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Old 02-09-2007, 11:02 AM  
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ATT:GoChiefs..AKA,The Jets ''soft schedule'' this past year..Jeff Sagarin ratings

I guess the Jets had the 7th toughest schedule this year?

http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/nfl06.htm

this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
(2) DIVISION AVERAGES
(listed top-to-bottom & by conference)
(3) teams listed by DIVISION
(listed in order within divisions)


The SCHEDULE ratings represent the average schedule difficulty faced
by each team in the games that it's played so far. The schedule
difficulty of a given game takes into account the rating of the
opponent and the location of the game.


To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL 3 points for the home
team. Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 27 would be
favored by 5 points over a VISITING team having a rating of 25.
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 24 would be favored by 7 points
over a HOME team having a rating of 14.

NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
In the example just above, a home edge of 3 was shown for
illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.


The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength are its rank of
schedule - (in parentheses) - and its record versus teams in these
rating's CURRENT top 10 and CURRENT top 16 respectively.


----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
In ELO CHESS, only winning and losing matters; the score margin is of no consequence,
which makes it very "politically correct". However it is less accurate in its predictions for
upcoming games than is the PURE POINTS, in which the score margin is the only thing that matters.
PURE POINTS is also known as PREDICTOR, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL and is the best single PREDICTOR
of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the two diametrical opposites, ELO CHESS and PURE POINTS (PREDICTOR).
NFL ratings will be updated after games of Sunday and again after the Monday night game.

____________________________________________________________________________________________________ _________________
Final NFL 2006 through games of 2007 February 4 Sunday _ Super Bowl
HOME ADVANTAGE= 1.44 RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | ELO_CHESS | PURE POINTS
1 Indianapolis Colts = 31.93 16 4 0 22.61( 5) 9 2 0 | 12 3 0 | 34.08 1 | 30.72 2
2 New England Patriots = 31.31 14 5 0 22.82( 4) 8 3 0 | 10 5 0 | 30.97 2 | 31.70 1
3 San Diego Chargers = 28.74 14 3 0 18.87( 25) 2 2 0 | 6 2 0 | 29.09 3 | 28.42 4
4 Chicago Bears = 28.70 15 4 0 18.96( 24) 2 2 0 | 5 3 0 | 28.68 4 | 28.73 3
5 Baltimore Ravens = 27.54 13 4 0 19.30( 22) 3 1 0 | 5 3 0 | 27.47 5 | 27.62 6
6 Jacksonville Jaguars = 24.51 8 8 0 22.34( 6) 4 4 0 | 6 4 0 | 22.32 9 | 27.65 5
7 New York Jets = 23.93 10 7 0 21.91( 8) 3 6 0 | 5 6 0 | 24.27 6 | 23.62 7
8 Buffalo Bills = 22.36 7 9 0 23.66( 2) 2 8 0 | 4 8 0 | 21.62 12 | 23.14 9
9 Tennessee Titans = 22.27 8 8 0 23.68( 1) 4 6 0 | 4 8 0 | 23.27 7 | 21.33 13
10 Philadelphia Eagles = 21.94 11 7 0 19.38( 21) 0 3 0 | 2 5 0 | 22.04 10 | 21.84 11
Final NFL 2006 through games of 2007 February 4 Sunday _ Super Bowl
HOME ADVANTAGE= 1.44 RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | ELO_CHESS | PURE POINTS
11 Cincinnati Bengals = 21.72 8 8 0 20.49( 12) 1 4 0 | 2 5 0 | 20.82 14 | 22.67 10
12 New Orleans Saints = 21.71 11 7 0 18.54( 27) 2 2 0 | 3 3 0 | 22.03 11 | 21.40 12
13 Denver Broncos = 21.48 9 7 0 20.25( 13) 2 3 0 | 3 4 0 | 22.59 8 | 20.42 15
14 Dallas Cowboys = 21.12 9 8 0 19.04( 23) 2 3 0 | 2 5 0 | 19.05 19 | 23.35 8
15 Seattle Seahawks = 20.23 10 8 0 18.15( 30) 0 3 0 | 2 3 0 | 20.26 15 | 20.22 16
16 Miami Dolphins = 20.00 6 10 0 22.89( 3) 3 7 0 | 3 7 0 | 18.98 20 | 21.02 14
17 Kansas City Chiefs = 19.73 9 8 0 20.13( 17) 2 3 0 | 4 6 0 | 20.98 13 | 18.47 19
18 Pittsburgh Steelers = 19.58 8 8 0 19.58( 20) 0 4 0 | 3 6 0 | 19.48 17 | 19.70 18
19 New York Giants = 19.50 8 9 0 20.70( 9) 1 6 0 | 2 9 0 | 19.11 18 | 19.89 17
20 Green Bay Packers = 18.18 8 8 0 20.19( 15) 1 5 0 | 2 7 0 | 19.90 16 | 16.31 24
Final NFL 2006 through games of 2007 February 4 Sunday _ Super Bowl
HOME ADVANTAGE= 1.44 RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | ELO_CHESS | PURE POINTS
21 Carolina Panthers = 18.11 8 8 0 18.23( 29) 1 1 0 | 3 3 0 | 17.99 21 | 18.25 20
22 St. Louis Rams = 17.56 8 8 0 17.80( 32) 0 2 0 | 1 4 0 | 17.94 22 | 17.17 22
23 Houston Texans = 17.12 6 10 0 22.10( 7) 3 7 0 | 4 8 0 | 17.83 23 | 16.38 23
24 Minnesota Vikings = 17.01 6 10 0 19.70( 19) 0 5 0 | 1 6 0 | 15.86 25 | 18.07 21
25 Atlanta Falcons = 15.86 7 9 0 17.96( 31) 0 2 0 | 1 5 0 | 15.84 26 | 15.89 26
26 Washington Redskins = 15.31 5 11 0 20.16( 16) 1 4 0 | 3 5 0 | 14.40 27 | 16.12 25
27 San Francisco 49ers = 14.86 7 9 0 18.78( 26) 0 3 0 | 3 4 0 | 17.06 24 | 11.52 30
28 Arizona Cardinals = 13.68 5 11 0 18.51( 28) 0 2 0 | 1 5 0 | 13.22 28 | 14.12 27
29 Cleveland Browns = 12.69 4 12 0 20.23( 14) 1 3 0 | 1 7 0 | 12.70 29 | 12.70 29
30 Detroit Lions = 12.02 3 13 0 20.54( 11) 1 4 0 | 2 6 0 | 10.26 31 | 13.27 28
Final NFL 2006 through games of 2007 February 4 Sunday _ Super Bowl
HOME ADVANTAGE= 1.44 RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | ELO_CHESS | PURE POINTS
31 Tampa Bay Buccaneers = 11.31 4 12 0 19.98( 18) 1 2 0 | 2 6 0 | 12.32 30 | 9.95 31
32 Oakland Raiders = 7.99 2 14 0 20.55( 10) 0 4 0 | 0 8 0 | 7.60 32 | 8.34 32
____________________________________________________________________________________________________ _________________
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Old 02-09-2007, 12:19 PM   #31
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jidar
Maybe the Jets dont have an easy schedule, but they have easy moms.
now now..somebody sounds like their a lil sensitive today..you were just talking about Chiefs fans mothers first..so..which is it?
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Old 02-09-2007, 12:20 PM   #32
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lj4mvp
Their schedule was a piece of shit.

Don't let Sagarin's bull fool you.

As has already been pointed out, the Jets being 10 places higher than the Chiefs is a joke and proves what crap ratings these are.
So..who's ratings are the right ones??yours?
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Old 02-09-2007, 12:23 PM   #33
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Vos
Hey..Sagarin is NOT a Jets fan!

It's not comparing to KC..more like trying to prove that they(The Jets) really didn't have that easy of a schedule..as GC has blabbed a zillion times.
I was just showing the difference since we are Chiefs fans and he had us at 17th. It really was to show how skewed the results were because two of your regular season teams making the Super Bowl added an extra 7 games to your total, along with NE wining 3 games it added 6 more wins with the Pats.
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Old 02-09-2007, 12:24 PM   #34
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Old 02-09-2007, 12:24 PM   #35
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i move that all references to the jets be relocated to the france sucks dicussion.
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Old 02-09-2007, 12:27 PM   #36
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Quote:
Originally Posted by morphius
I was just showing the difference since we are Chiefs fans and he had us at 17th.
Gotchya.
Quote:
Originally Posted by morphius
It really was to show how skewed the results were because two of your regular season teams making the Super Bowl added an extra 7 games to your total, along with NE wining 3 games it added 6 more wins with the Pats.
Well..they all counted..how are the results suppose to be interpreted?
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Old 02-09-2007, 12:33 PM   #37
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Vos
So..who's ratings are the right ones??yours?
I don't have the time to waste doing "rankings".

Just look at the teams each team faced. To say that the Jets' schedule was appreciably harder than the Chiefs is an absolute joke.

Anything Sagarn says should be considered as such.

Isn't this the same dude who has a boner for the Pac-10? Toughest football conference in America?
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Old 02-09-2007, 12:34 PM   #38
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lj4mvp
Their schedule was a piece of shit.

Don't let Sagarin's bull fool you.

As has already been pointed out, the Jets being 10 places higher than the Chiefs is a joke and proves what crap ratings these are.
You seem to have liked Sagarin in the past
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Old 02-09-2007, 12:36 PM   #39
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Vos
Gotchya.

Well..they all counted..how are the results suppose to be interpreted?
It is a bit more fair to just count the regular season, as some teams had more opportunities to play more games. Having teams playing more or fewer games really makes the stats sort of flaky.

I mean really, how could someone have a hard schedule if 9 of their games were against teams with losing records.
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Old 02-09-2007, 12:40 PM   #40
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Quote:
Originally Posted by morphius
It is a bit more fair to just count the regular season, as some teams had more opportunities to play more games. Having teams playing more or fewer games really makes the stats sort of flaky.

I mean really, how could someone have a hard schedule if 9 of their games were against teams with losing records.
I'm not arguing that..I think the Chiefs had a harder schedule than the Jets..so..I agree with you there..my point was that the Jets schedule wasn't quite as easy as everybody(including GoChiefs) kept sayin..thats all..
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Old 02-09-2007, 12:41 PM   #41
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Old 02-09-2007, 01:06 PM   #42
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Quote:
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You know what I saw at Whole Foods the other day? Cheese with marbled veins of wine in it. Weird stuff.
If it smell like "Old Cheese" It's probably just Earl.

.
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Old 02-09-2007, 02:20 PM   #43
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Quote:
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Good. It would be unfortunate if I had to leave a garrison here.
Ya got me shakin in my house slippers.
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Old 02-09-2007, 02:22 PM   #44
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Ya got me shakin in my house slippers.
Perhaps you can tell the Emperor himself when he arrives.
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Old 02-09-2007, 02:35 PM   #45
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Quote:
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Perhaps you can tell the Emperor himself when he arrives.

Lookin forward too it.
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