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Old 09-18-2012, 10:09 AM  
Lightrise Lightrise is offline
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Intrade has Obama at 68% sure win. We have historic campaign collapse

This thing is spiraling out of control so fast Romney's advisors cannot possibly hatch a damage control strategy. Mother Jones will drip drip drip this out toward the debate and expectations will be incredibly high. The entire country won't be tuning in to make a decision, they will be tuning in to see Mitt Romney make a fool of himself. There is simply a lack of understanding of the country on the part of Romney and this campaign.

One thing to watch, the state of Georgia! It's closer than anybody believed possible and if the establishment gives up and doesn't vote this one may make national headlines. Ohio and Virginia are definitely goners now. Florida is next and the flood waters will flow.
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Old 09-20-2012, 12:47 AM   #31
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Taco John View Post
You're a legend in your own mind.

You don't know shit about Intrade except what you copy and pasted tonight. You've not followed it. You've not studied it. You've only opened your hole and pretended. Anyone can see through you like a window.

No shit it's gambling - just like any market is a gamble. It blows my mind that you think you're saying something interesting or novel. It's a ****ing prediction market, not a crystal ball. It moves when the subject moves. But at the end of the day, it will have the right winner at 100%.
Really dipshit? I've been reading about prediction markets before the last presidential election. It's funny how I know nothing about Intrade but knew from memory about the asshole who pushed around the McCain president shares.

Feel free to keep talking out your ass though. We knew that's all you and BEP are good for.

Every market is NOT a gamble. I know you're ignorant about the scale of things and how reality functions, but Intrade is no better than going to Vegas.

There are no insights to be gleamed from Intrade.
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Old 09-20-2012, 08:18 PM   #32
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Quote:
Originally Posted by KC native View Post
There are no insights to be gleamed from Intrade.
Certainly not for people who are blind.
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Old 10-23-2012, 09:06 AM   #33
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Old 10-23-2012, 09:19 AM   #34
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Old 10-23-2012, 02:06 PM   #35
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You really want to judge the closeness of the election based on a betting site? Betting is based on perceptions, not in any form of reality.
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Old 10-23-2012, 02:09 PM   #36
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Originally Posted by whoman69 View Post
You really want to judge the closeness of the election based on a betting site? Betting is based on perceptions, not in any form of reality.
Well he didn't start the thread. That's a response to the thread.
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Old 10-23-2012, 03:04 PM   #37
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Obama down to 57%...wonder if Nate Silver's analysis is going to follow suit since he was boasting last week that Intrade supported his conclusions...
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Old 10-23-2012, 03:37 PM   #38
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Old 10-23-2012, 04:10 PM   #39
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RINGLEADER View Post
Obama down to 57%...wonder if Nate Silver's analysis is going to follow suit since he was boasting last week that Intrade supported his conclusions...
Nate Silver doesn't understand InTrade if he boasted that it supported his conclusions. That's not how InTrade works.
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Old 10-23-2012, 04:14 PM   #40
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lightrise View Post
This thing is spiraling out of control so fast Romney's advisors cannot possibly hatch a damage control strategy. Mother Jones will drip drip drip this out toward the debate and expectations will be incredibly high. The entire country won't be tuning in to make a decision, they will be tuning in to see Mitt Romney make a fool of himself. There is simply a lack of understanding of the country on the part of Romney and this campaign.

One thing to watch, the state of Georgia! It's closer than anybody believed possible and if the establishment gives up and doesn't vote this one may make national headlines. Ohio and Virginia are definitely goners now. Florida is next and the flood waters will flow.
Link? If all you got is Intrade data, then you're no better than pete and the other head-in-sand righties
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Old 10-23-2012, 04:24 PM   #41
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Quote:
Originally Posted by KC native View Post
Really dipshit? I've been reading about prediction markets before the last presidential election. It's funny how I know nothing about Intrade but knew from memory about the asshole who pushed around the McCain president shares.

Feel free to keep talking out your ass though. We knew that's all you and BEP are good for.

Every market is NOT a gamble. I know you're ignorant about the scale of things and how reality functions, but Intrade is no better than going to Vegas.

There are no insights to be gleamed from Intrade.
One thing never changes, no matter if the poster leans right, left or in the middle they quickly figure out you are full of shit~
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Old 10-23-2012, 09:40 PM   #42
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RCP list the intrade odds as 54.0 for Obama, and Romney is up to 45.7....and those numbers are after the last debate.....
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Old 10-23-2012, 09:42 PM   #43
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mnchiefsguy View Post
RCP list the intrade odds as 54.0 for Obama, and Romney is up to 45.7....and those numbers are after the last debate.....
Which will mean a loss two weeks from now...heh.
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Old 10-23-2012, 09:45 PM   #44
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Part of the reason for Obama's slide is what Trump found in their divorce papers.

Get ready for a big barrel of mess tomorrow...
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Old 10-23-2012, 09:46 PM   #45
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I'm starting to think Romney is going to win this.
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