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Old 02-24-2013, 10:31 AM  
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GOP - has a huge demographic edge?

GOP EDGE? MORE BABIES ON THE WAY
By: Mark LaRochelle
2/24/2013 06:10 AM



The GOP is demographically doomed unless it can win more of the Latino vote. That’s what this de facto amnesty is supposed to accomplish.

BUNK

As we have pointed out before, this approach backfired the last time it was tried, in 1986. It’s Democrats who face demographic extinction, due to the “fertility gap.”

In terms of fertility, “the GOP has a lead over the Democrats among white women and among younger women at all levels of income and education,” according to political scientist Eric Kaufman. And this “Republican fertility advantage,” he says, is growing.

Behind the Democrats’ “baby bust” is liberalism. As RedState.com reported, Arthur C. Brooks, president of the American Enterprise Institute, observed, “according to the 2004 General Social Survey, if you picked 100 unrelated politically liberal adults at random, you would find that they had, between them, 147 children.

“If you picked 100 conservatives, you would find 208 kids. That’s a ‘fertility gap’ of 41 percent.”

“The growing Republican fertility advantage largely derives from religion,” according to Kaufman. In his 2010 book, “Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?: Demography and Politics in the Twenty-First Century,” Kaufman argues, “across denominations, the fertility advantage of religious fundamentalists of all colours is significant and growing. After 2020, their demographic weight will begin to tip the balance in the culture wars toward the conservative side, ramping up pressure on hot-button issues such as abortion. By the end of the century, three quarters of America may be anti-abortion.”.........


http://www.humanevents.com/2013/02/2...es-on-the-way/
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Old 02-24-2013, 11:13 AM   #2
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Conservatives dont necessarily beget conservatives.
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Old 02-24-2013, 12:02 PM   #3
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“the GOP has a lead over the Democrats...among younger women at all levels of income and education,”
wut?
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Old 02-24-2013, 12:13 PM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pitt Gorilla View Post
Conservatives dont necessarily beget conservatives.
Neither do progs beget progs. I grew up in a liberal Democrat home and all four of us became Republicans. It makes more sense. When you start a business, it changes your perspective.

There's also an argument I heard before, Democratic programs can make more Republicans if the people become successful. That can happen too.

Latinos may like the welfare state more BUT they're also socially conservative—pro-family.
Remember, a lot of them are Catholics.
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Old 02-24-2013, 12:50 PM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pitt Gorilla View Post
Conservatives dont necessarily beget conservatives.
Political preference of the parent is the #1 factor in predicting how the children will later identify. There's about an 80% likelihood you'll share your parents politics.

http://books.google.com/books?id=Mc1...litics&f=false
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Old 02-24-2013, 12:55 PM   #6
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wut?
I believe he is claiming that GOP voters across all demos have more children than their Democrat counterparts. He is not saying there are more young GOP women than young Democrat women, only that they have more kids. Hope that helps.
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Old 02-24-2013, 12:55 PM   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BucEyedPea View Post
Neither do progs beget progs. I grew up in a liberal Democrat home and all four of us became Republicans. It makes more sense. When you start a business, it changes your perspective.

There's also an argument I heard before, Democratic programs can make more Republicans if the people become successful. That can happen too.

Latinos may like the welfare state more BUT they're also socially conservative—pro-family.
Remember, a lot of them are Catholics.
JFC how long are you going to keep trying to act like Latinos are going to support the gop simply due to them being catholic?

Latinos won't support the gop, because they know it is the party of the rich. They also hear all the rhetoric about deportation and other racist screeds coming from the gop.

Unless the gop has a radical shift in attitudes, they will not be gaining wide support from Latinos.
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Old 02-24-2013, 12:57 PM   #8
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I'm not sure if Prima Nocte is an effective political strategy.
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Old 02-24-2013, 02:44 PM   #9
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I'm not sure if Prima Nocte is an effective political strategy.
Nay is aborting your future base.
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Old 02-24-2013, 02:47 PM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Prison Bitch View Post
Political preference of the parent is the #1 factor in predicting how the children will later identify. There's about an 80% likelihood you'll share your parents politics.

http://books.google.com/books?id=Mc1...litics&f=false
my girls:
God forgiven/saved Christians
Chiefs Fans
Steak eaters
Republicans

wonder where they got that from?
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Old 02-24-2013, 02:50 PM   #11
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Nay is aborting your future base.
Future generations are being aborted?
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Old 02-24-2013, 04:02 PM   #12
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Nay is aborting your future base.
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Old 02-24-2013, 04:05 PM   #13
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my girls:
God forgiven/saved Christians
Chiefs Fans
Steak eaters
Republicans

wonder where they got that from?
My daughter:

Searching Spiritually
Panther Fan ( Not I )
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Ron Paul fan
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Austrian Economics
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Old 02-24-2013, 04:07 PM   #14
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I'm not sure if Prima Nocte is an effective political strategy.
Romania agrees.
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Old 02-24-2013, 04:16 PM   #15
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