Home Mail MemberMap Chat (0) Wallpapers
Go Back   ChiefsPlanet > The Lounge > D.C.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 07-19-2012, 02:23 PM  
ChiefaRoo ChiefaRoo is offline
Nite Nite
 
ChiefaRoo's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Austin,TX
Casino cash: $51875
Obama is going to lose big time

I'm calling it. The guy is going to lose in an electoral landslide.
Posts: 10,085
ChiefaRoo would the whole thing.ChiefaRoo would the whole thing.ChiefaRoo would the whole thing.ChiefaRoo would the whole thing.ChiefaRoo would the whole thing.ChiefaRoo would the whole thing.ChiefaRoo would the whole thing.ChiefaRoo would the whole thing.ChiefaRoo would the whole thing.ChiefaRoo would the whole thing.ChiefaRoo would the whole thing.
  Reply With Quote
Old 07-20-2012, 08:13 AM   #76
ChiefaRoo ChiefaRoo is offline
Nite Nite
 
ChiefaRoo's Avatar
 

Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Austin,TX
Casino cash: $51875
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dave Lane View Post
I'll take that bet $1,000 straight up unless your nuts are too tiny as previously mentioned.
Deal. PM me to confirm and get ready to pawn your telescope.
Posts: 10,085
ChiefaRoo would the whole thing.ChiefaRoo would the whole thing.ChiefaRoo would the whole thing.ChiefaRoo would the whole thing.ChiefaRoo would the whole thing.ChiefaRoo would the whole thing.ChiefaRoo would the whole thing.ChiefaRoo would the whole thing.ChiefaRoo would the whole thing.ChiefaRoo would the whole thing.ChiefaRoo would the whole thing.
  Reply With Quote
Old 07-20-2012, 02:26 PM   #77
Chiefshrink Chiefshrink is offline
MVP
 
Chiefshrink's Avatar
 

Join Date: Apr 2002
Location: donkey land
Casino cash: $71081
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChiefaRoo View Post
I'm calling it. The guy is going to lose in an electoral landslide.
Posts: 11,932
Chiefshrink is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Chiefshrink is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Chiefshrink is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Chiefshrink is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Chiefshrink is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Chiefshrink is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Chiefshrink is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Chiefshrink is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Chiefshrink is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Chiefshrink is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Chiefshrink is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.
  Reply With Quote
Old 07-20-2012, 03:28 PM   #78
alnorth alnorth is offline
MVP
 
alnorth's Avatar
 

Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Iowania
Casino cash: $12398067
Quote:
Originally Posted by BucEyedPea View Post
This, well-known Vegas oddsmaker claims to have one of the most accurate records of predicting political races and he says Obama is going to lose in a landslide too.


http://townhall.com/columnists/wayne...ide/page/full/

He lays it all out as to why by demographic groups too.
His problem is that the people were a lot less partisan and polarized in 1980 than today. Back then, elections were a lot more fluid and unpredictable because you had a lot more people who were either truly independent, or token members of a party they are not loyal to.

Today with the internet, talk radio, etc the average person is a hell of a lot more informed (or at least thinks they are informed), and have picked a side.

Gettable voters are a tiny fraction.
__________________
<WarMoose> Think about how stupid the average person is. Now realize that half of them are dumber than that.
<Chunda> Why half?
Posts: 25,480
alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.
  Reply With Quote
Old 07-20-2012, 03:29 PM   #79
alnorth alnorth is offline
MVP
 
alnorth's Avatar
 

Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Iowania
Casino cash: $12398067
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChiefaRoo View Post
I'm calling it. The guy is going to lose in an electoral landslide.
I'm probably not going to vote for either guy, so I don't have a horse in this race.

That said, you are insane. There is no way in hell Obama loses in a landslide.
__________________
<WarMoose> Think about how stupid the average person is. Now realize that half of them are dumber than that.
<Chunda> Why half?
Posts: 25,480
alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.
  Reply With Quote
Old 07-21-2012, 06:47 AM   #80
Bwana Bwana is offline
GONE FISHING
 
Bwana's Avatar
 

Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Billings, Montana
Casino cash: $2147483647
I don't give a rats ass "how big the loss is," it could be 1 vote for all I care. As long as train wreck Obama loses the race, packs his bags and gets the **** out, who cares? With that being said, I think it's going to be a close race, unless one of the two, gets caught with a goat or something and the pictures make it to print.
__________________
A gun is like a parachute. If you need one, and don't have one... you'll probably never need one again.


Posts: 47,167
Bwana has disabled reputation
  Reply With Quote
Old 07-21-2012, 07:04 AM   #81
Aries Walker Aries Walker is offline
Back again.
 
Aries Walker's Avatar
 

Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Aspen Hill, MD
Casino cash: $51213
I guess this is our de facto election prediction thread, so I'll chime in by saying I predict Obama wins, 280-258 or thereabouts. It will be close.
Posts: 4,273
Aries Walker is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Aries Walker is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Aries Walker is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Aries Walker is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Aries Walker is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Aries Walker is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Aries Walker is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Aries Walker is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Aries Walker is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Aries Walker is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Aries Walker is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.
  Reply With Quote
Old 07-21-2012, 12:31 PM   #82
alnorth alnorth is offline
MVP
 
alnorth's Avatar
 

Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Iowania
Casino cash: $12398067
My map as of today. Closest races in VA, OH, and NV

__________________
<WarMoose> Think about how stupid the average person is. Now realize that half of them are dumber than that.
<Chunda> Why half?
Posts: 25,480
alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.
  Reply With Quote
Old 07-21-2012, 12:36 PM   #83
alnorth alnorth is offline
MVP
 
alnorth's Avatar
 

Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Iowania
Casino cash: $12398067
I do think the popular vote will be closer than it looks on that map, maybe Obama wins by only 4%, but the electoral college math doesn't look good for Romney.

I think its actually possible this year for Obama to win the electoral college and lose the popular vote. Thats what I'm rooting for anyway, because it could prod some red states into signing onto the national popular vote interstate compact.
__________________
<WarMoose> Think about how stupid the average person is. Now realize that half of them are dumber than that.
<Chunda> Why half?
Posts: 25,480
alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.
  Reply With Quote
Old 07-21-2012, 01:13 PM   #84
qabbaan qabbaan is offline
Veteran
 

Join Date: Jan 2012
Casino cash: $24150
Bammy is not going to win Florida.
Posts: 2,973
qabbaan would the whole thing.qabbaan would the whole thing.qabbaan would the whole thing.qabbaan would the whole thing.qabbaan would the whole thing.qabbaan would the whole thing.qabbaan would the whole thing.qabbaan would the whole thing.qabbaan would the whole thing.qabbaan would the whole thing.qabbaan would the whole thing.
  Reply With Quote
Old 07-21-2012, 01:38 PM   #85
BucEyedPea BucEyedPea is offline
BucPatriot
 
BucEyedPea's Avatar
 

Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: None of your business
Casino cash: $107825
Quote:
Originally Posted by alnorth View Post
I do think the popular vote will be closer than it looks on that map, maybe Obama wins by only 4%, but the electoral college math doesn't look good for Romney.

I think its actually possible this year for Obama to win the electoral college and lose the popular vote. Thats what I'm rooting for anyway, because it could prod some red states into signing onto the national popular vote interstate compact.
Fred Thompson was on Fox predicting Obama losing the popular vote but winning the electoral.
__________________
“Experience should teach us to be most on our guard to protect liberty when the Government’s purposes are beneficent. Men born to freedom are naturally alert to repel invasion of their liberty by evil-minded rulers. The greatest dangers to liberty lurk in insidious encroachment by men of zeal, well-meaning but without understanding.” — James Madison
Posts: 56,199
BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.
  Reply With Quote
Old 07-21-2012, 01:40 PM   #86
BucEyedPea BucEyedPea is offline
BucPatriot
 
BucEyedPea's Avatar
 

Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: None of your business
Casino cash: $107825
Quote:
Originally Posted by qabbaan View Post
Bammy is not going to win Florida.
I find it hard to believe he could win Florida myself. The southern part around Miami is liberal. He may win there. But the central is moderate and the northern part is conservative. I have a hard time believing he'd win the central part of Florida. He definitely won't win the northern part of this state.
__________________
“Experience should teach us to be most on our guard to protect liberty when the Government’s purposes are beneficent. Men born to freedom are naturally alert to repel invasion of their liberty by evil-minded rulers. The greatest dangers to liberty lurk in insidious encroachment by men of zeal, well-meaning but without understanding.” — James Madison
Posts: 56,199
BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.
  Reply With Quote
Old 07-21-2012, 01:40 PM   #87
BucEyedPea BucEyedPea is offline
BucPatriot
 
BucEyedPea's Avatar
 

Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: None of your business
Casino cash: $107825
Quote:
Originally Posted by alnorth View Post
My map as of today. Closest races in VA, OH, and NV
I'd like to know what institution created that map you posted.
__________________
“Experience should teach us to be most on our guard to protect liberty when the Government’s purposes are beneficent. Men born to freedom are naturally alert to repel invasion of their liberty by evil-minded rulers. The greatest dangers to liberty lurk in insidious encroachment by men of zeal, well-meaning but without understanding.” — James Madison
Posts: 56,199
BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.
  Reply With Quote
Old 07-21-2012, 01:44 PM   #88
Bewbies Bewbies is offline
Where's the flag ref?
 
Bewbies's Avatar
 

Join Date: Apr 2010
Casino cash: $71382
Turning the electoral college into a popular vote is a horrible idea. That would be the end of the Republic.
Posts: 6,454
Bewbies is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Bewbies is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Bewbies is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Bewbies is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Bewbies is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Bewbies is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Bewbies is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Bewbies is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Bewbies is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Bewbies is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Bewbies is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.
  Reply With Quote
Old 07-21-2012, 02:07 PM   #89
Discuss Thrower Discuss Thrower is offline
<3 <3 <3 <3 <3
 
Discuss Thrower's Avatar
 

Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: No, where do YOU live?
Casino cash: $65803
I fail to see why a proportional represnrtation system isn't widely implemented.
__________________

- credit goes to BoneKrusher for the pic

"Inception: (in-ˈsep-shən)--n. the act of convincing a female (usually out of one’s league) to have sex with you by making the female think it is her own idea.
Posts: 10,554
Discuss Thrower is too fat/Omaha.Discuss Thrower is too fat/Omaha.Discuss Thrower is too fat/Omaha.Discuss Thrower is too fat/Omaha.Discuss Thrower is too fat/Omaha.Discuss Thrower is too fat/Omaha.Discuss Thrower is too fat/Omaha.Discuss Thrower is too fat/Omaha.Discuss Thrower is too fat/Omaha.Discuss Thrower is too fat/Omaha.Discuss Thrower is too fat/Omaha.
  Reply With Quote
Old 07-21-2012, 02:20 PM   #90
BucEyedPea BucEyedPea is offline
BucPatriot
 
BucEyedPea's Avatar
 

Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: None of your business
Casino cash: $107825
Quote:
Originally Posted by Discuss Thrower View Post
I fail to see why a proportional represnrtation system isn't widely implemented.
Because we have that in the the people's House. The president is supposed to represent the nation as a whole so this way the less populated states count. The Senate once represented the states. This is the design of our federalism. The Framers were not big advocates of democracy.
__________________
“Experience should teach us to be most on our guard to protect liberty when the Government’s purposes are beneficent. Men born to freedom are naturally alert to repel invasion of their liberty by evil-minded rulers. The greatest dangers to liberty lurk in insidious encroachment by men of zeal, well-meaning but without understanding.” — James Madison
Posts: 56,199
BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.BucEyedPea is obviously part of the inner Circle.
  Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -6. The time now is 01:17 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.0
Copyright ©2000 - 2014, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.