Elections Mitt's winning Ohio

Comrade Crapski · 10-21-2012, 10:13 PM

Face the music, moonbats. America is sending the communist racebaiter back under his rock in Chicago.

Two new Ohio polls came out yesterday after my Ohio post, from from Gravis Marketing and PPP, both of which point to a razor-thin race in the most coveted swing state. A closer look at each poll shows just how much Romney has gained since the debates, and why he would be absolutely thrilled if these polls were accurate on Election Day.

The poll from Gravis Marketing shows Obama and Romney tied at 47 percent. But that’s as good as it gets for Obama. Among the most interesting tidbits from the poll:

Romney leads Obama by 19 percent among independents, 52–33, and holds 92 percent of his base compared to Obama’s 87 percent. Obama is underwater in job approval, 44–50, and independents disapprove of him overwhelmingly, 31–58. And the poll has a Democratic advantage of 9 percent, which is a 4 percent jump from 2008 — no one believes that Democrats can match their 2008 turnout advantage, let alone almost double it.

PPP (a Democratic firm) released their new poll yesterday showing Obama only up one point, 49 to 48. Just a week ago PPP had the race at 51–46 for Obama. But the four-point gain for Romney is even more impressive when you look at the poll’s findings:

This week’s poll has a Democrat sample advantage of 8 percent; last week’s advantage was 4. Romney gained four points on Obama in a week despite the sample’s having four percentage points more Democrats. Romney leads with independents by 7 percent, up from a 5 percent last week. Obama’s approval is underwater at 48–50, and independents disapprove of him by a 41–54 margin. Last week Obama was in positive approval ground at 50–48, and independents disapproved by a much smaller 45–50 margin. Romney’s favorability has gone from a minus-6 margin last week (45–51) to a plus-2 this week (49–47). Trust on the economy went from Obama plus-5 last week (51–46) to plus-4 in Romney’s direction this week (51–47). Independents jumped from Romney plus-5 last week to Romney plus-15 this week.

These two polls highlight what many saw in the second debate: Romney may have lost the overall debate, but he won handily on the issues of the economy, debt, and taxes. While Democrats were riding high this week after Obama narrowly won the face-off, Romney was quietly solidifying support from voters by commanding the issues that matter most. Based on these two polls, the only way Obama can win Ohio is if he finds a way to greatly surpass 2008 turnout with Democrats, which at the moment seems like an impossible task. If these polls hold, it won’t be long before the state Romney was declared dead in knocks down the last pillar of inevitability that Obama has left.

— Josh Jordan is a small-business market-research consultant. You can follow him on Twitter @Numbersmuncher.

http://www.nationalreview.com/corner...ar-josh-jordan

SNR · 10-22-2012, 07:37 AM

We'll see how the other polls go. If true, that's pretty remarkable. Props to Romney for turning this election his way.

Direckshun · 10-22-2012, 08:15 AM

Ohio still shows on 538 as being a Likely Obama. 70%.

mikey23545 · 10-22-2012, 08:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Direckshun

Ohio still shows on 538 as being a Likely Obama. 70%.

theelusiveeightrop · 10-22-2012, 09:07 AM

I miss Walter Cronkite.

ROYC75 · 10-22-2012, 09:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Direckshun

Ohio still shows on 538 as being a Likely Obama. 70%.

Sure, they will after the election too, denial is in the Obots.

**patteeu** · 10-22-2012, 09:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Direckshun

Ohio still shows on 538 as being a Likely Obama. 70%.

Nate Silver calculates that there's a 98% chance that Barack Obama will close gitmo by election day. It's math so it must be right.

Cave Johnson · 10-22-2012, 10:06 AM

Charles Pierce has a phrase to describe the closeness of this election, the margin of chicanery.

We're definitely in that margin.

HonestChieffan · 10-22-2012, 10:26 AM

Dan Rather says 'pubs could steal Ohio......old moonbat

El Jefe · 10-22-2012, 10:34 AM

Well Romney has my vote and just about everybody in my family as well!

Bump · 10-22-2012, 10:45 AM

do we really want a President who believes that he will be a God someday? Terrifying.

LiveSteam · 10-22-2012, 10:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bump

do we really want a President who believes that he will be a God someday? Terrifying.

I see what you did there.& its confusing me.

Cave Johnson · 10-22-2012, 10:49 AM

Quinnipiac/CBS has Obama up 5, ftr.

KC native · 10-22-2012, 10:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cave Johnson

Quinnipiac/CBS has Obama up 5, ftr.

That one data point doesn't fit their preconceived notions. Some Obama staffer must have engaged in a conspiracy to rig the poll.

HonestChieffan · 10-22-2012, 10:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bump

do we really want a President who believes that he will be a God someday? Terrifying.

We have one now who thinks he already is

10-21-2012, 10:13 PM
Comrade Crapski Veteran Join Date: Mar 2012 Casino cash: $19182	Mitt's winning Ohio Face the music, moonbats. America is sending the communist racebaiter back under his rock in Chicago. Two new Ohio polls came out yesterday after my Ohio post, from from Gravis Marketing and PPP, both of which point to a razor-thin race in the most coveted swing state. A closer look at each poll shows just how much Romney has gained since the debates, and why he would be absolutely thrilled if these polls were accurate on Election Day. The poll from Gravis Marketing shows Obama and Romney tied at 47 percent. But that’s as good as it gets for Obama. Among the most interesting tidbits from the poll: Romney leads Obama by 19 percent among independents, 52–33, and holds 92 percent of his base compared to Obama’s 87 percent. Obama is underwater in job approval, 44–50, and independents disapprove of him overwhelmingly, 31–58. And the poll has a Democratic advantage of 9 percent, which is a 4 percent jump from 2008 — no one believes that Democrats can match their 2008 turnout advantage, let alone almost double it. PPP (a Democratic firm) released their new poll yesterday showing Obama only up one point, 49 to 48. Just a week ago PPP had the race at 51–46 for Obama. But the four-point gain for Romney is even more impressive when you look at the poll’s findings: This week’s poll has a Democrat sample advantage of 8 percent; last week’s advantage was 4. Romney gained four points on Obama in a week despite the sample’s having four percentage points more Democrats. Romney leads with independents by 7 percent, up from a 5 percent last week. Obama’s approval is underwater at 48–50, and independents disapprove of him by a 41–54 margin. Last week Obama was in positive approval ground at 50–48, and independents disapproved by a much smaller 45–50 margin. Romney’s favorability has gone from a minus-6 margin last week (45–51) to a plus-2 this week (49–47). Trust on the economy went from Obama plus-5 last week (51–46) to plus-4 in Romney’s direction this week (51–47). Independents jumped from Romney plus-5 last week to Romney plus-15 this week. These two polls highlight what many saw in the second debate: Romney may have lost the overall debate, but he won handily on the issues of the economy, debt, and taxes. While Democrats were riding high this week after Obama narrowly won the face-off, Romney was quietly solidifying support from voters by commanding the issues that matter most. Based on these two polls, the only way Obama can win Ohio is if he finds a way to greatly surpass 2008 turnout with Democrats, which at the moment seems like an impossible task. If these polls hold, it won’t be long before the state Romney was declared dead in knocks down the last pillar of inevitability that Obama has left. — Josh Jordan is a small-business market-research consultant. You can follow him on Twitter @Numbersmuncher. http://www.nationalreview.com/corner...ar-josh-jordan
Posts: 2,650

10-22-2012, 07:37 AM	#2
SNR You're all I have left, Copper Join Date: Apr 2002 Location: Where the hell is SNR Casino cash: $4527233	We'll see how the other polls go. If true, that's pretty remarkable. Props to Romney for turning this election his way.
Posts: 46,863

10-22-2012, 08:15 AM	#3
Direckshun Black for Palestine Join Date: Oct 2006 Location: Springpatch Casino cash: $1166271	Ohio still shows on 538 as being a Likely Obama. 70%. __________________
Posts: 37,460

10-22-2012, 09:07 AM	#5
theelusiveeightrop 2thdoc Join Date: Oct 2012 Location: Dante's Ninth Circle Casino cash: $22076	I miss Walter Cronkite. __________________ "We're both part of the same hypocrisy, senator, but never think it applies to my family."
Posts: 4,466

10-22-2012, 10:06 AM	#8
Cave Johnson MVP Join Date: Sep 2005 Location: E. Bumf***istan Casino cash: $75983	Charles Pierce has a phrase to describe the closeness of this election, the margin of chicanery. We're definitely in that margin.
Posts: 8,142

10-22-2012, 10:26 AM	#9
HonestChieffan Hoffa called me an SOB Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: In the Country in MO Casino cash: $1220184	Dan Rather says 'pubs could steal Ohio......old moonbat __________________ "The best time to sell peanuts is when the circus is in town."
Posts: 21,869

10-22-2012, 10:34 AM	#10
El Jefe Don't tread on me. Join Date: Nov 2006 Location: Where the peaches grow Casino cash: $136369	Well Romney has my vote and just about everybody in my family as well! __________________ Urban Meyer: We're going to rotate them right away. We don't redshirt here at Ohio State. We're changing that up. We're going to have the culture out here that there's no redshirting. If you don't play here, it's because you're not good enough. It's not because we're holding you back. We're going to recruit the kind of player where we want them on the field right now. That's the approach we took at Florida, and it's the approach we're going to take here.
Posts: 7,535

10-22-2012, 10:45 AM	#11
Bump Legalize It Join Date: Nov 2007 Location: Boston sucks :( Casino cash: $52439	do we really want a President who believes that he will be a God someday? Terrifying. __________________ WEED IS ILLEGAL - but here take these pills, side effects include..........................................
Posts: 11,037

10-22-2012, 10:49 AM	#13
Cave Johnson MVP Join Date: Sep 2005 Location: E. Bumf***istan Casino cash: $75983	Quinnipiac/CBS has Obama up 5, ftr.
Posts: 8,142

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