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Old 09-18-2012, 11:21 AM  
RINGLEADER RINGLEADER is offline
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National Tracking Polls: Romney +6 in Last Week
Strange. I thought all of these Romney gaffes had killed his campaign.

Rasmussen Last Week: Obama: 50, Romney: 46
Rasmussen This Week: Obama: 45, Romney: 47

Gallup Last Week: Obama: 50, Romney: 43
Gallup This Week: Obama: 47, Romney: 46

Given the huge pick-ups Romney makes when Likely Voter filters are applied, I'd say the Gallup and Rasmussen numbers are probably close to, if not exactly, the same.

Let's see if Obama gets another bounce from the 47% remark (doubt it, but we'll see) and how quickly that one fades...
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Old 09-24-2012, 09:14 AM   #136
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New Polls:

Colorado: Obama 51%, Romney 45% (Public Policy Polling)
Wisconsin: Obama 53%, Romney 41% (We Ask America)
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Old 09-24-2012, 09:17 AM   #137
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Originally Posted by dirk digler View Post
New Polls:

Colorado: Obama 51%, Romney 45% (Public Policy Polling)
Wisconsin: Obama 53%, Romney 41% (We Ask America)
What's the percentage for "Undecideds?" Those who will decide at the very last minute. I've been polled three times already, and either there is no undecided asked or it's just undecided for one call.

Could we be experiencing the Bradley Effect too?
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Old 09-24-2012, 11:59 AM   #138
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Looking at these new polls I honestly don't see how Romney is going to win at this point in time. This is looking more like 2008 EC wise.


Colorado: Obama 51%, Romney 45% (Public Policy Polling)

Florida: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (American Research Group)

Iowa: Obama 51%, Romney 44% (American Research Group)

Michigan: Obama 54%, Romney 42% (Rasmussen)

North Carolina: Obama 49%, Romney 45% (Civitas)

Nevada: Obama 51%, Romney 44% (American Research Group)

Wisconsin: Obama 53%, Romney 41% (We Ask America)
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Old 09-24-2012, 02:08 PM   #139
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If NC goes Obama, this election is way over. Period. I've never heard of Civitas tho...so I don't know their track record.
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Old 09-24-2012, 02:23 PM   #140
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I've been polled three times already
OK...too much information. But has anyone called to ask you who you plan on voting for?
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Old 09-24-2012, 05:25 PM   #141
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Originally Posted by dirk digler View Post
Looking at these new polls I honestly don't see how Romney is going to win at this point in time. This is looking more like 2008 EC wise.


Colorado: Obama 51%, Romney 45% (Public Policy Polling)

Florida: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (American Research Group)

Iowa: Obama 51%, Romney 44% (American Research Group)

Michigan: Obama 54%, Romney 42% (Rasmussen)

North Carolina: Obama 49%, Romney 45% (Civitas)

Nevada: Obama 51%, Romney 44% (American Research Group)

Wisconsin: Obama 53%, Romney 41% (We Ask America)
Part of the reason for this is Obama and his Super Pac's are concentrating the money in the battleground states. That's why you see a wider gap in the battleground states than the national poll. As per Bill Clinton on Face the Nation on Sunday.
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Old 09-24-2012, 05:46 PM   #142
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If NC goes Obama, this election is way over. Period. I've never heard of Civitas tho...so I don't know their track record.
New polls out today have Obama leading Romney 48%-41% among Nascar voters. Obama is also leading among military families.

Romney is losing Nascar and military families to Obama. That should red flag Republicans.
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Old 09-24-2012, 05:48 PM   #143
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New polls out today have Obama leading Romney 48%-41% among Nascar voters. Obama is also leading among military families.

Romney is losing Nascar and military families to Obama. That should red flag Republicans.
What about billionaires who are trying to buy the election? How's he doing with them?
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Old 09-24-2012, 06:06 PM   #144
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Part of the reason for this is Obama and his Super Pac's are concentrating the money in the battleground states. That's why you see a wider gap in the battleground states than the national poll. As per Bill Clinton on Face the Nation on Sunday.
Yeah, that sounds plausible. Romney must be putting most of his ad dollars in Mississippi, California, and Guam. If Bill Clinton really said that, he thinks he's talking to fools.
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Old 09-24-2012, 06:07 PM   #145
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New polls out today have Obama leading Romney 48%-41% among Nascar voters. Obama is also leading among military families.

Romney is losing Nascar and military families to Obama. That should red flag Republicans.
Sure he is.
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Old 09-24-2012, 06:08 PM   #146
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What about billionaires who are trying to buy the election? How's he doing with them?
Obama leads in all demographic groups by 7 or more points. He's up by double digits among Mormons and he's ahead in the tea party vote by 9. Hope is alive and well!
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Old 09-24-2012, 06:11 PM   #147
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Sure he is.
http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Politic...straw-the-wind
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Old 09-24-2012, 06:14 PM   #148
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You should take that to the bank.
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Old 09-24-2012, 06:19 PM   #149
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You should take that to the bank.
I think Nate Silver is the authority of polls. He's the best at this. No one is even close.
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Old 09-24-2012, 06:23 PM   #150
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I think Nate Silver is the authority of polls. He's the best at this. No one is even close.
LOL Nate Silver did a good job analyzing poll data for two election cycles, but he doesn't even do polls. It's far too early in his poll analysis career to hand him the title "authority of polls" IMO. I don't have anything against him, but as Obama would tell you, there are other smart people out there.
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