacco's deep passing statistics to defend Gus Cassel is not allowed.
IMPORTANT FACT #5: The NFL leader in deep completions (Eli) WON THE ****ING SUPER BOWL.
IMPORTANT FACT #6: The 2011 Chiefs missed the playoffs because Carson Palmer completed a 53-yard bomb.
IMPORTANT FACT #7: Gus Cassel once hit the crossbar attempting a hail mary.
IMPORTANT FACT #8 Sometimes Cassel doesn't even see wide open receivers down field.
IMPORTANT FACT #9 Even when he does...
IMPORTANT FACT #10 Ten yards?
IMPORTANT FACT #11:
As a Chief, in games where Cassel's team rushes for less than 135 yards he is 5-21. In the five wins, Cassel's defense holds the opposition to an average of 15.4 points.
Cassel Makes Offensive Linemen Worse
Cassel apologists cite the Chiefs' pass protection woes as responsible for his generally poor production and often embarrassing play. While it is true the Chiefs have had offensive line issues (such as Fece Richardson, the worst tackle in NFL history), they are overstated.
IMPORTANT FACT #1: During the 2008 season with New England, Cassel was sacked once every 11 pass attempts. Behind the exact same offensive line Tom Brady was sacked once every 35 pass attempts. This is a particularly harsh indictment of Cassel's ability to detect, respond to and escape pressure considering Brady (who is less athletic) was operating an offense that was more wide open, featured more of an emphasis down the field and was less dependent on running.
IMPORTANT FACT #2: Despite the fact that the Chiefs' offensive line has improved in talent and performance every season he has started games in Kansas City, Cassel's sack rate doesn't really change.
Gus Cassel Sack Rate + KC/NE Pass Blocking Ranking, By Year (provided by PFF)
2012 - 1 sack every 14.5 attempts - 19th ranked pass blocking line. (editor's note - ranking skewed by Branden Albert leaving the lineup after Cassel was benched)
2011 - 1 sack every 12 attempts - 5th ranked pass blocking line.
2010 - 1 sack every 17 attempts - 16th ranked pass blocking line.
2009 - 1 sack every 12 attempts - 30th ranked pass blocking line.
2008 - 1 sack every 11 attempts - 18th ranked pass blocking line.
IMPORTANT FACT #3: It should be noted that Cassel's 2010 "improvement" in sack rate directly coincided with the Chiefs #1 running game. Also, at the conclusion of the season, he was sacked three times, while attempting 18 passes, against the Baltimore Ravens, who had the league's 28th rated pass rush (credit: PFF).
IMPORTANT FACT #4: Per their usual brilliance, PFF assigns sack responsibility to quarterbacks on certain plays. In just nine games last season, Cassel was credited with "sacking himself" five times.
IMPORTANT FACT #5: Tyler Palko, who probably doesn't belong on anyone's NFL roster, let alone in a huddle, had a sack rate (1 sack every 12 attempts) identical to Cassel's.
IMPORTANT FACT #6: Kyle Orton, who is not known for elusive ability, was sacked once in three games as Kansas City's starter. GM Scott Pioli refused to re-sign him for unknown reasons, perhaps relating to brain damage or an overdose of Cannoli.
IMPORTANT FACT #7 Even when he successfuly eludes pressure, Cassel manages to unsuccessfully elude pressure.
IMPORTANT FACT #8 Sometimes, Gus is capable of missing open receivers and walking himself into a sack all on the same play.
Cassel Struggles Against Good Defenses At An Alarming Rate
While it is true that Gus Cassel occasionally turns in a nice game or does something "heroic" (such as the time he valiantly played a few days after a co-conspirator induced a potentially debilitating rupture within his appendix), he more often than not struggles against good defenses. In a conference with teams like Pittsburgh, Baltimore, Houston, New York and Cincinnati, can Cassel beat such defenses? How else would he advance to, or even win playoff games?
For his career, when facing a top 10 defense (measured by yards or points allowed), Cassel is 5-11.
Gus Cassel's Record Against Top 10 Defenses, By Year:
That doesn't seem so bad (relatively speaking), although Cassel seems to have ducked good defenses the last two seasons (perhaps the best he's ever been able to avoid pressure his whole career).
What about his statistics?
Cassel's 185 yards per game in those 16 contests isn't bad (for Gus). His TD/INT ratio (11/16) is horrible. His team averages 16.1 offensive points per game.
Even worse: His Chiefs teams average 12.6 offensive points per game.
IMPORTANT FACT #1: Cincinnati, Baltimore, Houston and Denver all qualified for the AFC Playoffs this season. All ranked in the top 10 on defense.
QUERY: Do you feel more comfortable pitting Gus Cassel against a Top 10 defense, or would you rather have him face Tom Brady or Peyton Manning. Choose wisely, because...
Cassel Struggles Against Elite Quarterbacks At An Alarming Rate
A short list of quarterbacks Gus Cassel has faced throughout his career that might be considered "elite," or "definitely not Cassel in any way":
Rivers, P. Manning, Roethlisberger, E. Manning, Romo, Schaub, Flacco, Stafford, Ryan, Brees
Cassel's record against this group: 4-17 (.190).[/B]
IMPORTANT FACT #1 In one of these wins, Cassel threw for 68 yards.
IMPORTANT FACT #2 In one of these wins, Philip Rivers fumbled a snap for no apparent reason, giving the game away.
Gus Cassel's Record Against Elite Quarterbacks, By Year:
IMPORTANT FACT #3 In these 19 games against the elite quarterbacks of the NFL, Cassel's teams have averaged 15 offensive points per game.
IMPORTANT FACT #4 The last NFL team to win a postseason game without scoring at least 17 points was the 2008 Ravens. They had the #2 defense in the league. They lost the next week to a team with a fat-faced franchise quarterback.
IMPORTANT FACT #5 As Chiefs QB, Cassel is 0-20 against teams that score more than 24 points.
We, therefore, the Representatives of the United States of Chiefs Fans, in General Congress, Assembled, appealing to the Supreme GM of Arrowhead for the rectitude of our intentions, do, in the Name, and by Authority of the good People of these Chiefs, solemnly publish and declare, That these United Chiefs fans are, and of Right ought to be Free and Independent of Matthew Gus Brennan Cassel.
That they are Absolved from all Allegiance to the Patriot Crown, and that all political connection between them and the State of New England, is and ought to be totally dissolved.
And that as Free and Independent Chiefs Fans, they have full Power to levy Boos, conclude Peace, contract Alliances with Dwayne Bowe, establish Commerce with Top Five Picks, and to do all other Acts and Things which Independent Fans may of right do.
And for the support of this Declaration, with a firm reliance on the protection of divine Providence, we mutually pledge to each other our Lives, our Playoff Fortunes and our Sacred Fandom.
This post made possible by SNR, Coogs and The Gang Of 14.
Statistics compiled by ESPN, PFF and PFR
Dedicated to 'Hamas' Jenkins, our Patrick Henry, who said "Give Me Sanchez, Or Give Me Death."
In an NFL that is classified as a passing first league, he is 3-16 when we put the ball in the air more than we run it.
Cassel has a career winning percentage of .1875 against playoff teams (3-13), and is 1-9 as Chiefs quarterback.
Against playoff teams, for his Chiefs career, Cassel averages 148.5 yards passing per game.
Cassel has a career winning percentage of 0.277 against winning teams (5-13). He is 2-8 as Chiefs quarterback against winning teams.
During Gus Cassel's BEST SEASON (2010) he posted a lower deep completion percentage than 2011 Tim Tebow. He has completed 25.7 percent of his passes over 20 yards for his career.
During 2008, Cassel was sacked once every 11 pass attempts. Behind the exact same line Tom Brady was sacked once every 35 attempts. Cassel was also sacked once every 12 attempts behind the 5th rated pass blocking line in Kansas City.
Cassel has a 5-8 record against top 10 defenses and averages 189 yards per game with a TD/INT ratio of 10/13. His teams average 16.6 offensive points per game. His Chiefs teams average 12 offensive points per game.
Cassel has a 3-12 record against Philip Rivers, Peyton Manning, Ben Roethlisberger, Eli Manning, Tony Romo, Matt Schaub, Joe Flacco and Matthew Stafford. In these 15 games, his teams have averaged 14.4 offensive points per game.
Alex Smith's current 9.8 YPC is one of the lowest marks in the NFL over the last 10 seasons. Only a few QBs have been worse:
Ryan Mallett (9.8), Derek Carr (9.4), Christian Ponder (9.8), Brady Quinn (9.8), Ryan Fitzpatrick (8.6), Brodie Croyle (9.7), Charlie Frye (9.7), Bruce Gradkowski (9.4), David Carr (9.2)