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Old 09-18-2012, 11:21 AM  
RINGLEADER RINGLEADER is offline
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National Tracking Polls: Romney +6 in Last Week

Strange. I thought all of these Romney gaffes had killed his campaign.

Rasmussen Last Week: Obama: 50, Romney: 46
Rasmussen This Week: Obama: 45, Romney: 47

Gallup Last Week: Obama: 50, Romney: 43
Gallup This Week: Obama: 47, Romney: 46

Given the huge pick-ups Romney makes when Likely Voter filters are applied, I'd say the Gallup and Rasmussen numbers are probably close to, if not exactly, the same.

Let's see if Obama gets another bounce from the 47% remark (doubt it, but we'll see) and how quickly that one fades...

Last edited by RINGLEADER; 09-18-2012 at 11:36 AM..
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Old 09-19-2012, 09:15 PM   #91
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The polls over sample Dems to Reps. by anywhere from 5 % to 13%. The latest AP poll released yesterday had 13% more dems than rep.

Obama only had a 1% lead 47-46 after an over sampling by 13%.
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Old 09-19-2012, 09:48 PM   #92
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chief Henry View Post
The polls over sample Dems to Reps. by anywhere from 5 % to 13%. The latest AP poll released yesterday had 13% more dems than rep.

Obama only had a 1% lead 47-46 after an over sampling by 13%.
So, you are right, and every poll wrong. Got it.
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Old 09-19-2012, 09:59 PM   #93
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America slashed her wrist on November 6, 2008. Will she slash the other one on November 6, 2012? I don't know, but just for the fact that I have to even ask, it's pretty much over. You can't fight reality. You can only improvise and adjust.

A democracy cannot exist as a permanent form of government. It can only exist until the majority discovers it can vote itself largess out of the public treasury. After that, the majority always votes for the candidate promising the most benefits with the result the democracy collapses because of the loose fiscal policy ensuing, always to be followed by a dictatorship, then a monarchy.

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Get prepared. Try to own your home -- you don't want a bank or anyone else to be able to legally confiscate your property. If you can have a well, that's awesome. If not make sure you have a reserve. Have a years worth of canned goods and preservatives. Make sure your home is located at least 25 miles from any public housing or public transportation. have an off road vehicle and a reserve of fuel. You don't need alot of guns, just one for each family member and have LOTS of ammo.
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Old 09-19-2012, 10:03 PM   #94
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Originally Posted by cosmo20002 View Post
So, you are right, and every poll wrong. Got it.
Those are the facts Jack. Don't blame me if the polls are skewed to the max to make one particular candidate look like he is winning.
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Old 09-19-2012, 10:09 PM   #95
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Those are the facts Jack. Don't blame me if the polls are skewed to the max to make one particular candidate look like he is winning.
What are you going to blame when Romney gets stomped? Is it ever the fault of your precious party?
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Old 09-19-2012, 10:11 PM   #96
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What are you going to blame when Romney gets stomped? Is it ever the fault of your precious party?
It's 2008 all over again.

First it's the polls are skewed and afterwards it will be you're cheating.
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Old 09-19-2012, 10:17 PM   #97
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Originally Posted by Chief Henry View Post
Those are the facts Jack. Don't blame me if the polls are skewed to the max to make one particular candidate look like he is winning.
All of them? All? Fox News as well as MSNBC? Wall Street Journal and New York Times? All using methods they know are faulty?

I wonder why they even bother with the actual act of polling. Why not just publish the result they decide is going to be that day's result?
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Old 09-19-2012, 10:31 PM   #98
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I do not see how this is possible....it seems like Obama is going to win by 5-10 points...
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Old 09-19-2012, 11:24 PM   #99
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FWIW

One of the chief reasons the media is so mistaken in their zeal to proclaim Obama the election winner is that most of the polls they're basing their predictions on are wildly inflating Democrat turnout. The overwhelming majority of media polls are assuming an electorate that is at least as Democrat as the one in 2008, with many polls assuming a higher Democrat turnout. This is just daft. The latest CBS poll of 3 swing states is the most recent to show that GOP has a huge turnout advantage over Democrats.
.......

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Old 09-19-2012, 11:26 PM   #100
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Originally Posted by Tom.Jay61 View Post
FWIW

One of the chief reasons the media is so mistaken in their zeal to proclaim Obama the election winner is that most of the polls they're basing their predictions on are wildly inflating Democrat turnout. The overwhelming majority of media polls are assuming an electorate that is at least as Democrat as the one in 2008, with many polls assuming a higher Democrat turnout. This is just daft. The latest CBS poll of 3 swing states is the most recent to show that GOP has a huge turnout advantage over Democrats.
.......

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2933459/posts
Man I can't wait til this is over so I can go back to listening to you bitching about him not being born in the US for 4 years.
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Old 09-19-2012, 11:28 PM   #101
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Man I can't wait til this is over so I can go back to listening to you bitching about him not being born in the US for 4 years.
Are you seriously looking forward to four more years of B.O.?
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Old 09-19-2012, 11:32 PM   #102
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Are you seriously looking forward to four more years of B.O.?
Yes sir
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Old 09-19-2012, 11:41 PM   #103
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Man I can't wait til this is over so I can go back to listening to you bitching about him not being born in the US for 4 years.
I'm hoping he has an aneurysm.
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Old 09-20-2012, 12:43 AM   #104
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I'm hoping he has an aneurysm.
Obama?
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Old 09-20-2012, 12:46 AM   #105
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom.Jay61 View Post
America slashed her wrist on November 6, 2008. Will she slash the other one on November 6, 2012? I don't know, but just for the fact that I have to even ask, it's pretty much over. You can't fight reality. You can only improvise and adjust.

A democracy cannot exist as a permanent form of government. It can only exist until the majority discovers it can vote itself largess out of the public treasury. After that, the majority always votes for the candidate promising the most benefits with the result the democracy collapses because of the loose fiscal policy ensuing, always to be followed by a dictatorship, then a monarchy.

-Alexis de Tocqueville.

Get prepared. Try to own your home -- you don't want a bank or anyone else to be able to legally confiscate your property. If you can have a well, that's awesome. If not make sure you have a reserve. Have a years worth of canned goods and preservatives. Make sure your home is located at least 25 miles from any public housing or public transportation. have an off road vehicle and a reserve of fuel. You don't need alot of guns, just one for each family member and have LOTS of ammo.
What brand tin foil are you using?
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