Chiefs vs. 49ers Win Probability

[DaFace]

I thought this was interesting last week, so here it is again. I may do this weekly unless people start getting tired of it.

Anyway, what are the chances of a Chiefs win over the 49ers this week?

[Frazod]

I'll go with 60% because it's a home game. The number would be higher if our QB didn't totally suck ass.

[The Franchise]

Here is a writeup on the game from Walterfootball.com

SAN FRANCISCO OFFENSE: As I wrote in my highly controversial 2010 NFL Power Rankings (Buccaneers and Chiefs fans were pissed on the forums), I'm a believer in Alex Smith. Smith had a solid game overall, but really shined in San Francisco's final drive, going 5-of-6 for 63 yards with 24 rushing yards on the final possession.

Now, the question remains, can Smith repeat what he did against the Saints? I think so. The Chiefs have a solid pass rush, but their secondary currently has some issues. Eric Berry particularly has been unimpressive; he missed tackles in the opener and blew a coverage that resulted in a touchdown last week. I'm not saying that Berry's going to be a bust or anything, but I expected much more right away from the consensus top-three prospect from the 2010 NFL Draft.

One advantage Kansas City has here is in the running game. Frank Gore trampled the Saints on Monday night, but will have a much more difficult time against a Chiefs defense that has allowed just 3.6 yards per carry in the first two weeks.

KANSAS CITY OFFENSE: There are two reasons why I still have the Chiefs in my bottom 10. The first is Matt Cassel, who has completed just 52 percent of his passes in two weeks. Cassel is atrocious and isn't nearly good enough to keep defenses somewhat honest. The 49ers will concentrate on stopping Kansas City's ground attack, forcing Cassel to beat them.

And that brings me to the second reason why Kansas City's 2-0 start is a farce. Todd Haley is a reh-TARD who doesn't understand the concept of giving the ball to his best player. I've written about this ad nauseum for the past year and a half, and it really amazes me how he still has a job.

Last week, Thomas Jones had 23 touches to Jamaal Charles' 12. Jones turned those touches into 88 yards (83 rushing, 5 receiving), while Charles was able to compile 76 yards (49 rushing, 27 receiving). That's correct - Charles nearly had as many yards as Jones despite getting half as many touches.

Regardless of who's carrying the ball, it'll be tough sledding for Kansas City, as the 49ers surrender just 2.8 yards per rush.

RECAP: The 49ers are the better team and would be able to win under normal circumstances.

[rambleonthruthefog]

Originally Posted by Pestilence

Todd Haley is a reh-TARD

while he makes a lot of good points, this is not one of them. regardless of the opponent, TH has the kansas city chiefs at 2-0 playing hard as hell, and believing they are winners. you read that right folks, the kansas city chiefs at 2-0 with a real possibility of being 3-0.
i went with 40% because the 49ers are a better overall football team. we are better coached and have a true home field advantage. qb play is a push.