Chiefs Chiefs vs. 49ers Win Probability - Page 2

**DaFace** · 09-21-2010, 05:35 PM

I thought this was interesting last week, so here it is again. I may do this weekly unless people start getting tired of it.

Anyway, what are the chances of a Chiefs win over the 49ers this week?

CaliforniaChief · 09-21-2010, 06:11 PM

I'm sorta where RNR is. Finding ways to win builds momentum. Late in a close game, the team that's been winning is more confident that they'll find the way to win again. Opposite with teams that have been losing.

Niners in a short week, deflated from a heart-breaking loss...Chiefs coming into a bye afterwards gives us the edge.

Superior coaching and a mistake-prone 49ers team gives us the slight edge.

60%.

**Bane** · 09-21-2010, 06:12 PM

I went with 70% again,but I expect this to be a very tough game for us.

Hog's Gone Fishin · 09-21-2010, 06:25 PM

40% Cassel sucks even at home.

**Bane** · 09-21-2010, 06:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hog Farmer

40% Cassel sucks even at home.

Look out man! He may go psycho and throw for 200 yards and 2 TD's and wooooo Arrowhead into a massive frenzy!!!

Matt mother****ing Cassel baby!! YEAH!!!!!

**RealSNR** · 09-21-2010, 06:30 PM

I'm not deeply concerned about our defense against the San Fran offense.

I am, however, deeply concerned about our offense against the San Fran defense.

It's gonna be Jamaal Charles time. Thomas Jones doesn't match up well. Patrick Willis will hold him to .000000001 YPC. Our coaches need to acknowledge this or we will suck all day.

We're also gonna need a good game out of Cassel against that defense, and I don't know where it's going to come from. Maybe a good game exists far up his ass somewhere, but it's his job to pull it out. He's got the work ethic, but I don't think he has the attitude.

KC Jones · 09-21-2010, 06:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SNR

I'm not deeply concerned about our defense against the San Fran offense.

I am, however, deeply concerned about our offense against the San Fran defense.

It's gonna be Jamaal Charles time. Thomas Jones doesn't match up well. Patrick Willis will hold him to .000000001 YPC. Our coaches need to acknowledge this or we will suck all day.

We're also gonna need a good game out of Cassel against that defense, and I don't know where it's going to come from. Maybe a good game exists far up his ass somewhere, but it's his job to pull it out. He's got the work ethic, but I don't think he has the attitude.

I agree with you completely. If we're lucky, our ST play will help us win what promises to be a punt fest and maybe get us in FG range a couple of times.

Pasta Little Brioni · 09-21-2010, 06:59 PM

Don Criqui isn't calling this game. That makes everyone involved a winner.

**DaneMcCloud** · 09-21-2010, 07:03 PM

I went with 70%.

SF will be coming off a tough, emotional loss on a short week. I'd imagine the Arrowhead will at least 80% of what is was during the MNF game and that should be enough to disorient Jimmy Raye and the 49ers offense.

I think Special Teams will probably ending up winning this game for the Chiefs.

16-13 Chiefs.

**Bane** · 09-21-2010, 07:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud

I went with 70%.

SF will be coming off a tough, emotional loss on a short week. I'd imagine the Arrowhead will at least 80% of what is was during the MNF game and that should be enough to disorient Jimmy Raye and the 49ers offense.

I think Special Teams will probably ending up winning this game for the Chiefs.

16-13 Chiefs.

I feel another score on D coming as well.

Our run D will get tested for sure.Gore is a fuggn monster!

tonyetony · 09-21-2010, 07:12 PM

I love public polls. I knew someone would be down there spooning Knowmo's ass!!!

Pasta Little Brioni · 09-21-2010, 07:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bane

I feel another score on D coming as well.

Our run D will get tested for sure.Gore is a fuggn monster!

They've got some talented players, but I guarentee at Niner Planet they've got the same "confidence" in the QB position that those here have.

Three7s · 09-21-2010, 07:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SNR

I'm not deeply concerned about our defense against the San Fran offense.

I am, however, deeply concerned about our offense against the San Fran defense.

It's gonna be Jamaal Charles time. Thomas Jones doesn't match up well. Patrick Willis will hold him to .000000001 YPC. Our coaches need to acknowledge this or we will suck all day.

We're also gonna need a good game out of Cassel against that defense, and I don't know where it's going to come from. Maybe a good game exists far up his ass somewhere, but it's his job to pull it out. He's got the work ethic, but I don't think he has the attitude.

You'll be disappointed, listening to an interview with Grunhard today on .810, he said that there is, certainly, something going on with the lack of playing time for Charles, and I doubt it'll end, barring a Thomas Jones injury.

That being the case, I'll go with 30%. Our idiotic coaching staff decides to keep our best player in 25% of the time, and Cassel sucks. They should beat us 17-13 or something.

**RealSNR** · 09-21-2010, 07:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Three7s

You'll be disappointed, listening to an interview with Grunhard today on .810, he said that there is, certainly, something going on with the lack of playing time for Charles, and I doubt it'll end, barring a Thomas Jones injury.

That being the case, I'll go with 30%. Our idiotic coaching staff decides to keep our best player in 25% of the time, and Cassel sucks. They should beat us 17-13 or something.

As much as I distrust Haley, Weis, and Carthon to make the best decisions, I'll wait and see about this. Does Grunhard have a report about this or is he speculating just as much as we the fans are?

The Niners are a tough, fast, defense that close holes quickly and overpower offensive lines up front. It's obvious who the best option is to overcome that. There's film from last year, this year, and we have a coach in Weis who scours over this footage (at least according to the reports). I really hope they see this objective truth.

JD10367 · 09-21-2010, 07:34 PM

Last night's game went the best possible way for KC. SF played very well, which gives Haley plenty of ammo to scare the players with. SF lost, which will make them disappointed and questioning themselves. SF made stupid mistakes, which gives Chiefs fans reason to hope and believe there'll be more of the same. Throw in that it's at Arrowhead, Cassel is bound to play a little better, and Alex Smith is bound to play a little worse. You have two teams with stout D, good running games, and QBs who are questionable, but with those variables I think Chiefs win factor is 80%.

**Bane** · 09-21-2010, 07:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JD10367

Last night's game went the best possible way for KC. SF played very well, which gives Haley plenty of ammo to scare the players with. SF lost, which will make them disappointed and questioning themselves. SF made stupid mistakes, which gives Chiefs fans reason to hope and believe there'll be more of the same. Throw in that it's at Arrowhead, Cassel is bound to play a little better, and Alex Smith is bound to play a little worse. You have two teams with stout D, good running games, and QBs who are questionable, but with those variables I think Chiefs win factor is 80%.

Almost sounds like one of those good old fashioned 6-3 half time scores in the making.God I hope its nice!I'm betting Pioli/Haley has held Cassel back so he could unleash him upon the NFL world on a fair weathered day at Arrowhead and showcase his supreme skill set!YEAH!
Posted via Mobile Device

View Poll Results: What are the chances of a Chiefs victory over San Francisco?
100% (The 49ers don't stand a chance!)	5	2.59%
90%	3	1.55%
80%	11	5.70%
70%	27	13.99%
60%	36	18.65%
50% (It could go either way.)	56	29.02%
40%	32	16.58%
30%	13	6.74%
20%	4	2.07%
10%	0	0%
0% (Last week was a complete fluke. We suck.)	4	2.07%
I don't have any clever quips about Gaz this week.	2	1.04%
Voters: 193. You may not vote on this poll

09-21-2010, 05:35 PM
DaFace Kind of a mod Join Date: Aug 2005 Location: Donkey Land Casino cash: $-1823101	Chiefs vs. 49ers Win Probability I thought this was interesting last week, so here it is again. I may do this weekly unless people start getting tired of it. Anyway, what are the chances of a Chiefs win over the 49ers this week?
Posts: 53,151

09-21-2010, 06:11 PM	#16
CaliforniaChief #RIPAce Join Date: Jan 2009 Location: So Cal Casino cash: $10585899	I'm sorta where RNR is. Finding ways to win builds momentum. Late in a close game, the team that's been winning is more confident that they'll find the way to win again. Opposite with teams that have been losing. Niners in a short week, deflated from a heart-breaking loss...Chiefs coming into a bye afterwards gives us the edge. Superior coaching and a mistake-prone 49ers team gives us the slight edge. 60%.
Posts: 17,457

09-21-2010, 06:12 PM	#17
Bane C.H.I.E.F.S Join Date: Dec 2003 Location: **** your face Casino cash: $10005055	I went with 70% again,but I expect this to be a very tough game for us.
Posts: 12,621

09-21-2010, 06:25 PM	#18
Hog's Gone Fishin Fish are scared of me Join Date: Nov 2001 Casino cash: $-1509523	40% Cassel sucks even at home.
Posts: 40,647

09-21-2010, 06:59 PM	#22
Pasta Little Brioni Consuming CP souls Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: U.S.A. Casino cash: $228880	Don Criqui isn't calling this game. That makes everyone involved a winner. __________________ **Official TFWdemB Trivia Commisioner**
Posts: 72,984

09-21-2010, 07:03 PM	#23
DaneMcCloud Supporter Join Date: Sep 2000 Location: Hollywood, CA Casino cash: $10053648	I went with 70%. SF will be coming off a tough, emotional loss on a short week. I'd imagine the Arrowhead will at least 80% of what is was during the MNF game and that should be enough to disorient Jimmy Raye and the 49ers offense. I think Special Teams will probably ending up winning this game for the Chiefs. 16-13 Chiefs.
Posts: 88,960

09-21-2010, 07:12 PM	#25
tonyetony tonyetony Join Date: May 2001 Location: Yeah Right! Casino cash: $9977948	I love public polls. I knew someone would be down there spooning Knowmo's ass!!!
Posts: 1,446

09-21-2010, 07:34 PM	#29
JD10367 Cheaterlover* Join Date: May 2009 Location: RI Casino cash: $10010716	Last night's game went the best possible way for KC. SF played very well, which gives Haley plenty of ammo to scare the players with. SF lost, which will make them disappointed and questioning themselves. SF made stupid mistakes, which gives Chiefs fans reason to hope and believe there'll be more of the same. Throw in that it's at Arrowhead, Cassel is bound to play a little better, and Alex Smith is bound to play a little worse. You have two teams with stout D, good running games, and QBs who are questionable, but with those variables I think Chiefs win factor is 80%.
Posts: 12,916