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Old 04-03-2016, 09:48 AM  
duncan_idaho duncan_idaho is offline
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*** Official 2016 Royals Repository, Version 1 ***



And so it begins: The Royals' second straight attempt to repeat as AL Champions, and first attempt to repeat as World Series champions.

In this thread, we'll track all non-gameday action. Roster moves, prospect news, etc.

I'll start the thread as usual, with division rivals thoughts. I still like KC to repeat as AL Central champs. Here's how I see the rest of it shaking out:

2) Indians - they have the pitching (and seem to have at least semi-Kluber-ed Cody Anderson, who added 3 mph to his fastball in the offseason). Will the offense hold up? I think this is a team that ends up looking a lot like the 2014 Royals. Francisco Lindor will solidify their IF defense over the full season, and is a help with the bat. I think this club is still a year away from really breaking through - the offense still has a lot of question marks - but I like them to nab a wildcard spot.

Key Player(s): Michael Brantley. When Brantley returns - and how he hits when he does - will be critical to the Indians' ability to be good enough on offense.

Jason Kipnis. Kipnis has been an enigmatic offensive performer for the past several years. If he finally has a good offensive campaign from start to finish, Cleveland could make real noise.

Something of interest to me: For all the acclaim the Twins' farm system gets, I look at the Indians young players, and would much rather have them. Brad Zimmer is going to be a very good all-around CF. Clint Frazier has huge power potential and should arrive soon (2017). Lindor is a young stud.

3) Tigers - Old and dependent on a few stars. If Verlander and Sanchez are healthy and effective, they will be playoff contenders. I'm sure JD Martinez will continue to hit roid-aided bombs. I'm also pretty sure Victor Martinez's days as a huge power threat are gone.

Key player: Justin Verlander. Detroit people would have you believe he figured out how to succeed without his big fastball in September of last year. If that's true, and he returns to dominant form, Detroit will likely contend again.

Something of interest to me: Will Jose Iglesias stay healthy and not try to kill teammates in the dugout? His defense makes the whole group much better.

4) Twins - They won't lead the division or be in playoff contention for as long this year, but Minnesota will avoid the cellar.

Key Player: Miguel Sano. Huge power, huge K rate. Can he continue to drive the ball and be a plus offensive player? Probably needs to cut that 35 percent K percentage to do so.

Something of interest to me: Will teams challenge Sano inside with hard stuff? Working away, away, just lets his power play up. Also - will Mike Berardino continue to be the biggest beat writer homer in MLB?

5) White Sox - still managed by a shitty manager who can't control his clubhouse (The blame for the LaRoche thing really should fall on him, not the GM). Still have a shitty overall defense and a lot of douchebags on the team. They will once again look better on paper than they actually perform.

Key player: Carlos Rodon. The White Sox need Rodon to take a big step forward to make an actual move this season. He's got the talent...

And, as always, here are the prospects.

Duncan’s Top 20 for 2016:
Spoiler!

Spoiler!
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Old 08-28-2016, 11:52 PM   #4951
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To get it on record and in the actual repository, we've come up with the idea of having a Royals repository tailgate at The K sometime next season. Obviously it's very early for these plans, but my personal goal is to get as many of our out-of-town posters there as possible. It'd be awesome to put some faces to some screen names, and I really hope people can make the trip and get to know each other as it's been largely the same crowd in here for the better part of 3-4 years.

Once again, obviously, this is waaaaaay in advance so I will keep this idea in mind and either create a separate thread to organize everything separately from baseball talk or post once the 2017 repository is made. The early feedback seems to be 100% positive so it would be cool for us all to pull this off.


My wife, children, and I go to two games a year. Usually in August. A meet up would be sweet.
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Old 08-29-2016, 04:42 AM   #4952
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Any interest in Puig?



Athletic OF but a big locker room cancer & piece of shit person according to those in the know

Considering that he has continually gotten worse since his rookie campaign, it would be tough to justify. I think Dozier will get a long look in RF as long as his OF defense is competent. Haven't really heard a scouting report on it, but he's having the best season for a Royals minor league hitter since the #FreeWil days. .300/.370/.540 with 43 2B and 23 HR. Only concern is his 25 percent K rate.


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Old 08-29-2016, 06:04 AM   #4953
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Originally Posted by duncan_idaho View Post
Considering that he has continually gotten worse since his rookie campaign, it would be tough to justify. I think Dozier will get a long look in RF as long as his OF defense is competent. Haven't really heard a scouting report on it, but he's having the best season for a Royals minor league hitter since the #FreeWil days. .300/.370/.540 with 43 2B and 23 HR. Only concern is his 25 percent K rate.


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With Orlando fading as you predicted, I hope Dozier gets a shot in RF. If that happens, I wonder how the team fills out the reserves for next year. If Dozier starts in Right, you have Dyson, Orlando, and Burns on the current 25 man roster. And if Mondesi continues to start at 2nd, where does Merrifield and Colon fit in on next years team. Will some of them be traded, released, or continue to play at Omaha?
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Old 08-29-2016, 06:04 AM   #4954
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So how much longer do they leave Orlando in center?
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Matt once made a very nice play in Seattle where he spun away from a pass rusher and hit Bowe off his back foot for a first down.

One of the best plays Matt has ever made.
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Old 08-29-2016, 06:17 AM   #4955
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With Orlando fading as you predicted, I hope Dozier gets a shot in RF. If that happens, I wonder how the team fills out the reserves for next year. If Dozier starts in Right, you have Dyson, Orlando, and Burns on the current 25 man roster. And if Mondesi continues to start at 2nd, where does Merrifield and Colon fit in on next years team. Will some of them be traded, released, or continue to play at Omaha?

Would imagine it means at least one of those guys isn't around.

I could see a Cain/Gordon/Dyson/Orlando/Dozier OF grouping, with Burns sitting at AAA.

I think Orlando is a fine reserve OF, even on a good team, but it just is hard to believe he's a guy who can produce consistently in a starting role. Last year and this year, he had great/hot starts in starting roles but has not been able to sustain it (falling off to below average production as he gets more exposed).


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Old 08-29-2016, 06:21 AM   #4956
Lex Luthor Lex Luthor is offline
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Any interest in Puig?

Athletic OF but a big locker room cancer & piece of shit person according to those in the know
Jose Guillen redux
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Old 08-29-2016, 06:34 AM   #4957
duncan_idaho duncan_idaho is offline
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Jose Guillen redux


Pretty good comp, hadn't thought of it, but I like it.

He is immensely talented, but Puig has performed like basically Paulo Orlando (2016 version) over the past two years.

I predict he ends up in Oakland. They don't give a shit about chemistry, and they're always interested in boom/bust guys like that. Try to rebuild his value and then flip him quickly to help with their reload.


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Old 08-29-2016, 11:15 AM   #4958
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Old 08-29-2016, 11:54 AM   #4959
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Royals at 24% now.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...ex_cid=rrpromo






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Old 08-29-2016, 12:05 PM   #4960
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good. the ESPN coverage is terrible. I wanted to gouge my ears out last night.
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Old 08-29-2016, 12:15 PM   #4961
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good. the ESPN coverage is terrible. I wanted to gouge my ears out last night.
The women on there ALMOST made me miss Joe Buck.
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Old 08-29-2016, 12:18 PM   #4962
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good. the ESPN coverage is terrible. I wanted to gouge my ears out last night.
But the camera work, lighting, angles and production are exceptional.

I watch a game like that (and on Fox, too) with the sound off.

No biggie.
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Old 08-29-2016, 12:45 PM   #4963
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Royals at 24% now.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...ex_cid=rrpromo






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Unless your fangraphs, then you think they only have a 6% chance...and Detroit who is only one game ahead of us has a 41% chance. Fangraphs.
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Old 08-29-2016, 02:30 PM   #4964
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Unless your fangraphs, then you think they only have a 6% chance...and Detroit who is only one game ahead of us has a 41% chance. Fangraphs.


Why I don't use fangraphs playoff projections. 538 I think is more realistic.





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Old 08-29-2016, 02:43 PM   #4965
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So, I realize it's been discussed ad nauseam on here, but Royals are 68-62.

Going 22-10 rest of way gets you to 90 wins and pretty much guarantees a playoff spot (likely Wild Card, as Cleveland would have to go 16-17 to finish with 89 wins and lose out on the division).

Going 21-11 gets you 89 wins and a solid chance at Wild Card.

20-12 gets you to 88 and on the fringe.

The Royals are probably the hottest team in baseball right now, but I still have serious doubts about them making the playoffs this year. I think July, unfortunately, did them in. The Royals have won 17 of the last 21 and obviously cannot continue to play at that kind of clip through September. So assuming there is a lull somewhere in September (last road trip versus Clev. and Detroit?), is it realistic to think they can get to 88-90 wins with a 'lull'.


Just curious what the brain trust of Royals CP thinks on this . . . .
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