Home Discord Chat
Go Back   ChiefsPlanet > Nzoner's Game Room
Reload this Page Chiefs Playoff scenarios
Register FAQDonate Members List Calendar

Reply
Page 2 of 2 1 2
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 12-02-2019, 09:26 PM  
DaFace DaFace is offline
Kind of a mod
 
DaFace's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Donkey Land
Casino cash: $-1683101
Playoff scenarios
Considering we have four games left, it's actually a little weird how little variability we have for playoff seeding at this point.

Our magic number with the Raiders is 2, so any combination of wins for us and losses for them that adds up to 2 clinches the division. (We can clinch this week if we beat the Pats and they lose to the Titans, for example.)

We can technically get to a bye, but it's gonna take a lot of luck going our way. The Chiefs have to win out, and the Texans have to drop at least one game (against the Titans x2, Broncos, or Bucs). If we ignore the MASSIVE upset possibilities (Pats lose to the Dolphins/Bengals or Ravens/Bills lose to the Jets), here are the most likely paths to a bye:
  • The Ravens drop TWO games (to the Bills, Steelers, or Browns)
  • The Patriots lose to the Bills AND the Bills lose to the Steelers or Ravens
Obviously, if some of those super weird upsets happen, things change, but those are about all we've got for likely scenarios. Overall, the models give us about a 90% chance of being a 3-4 seed, so frankly these games aren't near as important as you'd think unless we can get some major luck to go our way. But you never know...

(Feel free to chime in if I messed any of this up or if I missed another scenario that's worth discussing.)
Posts: 53,132
DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-08-2019, 10:44 AM   #16
VAGOMO 4 LIFE! VAGOMO 4 LIFE! is offline
In Search of a Life
 
VAGOMO 4 LIFE!'s Avatar
 

Join Date: Nov 2018
Casino cash: $6350400
Quote:
Originally Posted by KChiefs1 View Post
Shouldn’t we be rooting for the Ravens?
No because if Bills win and we beat the Pats the Bills are the new #1 seed
Posts: 21,754
VAGOMO 4 LIFE! Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.VAGOMO 4 LIFE! Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.VAGOMO 4 LIFE! Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.VAGOMO 4 LIFE! Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.VAGOMO 4 LIFE! Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.VAGOMO 4 LIFE! Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.VAGOMO 4 LIFE! Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.VAGOMO 4 LIFE! Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.VAGOMO 4 LIFE! Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.VAGOMO 4 LIFE! Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.VAGOMO 4 LIFE! Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-08-2019, 11:00 AM   #17
Lilmrp117 Lilmrp117 is offline
Starter
 

Join Date: Nov 2018
Casino cash: $6840400
Quote:
Originally Posted by MAHOMO 4 LIFE! View Post
No because if Bills win and we beat the Pats the Bills are the new #1 seed
There's no point in rooting for the bills over the Ravens. For the bills to get the 1 seed, they'd have to win out unless you believe the pats will lose to either the bungles or dolphins. This also increases chances of bills and Ravens getting the 2 byes and leaving us out, unless you think the Ravens are going to lose enough for us to pass them. I think the better bet is root for Ravens to beat bills and then bills to beat pats and hope texans lose any one more game. And of course we win out.
Posts: 302
Lilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking aboutLilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking aboutLilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking aboutLilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking aboutLilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking aboutLilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking aboutLilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking aboutLilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking aboutLilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking aboutLilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking aboutLilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking about
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-08-2019, 11:18 AM   #18
Hammock Parties Hammock Parties is offline
I'll be back.
 
Hammock Parties's Avatar
 

Join Date: Nov 2002
Casino cash: $1000478
The Bills can have the 1 seed.

I'll take the 2 seed and sit back and laugh as the Bills blow their first game at home.
__________________
Chiefs game films
Posts: 296,772
Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-08-2019, 11:23 AM   #19
RaidersOftheCellar RaidersOftheCellar is offline
MVP
 
RaidersOftheCellar's Avatar
 

Join Date: Sep 2016
Casino cash: $-509600
Quote:
Originally Posted by wazu View Post
Ravens aren't going to lose 2, and I seriously doubt the Bills have it in them to knock off the Patriots. I think Chiefs fans can pretty confidently make plans to attend a game in Arrowhead on Wild Card Weekend. Hopefully the team is healthy and can be the road team that both the Patriots and Ravens are praying they don't have to face in Round 2.
The Bills are definitely capable of beating the Patriots. Should have happened the first time.

That will be a 9-6 type of game.
Posts: 17,528
RaidersOftheCellar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.RaidersOftheCellar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.RaidersOftheCellar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.RaidersOftheCellar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.RaidersOftheCellar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.RaidersOftheCellar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.RaidersOftheCellar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.RaidersOftheCellar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.RaidersOftheCellar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.RaidersOftheCellar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.RaidersOftheCellar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-08-2019, 11:24 AM   #20
RaidersOftheCellar RaidersOftheCellar is offline
MVP
 
RaidersOftheCellar's Avatar
 

Join Date: Sep 2016
Casino cash: $-509600
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dante84 View Post
Rooting Guide for this weekend:

• Chiefs over Pats
• Bills over Ravens (quiet the Lamar hype, possibly knocks Pats to 5 seed down the line)
• Broncos over Texans (unlikely, but helps us jump Houston)
• Raiders over Titans (don’t want them in playoffs, would love Oakland to be a WC)
• Steelers over Cardinals (want Pittsburgh’s 3rd QB in a WC spot)
• Colts over Bucs (want Indy in a WC spot over Tenn/Hou)
Quit being scared of the Titans. Good God. We’d destroy them in a revenge game. Especially at home.
Posts: 17,528
RaidersOftheCellar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.RaidersOftheCellar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.RaidersOftheCellar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.RaidersOftheCellar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.RaidersOftheCellar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.RaidersOftheCellar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.RaidersOftheCellar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.RaidersOftheCellar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.RaidersOftheCellar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.RaidersOftheCellar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.RaidersOftheCellar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-08-2019, 11:26 AM   #21
Lilmrp117 Lilmrp117 is offline
Starter
 

Join Date: Nov 2018
Casino cash: $6840400
Quote:
Originally Posted by RaidersOftheCellar View Post
The Bills are definitely capable of beating the Patriots. Should have happened the first time.

That will be a 9-6 type of game.
That's true and we can then pass the pats for 2 seed but pats aren't losing to bungles or dolphins so bills aren't passing pats for division due to tiebreaker. So may as well have Ravens win and get the bills the loss we need them to get.
Posts: 302
Lilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking aboutLilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking aboutLilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking aboutLilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking aboutLilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking aboutLilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking aboutLilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking aboutLilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking aboutLilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking aboutLilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking aboutLilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking about
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-08-2019, 11:42 AM   #22
007 007 is offline
Shaken. Not stirred.
 
007's Avatar
 

Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: London
Casino cash: $12220126
VARSITY
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lilmrp117 View Post
That's true and we can then pass the pats for 2 seed but pats aren't losing to bungles or dolphins so bills aren't passing pats for division due to tiebreaker. So may as well have Ravens win and get the bills the loss we need them to get.
Never count out the dolphins curse on the pats
__________________
My dear girl, there are some things that just aren’t done. Such as, drinking Dom Perignon ’53 above the temperature of 38 degrees Fahrenheit. That’s just as bad as listening to the Beatles without earmuffs.
Posts: 65,734
007 is obviously part of the inner Circle.007 is obviously part of the inner Circle.007 is obviously part of the inner Circle.007 is obviously part of the inner Circle.007 is obviously part of the inner Circle.007 is obviously part of the inner Circle.007 is obviously part of the inner Circle.007 is obviously part of the inner Circle.007 is obviously part of the inner Circle.007 is obviously part of the inner Circle.007 is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-08-2019, 11:47 AM   #23
PHOG PHOG is online now
Dazed and Confused
 
PHOG's Avatar
 

Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Somewhere Out There
Casino cash: $-1669500
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lilmrp117 View Post
That's true and we can then pass the pats for 2 seed but pats aren't losing to bungles or dolphins so bills aren't passing pats for division due to tiebreaker. So may as well have Ravens win and get the bills the loss we need them to get.
When we beat the Cheatriots, and the Bills were to defeat the Ravens, then if they were to defeat the Cheatriots they would have the tiebreaker over the RAVENS and a 1 game lead on the Cheatriots, I think.
Posts: 19,849
PHOG is obviously part of the inner Circle.PHOG is obviously part of the inner Circle.PHOG is obviously part of the inner Circle.PHOG is obviously part of the inner Circle.PHOG is obviously part of the inner Circle.PHOG is obviously part of the inner Circle.PHOG is obviously part of the inner Circle.PHOG is obviously part of the inner Circle.PHOG is obviously part of the inner Circle.PHOG is obviously part of the inner Circle.PHOG is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-08-2019, 11:53 AM   #24
Spott Spott is online now
Court Jester
 
Spott's Avatar
 

Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Orlando
Casino cash: $-627600
We’ll probably win the division, but we aren’t sniffing a bye week.
Posts: 20,677
Spott is obviously part of the inner Circle.Spott is obviously part of the inner Circle.Spott is obviously part of the inner Circle.Spott is obviously part of the inner Circle.Spott is obviously part of the inner Circle.Spott is obviously part of the inner Circle.Spott is obviously part of the inner Circle.Spott is obviously part of the inner Circle.Spott is obviously part of the inner Circle.Spott is obviously part of the inner Circle.Spott is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-08-2019, 11:55 AM   #25
Lilmrp117 Lilmrp117 is offline
Starter
 

Join Date: Nov 2018
Casino cash: $6840400
Quote:
Originally Posted by PHOG View Post
When we beat the Cheatriots, and the Bills were to defeat the Ravens, then if they were to defeat the Cheatriots they would have the tiebreaker over the RAVENS and a 1 game lead on the Cheatriots, I think.
Do you really think the bills are going to win out though? Cause that's what they would need to do. But i think that hurts our chances bc if you take the bills out of the equation for a bye then we need to pass either the pats or the Ravens and hope texans lose one more. If bills get a bye then we absolutely need to pass the Ravens. I think we have a better shot at passing the pats than the Ravens and would rather have that option open with the bills out of the equation which can happen with the Ravens beating the bills today.
Posts: 302
Lilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking aboutLilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking aboutLilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking aboutLilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking aboutLilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking aboutLilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking aboutLilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking aboutLilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking aboutLilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking aboutLilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking aboutLilmrp117 is the dumbass Milkman is always talking about
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-08-2019, 12:01 PM   #26
PHOG PHOG is online now
Dazed and Confused
 
PHOG's Avatar
 

Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Somewhere Out There
Casino cash: $-1669500
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lilmrp117 View Post
Do you really think the bills are going to win out though? Cause that's what they would need to do. But i think that hurts our chances bc if you take the bills out of the equation for a bye then we need to pass either the pats or the Ravens and hope texans lose one more. If bills get a bye then we absolutely need to pass the Ravens. I think we have a better shot at passing the pats than the Ravens and would rather have that option open with the bills out of the equation which can happen with the Ravens beating the bills today.
It's possible, hell, there are too many different scenarios yet. I would like us to end with a bye if possible, whatever it takes to do that.
Posts: 19,849
PHOG is obviously part of the inner Circle.PHOG is obviously part of the inner Circle.PHOG is obviously part of the inner Circle.PHOG is obviously part of the inner Circle.PHOG is obviously part of the inner Circle.PHOG is obviously part of the inner Circle.PHOG is obviously part of the inner Circle.PHOG is obviously part of the inner Circle.PHOG is obviously part of the inner Circle.PHOG is obviously part of the inner Circle.PHOG is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-08-2019, 12:07 PM   #27
TLO TLO is offline
Life is changing..
 
TLO's Avatar
 

Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: NW Missouri
Casino cash: $-2390000
Quote:
Originally Posted by Spott View Post
We’ll probably win the division, but we aren’t sniffing a bye week.
Ummm...
Posts: 43,044
TLO is obviously part of the inner Circle.TLO is obviously part of the inner Circle.TLO is obviously part of the inner Circle.TLO is obviously part of the inner Circle.TLO is obviously part of the inner Circle.TLO is obviously part of the inner Circle.TLO is obviously part of the inner Circle.TLO is obviously part of the inner Circle.TLO is obviously part of the inner Circle.TLO is obviously part of the inner Circle.TLO is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-08-2019, 06:52 PM   #28
DaFace DaFace is offline
Kind of a mod
 
DaFace's Avatar
 

Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Donkey Land
Casino cash: $-1683101
On a phone, so I'll edit the OP later, but if the Chiefs win out and we can get the Bills to off the Pats, the bye is ours.
Posts: 53,132
DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Reply
Page 2 of 2 1 2

« Previous Thread | > Nzoner's Game Room < | Next Thread »

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump




All times are GMT -6. The time now is 02:08 PM.

Contact Us - ChiefsPlanet - Archive - Top

This is a test for a client's site.
Fort Worth Texas Process Servers
Covering Arlington, Fort Worth, Grand Prairie and surrounding communities.
Tarrant County, Texas and Johnson County, Texas.
Advertise with us!
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.