|09-26-2012, 08:12 PM||Topic Starter|
Join Date: Sep 2000
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Playoff and Draft Pick Odds, 2012
nfl-forecast.com is back for another season.
After Week 3
As of the moment, the Chiefs odds of making the playoffs are 10%.
The distribution of potential wins and draft picks will be shown in my next post.
Unfortunately, this season is shaping up to be a classic case of being Piolied by the Cassel maneuver.
Midway through Week 12
We have an 81% chance of getting the overall #1 pick.
We can afford to win a game, and in all likelihood, still take the number one overall pick. For example, if we win one game and Jacksonville loses out, we will still get the overall #1 pick 99% of the time. If we beat Carolina and they lose out, we still get the #1 pick 75% of the time.
The Chiefs are eliminated from the playoffs.
Midway through week 13
As of now odds of getting the #1 draft pick:
Midway through week 14
Only 3 with decent odds.
Midway through week 15
KC guaranteed a top 3 spot
Midway through week 16
Only way we don't get it is if we beat Denver and Jax loses to TN (barring ties).
Last edited by cdcox; 12-23-2012 at 03:26 PM..