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Old 11-02-2014, 08:19 PM  
Direckshun Direckshun is offline
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Let's talk about the ****ing Bills.

This one is huge, people. If you didn't already know, and aren't already reading along in the two threads we're discussing this, this one could be for an NFL tiebreaker. Plus, it is a game we need to win so that we don't have to beat the league's most talented teams later to compensate.

The Bills are 5-3. We are 5-3. This, for all intents and purposes, is a playoff game. And it's in ****ing Buffalo, a place where they're almost as starved for playoff success as we are. Even worse, they're coming off a bye.

What the hell happened in Buffalo? This team was a hopeless dope of a franchise for years. They were awful last year. Now, they're suddenly competent and possibly even good? Without a running game??? What??

I'll tell you what happened. Kyle ****ing Orton happened. All of a sudden, the Bills have a QB who doesn't Belcher their entire chance at success. Orton can, you know, actually pass the ball, can adequately read defenses, and doesn't make gargantuan ****ing mistakes like EJ Manuel and Jeff Tuel did. And prepare yourself for this week, because Claythan is going to be blowing Orton all week and it's going to be ridiculous.

Orton's having a very good year by his standards, but there's two major catches to his success:
  • The Bills do not have a run game, and therefore depend on Orton for their offensive success.
  • He is still Kyle Orton.
That means you can expect Orton's effectiveness to evaporate like a Chiefs fan's hopes and dreams when he's under pressure. You can also expect him to struggle squeezing the ball into tight windows, which is why Orton has historically been terrible in the red zone.

He's been better this year in the red zone, but still nobody's idea of a world beater. The primary reason he's been getting some success is because they have their own Percy Harvin, which we apparently struggle mightily with, named Sammie Watkins. This Watkins kid isn't the polished route-runner that Harvin is, but he's bigger and every bit as athletic. He can absolutely torch people, and the Chiefs need to have this asshole on lockdown.

After that, they have several nice, adequate weapons in supporting roles. I've always really liked Scott Chandler at TE, and angled a few years back for the Chiefs to pick him up in FA. Mike Williams is a big WR who had a super productive year in Tampa and can still have a big catch from time to time, Robert Woods is a smooth route runner, and Marquise Goodwin is a re-****ing-diculous speedster.

At RB, it's a mess. Fred Jackson has missed time, and will probably be out. CJ Spiller is dead. Their lead RB, and this is true, is a guy named Boobie Dixon. Also known as Anthony Dixon, he was a 245 lbs, fatass plodder that the 49ers could never find use for. He's meh. They also have Bryce Brown, who is alright.

I really like their OL, which is a reason Orton's been able to sling it fairly well. Cordy Glenn is a ridiculous monster athlete of a LT, but he's still learning and is very young. Seantrel Henderson is another extremely large, very athletic tackle at RT, just a great pair of gigantic athletes there. Erik Wood is a decent, capable center, nothing special, but I don't know much about how Cyril Richardson and Erik Pears are playing at guard. Maybe we've got some New Englanders here who can enlighten us.

So that's a capable offense. But the defense is why they are 5-3.

This defensive line is impossible. Mario Williams is not the game changer he once was, but he gets his off the edge. The middle of the DL is probably the best the NFL has to offer: Marcel Dareus and Kyle Williams are ****ing impossible. They disrupt anything and everything, and are ferocious against the pass (Dareus has SEVEN SACKS) and the run. Shit... is about to get real. Off the other edge they have Jerry Hughes, a former 1st round bust who is off pace to notch 11 sack this year. This DL is the worst.

I don't know anything about Nigel Bradham at OLB, who apparently leads their team in tackles. Keith Rivers is injured again, so they play rookie Preston Brown at the other OLB spot -- Brown is not terribly athletic, but is a sound tackler. They have Brandon Spikes at ILB, the epitome of slow and heady.

Expect a heavy dosage of Stephon Gilmore on Bowe. Gilmore is a physical, smart corner who is a true #1 CB. Leonis McKelvin is a former 1st round bust -- great athlete, but very average at the #2 CB position -- which is probably enough against our poverty receiving corps.

Aaron Williams has been reborn as a very good safety in Buffalo after playing poorly as a CB early in his career. I don't know a damn thing about Da'Norris Searcy but his stats indicate a jack of all trades, and a master of none.

This is one of those games you get up for, people. It's going to be a very intense week getting up for this game, and having to put up with Claynus' Orton-whoring this week won't make it much better.

Let's win this ****ing game.
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Old 11-07-2014, 01:12 AM   #361
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Why are we CURRENTLY ranked over the Bills?
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Old 11-07-2014, 01:13 AM   #362
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Why are we CURRENTLY ranked over the Bills?
SOS. Also conference record.
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Old 11-07-2014, 01:16 AM   #363
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SOS. Also conference record.
Assuming we beat the Bills, do we get ranked over the Browns, then?
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Old 11-07-2014, 01:28 AM   #364
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Anybody know?
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Old 11-07-2014, 02:13 AM   #365
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Robert Woods is questionable.

The line has moved in the Chiefs' favor.

http://linemakers.sportingnews.com/n...as-week-10-nfl

Chiefs vs. Bills betting preview and pick – Lowest total of NFL Week 10
Two 5-3 AFC teams collide
By: Michael Robinson
Published: Nov 06, 2014

The Chiefs and Bills are two 5-3 teams that are right in the AFC playoff hunt. They meet on Sunday (1:00 p.m. ET, CBS) in Buffalo in an expected low scoring affair, with the smallest total of NFL Week 10.

These teams played last November at Ralph Wilson Stadium, with Kansas City winning 23-13 as 4.5-point road favorites. Buffalo had dominated (5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS) the previous meetings going back to 2005.

The Line: Kansas City -2, Total: 41

Line movement: The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened the Chiefs as 1.5-point favorites and moved to -2. The spread ranged from -1.5 to -2.5 in Vegas during the week. The total opened at 42 and has moved down to 41-41.5. For updated spreads and totals from around Vegas, visit our live odds page .

Trends that matter: Kansas City is 6-1 ATS in its last seven.

The UNDER is 4-0 in Kansas City’s last four games.

Buffalo is 0-3 ATS in its last three home games.

The UNDER is 4-1 in Buffalo’s last five home games (3-1 this year).

Buffalo is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings between the teams.

Kansas City still hot SU and ATS: The Chiefs (5-3 SU and 6-2 ATS) have rebounded from a dreary 0-2 start to win five of six, including 24-10 as 8-point home favorites over the Jets last Sunday. It improved their ATS mark to 6-1 in the last seven.

Alex Smith has an efficient quarterback rating (94.8, ranked 13th), but this is a run-based offense with Jamaal Charles (435 yards) and Knile Davis (401 yards). Buffalo’s run defense is solid (92.3 YPG, ranked 8th), although it has tapered off some lately.

Kansas City knows it doesn’t have to score a ton of points with the NFL’s second-ranked scoring defense (17.3 PPG). That’s despite dealing with injuries and personnel changes in the secondary.

Buffalo struggling at home: The Bills (5-3 SU and 4-4 ATS) also beat the Jets in their last game, 43-23 as 3-point road dogs, before enjoying a bye week. New York turned the ball over six times in that game.

Buffalo has struggled at home in its last three games, losing to San Diego (22-10) and New England (37-22) before a getting a last-second win (17-16) over Minnesota. All three were ATS failures, and the team needs to reestablish a strong home field advantage.

Quarterback Kyle Orton (104 rating) has put up surprising passing numbers (282 YPG) in his four starts. Rookie receiver Sammy Watkins (590 yards) has delivered the goods, but Robert Woods (back) is questionable and the running back situation is muddled due to injuries as well.

Injuries that matter: Buffalo’s Woods is questionable and running back Fred Jackson (groin) is doubtful. Running back C.J. Spiller (collarbone) is out.

Kansas City corners Jamell Fleming (hamstring) and Chris Owens (knee) are questionable, and receiver Donnie Avery (groin) is questionable at best.

Weather: The forecast calls for chance of snow early and temperatures in the 30s.
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Old 11-07-2014, 02:17 AM   #366
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http://bleacherreport.com/articles/2...itys-game-plan

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills: Breaking Down Kansas City's Game Plan
By Farzin Vousoughian, Featured Columnist
Nov 6, 2014

The Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills are both 5-3 going into the second half of the season, but the Chiefs are the only five-win AFC team in position to make the playoffs at the moment. A win would be crucial for both teams, given that the winner will hold one of the two wild-card spots.

The Chiefs are currently riding a three-game winning streak and have won five of their last six games as they look to add on with another victory. They are just one game behind the Denver Broncos in the AFC West standings.

The Chiefs and Bills have some things in common on defense, and might have similar game plans defensively to try to capture a win this Sunday.

Pressure Kyle Orton

It seems like an obvious game plan at this point, and everyone knows the Kansas City Chiefs will have its front seven attack the pocket and try to bring down Kyle Orton.

Outside linebacker Justin Houston leads the league in sacks with 12, collecting five in the past two games. With Houston’s consistency, the Chiefs know they can rely on him to get a sack or two in this game.

Behind Houston, the Chiefs have a couple of other viable pass-rushers in outside linebacker Tamba Hali, nose tackle Dontari Poe and defensive end Allen Bailey.

Block Buffalo’s Offensive Line

Bills defensive linemen Mario Williams (six), Marcell Dareus (seven), Kyle Williams (2.5) and Jerry Hughes (5.5) have combined for 21 sacks this season. Kansas City’s offensive line has been inconsistent in protecting quarterback Alex Smith and may have trouble doing so in this game.

If the offensive line can’t hold its ground and allows Buffalo’s front four to get to Smith, it will be a long day for Smith and Kansas City’s offense.

Run The Football

The Kansas City Chiefs are sixth in the NFL in running the ball while the Bills are eighth in stopping the run. Even with Buffalo’s stout run-stopping defense, Andy Reid needs to feed the ball to Jamaal Charles and get backups Knile Davis and De’Anthony Thomas involved. If Smith and the offensive line struggle against Buffalo’s defense, the Chiefs will be forced to turn to Charles to help lead this team on the road.

Historically, Charles has played well against Buffalo, rushing for 491 yards in six games, including 177 and 143-yard rushing performances.
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Old 11-07-2014, 02:19 AM   #367
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http://bleacherreport.com/articles/2...alos-game-plan

Chiefs vs. Bills: Breaking Down Buffalo's Game Plan
By Justin Neuman , Featured Columnist
Nov 5, 2014

After having a week off to get ready for a second-half run, the Buffalo Bills will welcome the Kansas City Chiefs (who are the ?) to Buffalo on Sunday. Both teams sit at 5-3, so a win would springboard the Bills into the playoff hunt and continue the momentum they carried into the bye.

The Bills will have their hands full again, and they can't give away this game at home if they want to be a viable playoff threat. So what can the Bills try to do to get the win? Let's break down their game plan heading into Week 10.

In Houston, Bills Have A Problem

The Bills have gone up against some fearsome pass-rushers this season. Seantrel Henderson (with a little help from his friends) did a good job against Cameron Wake of the Miami Dolphins. The same can't be said when the Bills faced the superhuman known as J.J. Watt.

Now, the Bills will face off with Justin Houston, the NFL leader in sacks. Houston has the capability of wrecking the game much like Watt did. And now, the Bills have Kyle Orton under center. EJ Manuel was still the starter against the Texans, so he was able to escape Watt every now and again. If Houston gets to Orton, it's all over.

One way to do that is to get the ball out quickly. We know the Bills' offensive line has been struggling, so the best way to help that is to keep them from having to protect for too long. Over the course of the game, Houston and Tamba Hali will make the Bills pay if they call long-developing pass plays.

Luckily, the Bills have just the weapon for quick routes.



Here's Sammy Watkins as he catches a quick slant at around the 45-yard line. The cornerback is giving about a five-yard cushion, so Orton takes a three-step drop and delivers it to Watkins. Watkins handled the rest 61 yards later.

If the Bills use slants and screens to Watkins, they can neutralize the pass rush while simultaneously getting the ball in the hands of their best playmaker. They'd be killing two birds with one stone, as it were.

It would also help to get Robert Woods involved. He's also adept at running quick routes and using his agility to make defenders miss. If the Chiefs force someone besides Watkins to beat them, expect Woods to get looks early and often.

Somehow, Smith Manages

Alex Smith might be the ultimate NFL game manager. He minimizes his risks and takes what the defense is allowing. It has shown so far this season as Smith has only thrown four interceptions compared to 11 touchdowns. His longest completion on the season is for 34 yards.

Smith has also completed 67.1 percent of his passes, which means he's hitting short passes and letting his receivers do their work after the catch. Therefore, the cornerbacks for the Bills should press the Chiefs receivers and not let them get clean releases off the line of scrimmage.

If the Bills defenders can disrupt the timing of the offense, it can help the defensive line get to Smith more effectively. Smith gets the ball out quickly, so he isn't sacked too much. In fact, the Chiefs are right in the middle of the league with 19 sacks allowed.

If the Bills allow Smith to pick apart the defense, they could be in for a long day. Tight end Travis Kelce is emerging as a legitimate receiving threat, so he can have a field day over the middle if the Bills let him get free.

If the Bills defense can make sure tackles and keep the Chiefs receivers off balance, it will put more pressure on Smith to take chances deep. That leads to more time spent in the pocket and more chances to bring Smith down. The Bills have been leaning on their defense all season, and they will have to do so again to grab the W against Kansas City.
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Old 11-07-2014, 02:20 AM   #368
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...You'll get the privilege of seeing the best D line in football on your first series..
Rams game on the Jumbotron?
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Old 11-07-2014, 02:23 AM   #369
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Jackson is listed as doubtful right now.
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Old 11-07-2014, 02:30 AM   #370
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Watkins didn't practice today.

Fred Jackson is doubtful:

Quote:
Q: How did Fred do today?
A: I think Fred's not ready to go yet, so we'll see how that keeps progressing during the week, but right now I'm not sure.
Robert Woods has a full practice, despite being questionable.
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Old 11-07-2014, 09:52 AM   #371
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Orton has no chin.

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Old 11-07-2014, 09:59 AM   #372
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My guess is on a cold windy day Jamaal Charles gets 150 yards rushing, 50 receiving and a couple TD's.


Bowe gets his first TD reception of the season as well.

24-14. Chiefs.
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Old 11-07-2014, 10:10 AM   #373
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Orton has no chin.
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Old 11-07-2014, 10:11 AM   #374
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I worry that we can't run the ball on them.
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Old 11-07-2014, 10:12 AM   #375
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I worry that we can't run the ball on them.
I see this as being similar to the 49ers game.
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